Tag: polls
News of the World - Poll of marginal seats
LabourOutlook Sat Apr 26, 2008 at 07:42:07 PM GMT 
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The NOTW will publish a poll tomorrow of public opinion in marginal seats
Getting out of the Brown stuff
TonyHannon Mon Apr 14, 2008 at 03:49:25 PM GMT
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What will it take to restore the Party's reputation and popularity?
Boris 42% Ken 41%
NorthernMonkey Thu Apr 03, 2008 at 01:03:51 AM GMT
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Ken's catching up. Could a comeback be on the cards?
What's Going Wrong?
NorthernMonkey Mon Mar 17, 2008 at 06:23:55 PM GMT
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Two disasterous polls for us in recent days show that we could be in for rough ride in the May elections.
Ipsos-Mori poll has Labour up 6% and Tories down 5%
Mike Ion Fri Feb 01, 2008 at 06:16:36 PM GMT
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Labour has taken a 1% lead in the latest Ipsos-Mori poll - the poll was taken before the Conway story broke.
I have posted before about the fact that Cameron and the Tories should/need to be doing much better if they are to have any chance of forming the next government - based on the recent polls we can expect Team Cameron to move their man even further to the right.
I have posted before about the fact that Cameron and the Tories should/need to be doing much better if they are to have any chance of forming the next government - based on the recent polls we can expect Team Cameron to move their man even further to the right.
Labour holds one-point lead over Tories...
fairdealphil Sat Oct 27, 2007 at 11:24:05 PM GMT
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Polls measure media-savvy people
Simon Morley Mon Oct 08, 2007 at 10:27:34 PM GMT
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I wonder in all the focus on polls today it hasn’t passed some people by that when most people are polled they understand the consequences of their answers, and use the answers to send messages. And I am sure most Labour supporters don’t see any need to take the risk of an election any time soon. People understand when there is a year to go events can come along – the 2001 election was delayed and everyone stood down at the last minute because of foot and mouth – but three years to go is a different thing. In current circumstances tory supporters are going to emphasize their desire for a poll. There is a research project here no doubt, but as every one says, both politicians and pollsters, polls by themselves don’t tell you the best thing to do, they are just one form of evidence. I’m glad the BBC are backing off from their earlier claims that Gordon wasn’t influenced by polls, because he said they were one consideration, which actually makes a change from politicians appearing to suggest they pay them no attention.
A week really is a long time in politics
Mike Ion Sun Oct 07, 2007 at 12:53:55 PM GMT
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The past week has proven that a week really is a long time in politics. Last week the Sunday papers were speculating about the demise of the Tory party, bets were being placed on Cameron's likely successor. A week later and... well the least said the better.
Brown will take a hit or two (or twenty) and his reputation as a master political strategist has been damaged. However I do think that we all need to calm down a bit and recognise that things can - and probably will - change just as quickly. The polls will stabilise and we will soon get back to 'normal' politics.
For me there are some key lessons that, as a party, we need to learn from the past few weeks:
1. Don't underestimate Cameron - the more media coverage he receives the more favourable the polls are for the Tory party as a whole.
2. We need to be careful about the image we project. At times I worry that some Labour Ministers conduct themselves as though they are taking part in a sixth form debating society and want to demonstrate how fiendishly clever they are, how they can 'best' their opposite number who is also a bright young thing. Being bright and being clever are not the same thing and we need our senior Ministers to be clever as well as bright.
3. Candidate selection should be completed for all vacant seats by early spring and we need to have a much sharper focus on exactly how we resource and campaign in marginal seats.
We have lost this skirmish - it was not really a battle - we now need to re-group and look to the future.
Brown will take a hit or two (or twenty) and his reputation as a master political strategist has been damaged. However I do think that we all need to calm down a bit and recognise that things can - and probably will - change just as quickly. The polls will stabilise and we will soon get back to 'normal' politics.
For me there are some key lessons that, as a party, we need to learn from the past few weeks:
1. Don't underestimate Cameron - the more media coverage he receives the more favourable the polls are for the Tory party as a whole.
2. We need to be careful about the image we project. At times I worry that some Labour Ministers conduct themselves as though they are taking part in a sixth form debating society and want to demonstrate how fiendishly clever they are, how they can 'best' their opposite number who is also a bright young thing. Being bright and being clever are not the same thing and we need our senior Ministers to be clever as well as bright.
3. Candidate selection should be completed for all vacant seats by early spring and we need to have a much sharper focus on exactly how we resource and campaign in marginal seats.
We have lost this skirmish - it was not really a battle - we now need to re-group and look to the future.
Latest polls: a bit of perspective is required
Mike Ion Thu Oct 04, 2007 at 10:04:10 PM GMT
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So the polls indicate a rise in Tory support (up between 4% - 6%). Is anyone really that surprised? Before we get too carried away let's just look back a few years.
Cast your minds back to October 2003 - those heady days when one Iain Duncan Smith was leader of the Tory party. A snap poll taken by YouGov straight after that conference showed Conservative support rising 5%(from 33% to 38%) and a few days later, ICM and MORI showed Conservative support rising by 3% and 4% respectively.
Last year, a Tory lead of 1% with ICM, and level-pegging with YouGov, prior to the Tory conference, had been converted into Tory leads of 10% and 7% respectively, after the conference.
The Tories are NOT going to win a general election unless they are consistently ahead in the polls by between 8% - 10%.
Cameron knows this and so does Brown - it is still very much game on.
Cast your minds back to October 2003 - those heady days when one Iain Duncan Smith was leader of the Tory party. A snap poll taken by YouGov straight after that conference showed Conservative support rising 5%(from 33% to 38%) and a few days later, ICM and MORI showed Conservative support rising by 3% and 4% respectively.
Last year, a Tory lead of 1% with ICM, and level-pegging with YouGov, prior to the Tory conference, had been converted into Tory leads of 10% and 7% respectively, after the conference.
The Tories are NOT going to win a general election unless they are consistently ahead in the polls by between 8% - 10%.
Cameron knows this and so does Brown - it is still very much game on.
