Any Labour PM trying to decide when to call an election should treat the published polls with extreme caution.

Murray Rowlands argues that Labour cannot afford to write off the south-east of England and that rebuilding the progressive consensus is vital to its prospects in the region

Will Parbury thinks the race for President of the United States is the most open in decades.

With Labour having a reasonable lead in the opinion polls recently it is hardly surprising that speculation has increased on the prospect of an early election.

The BBC are reporting that Ed Miliband has been asked to get on with writing the next Labour Party Manifesto - fuelling talking of an early election.

Brown should stake out the progressive ground on Lords reform

<h1 class="heading">Brown backs Cruddas revolution of Labour party From the 'Times' today.
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I'm doing my dissertation about the online campaigns of the Labour Party Deputy Leadership candidates and was hoping some of you wouldn't mind spending a minute filling in an online survey about it (only 11 questions and takes hardly any time)

http://www.surveymonkey.com/s.asp?u=879073906621.

The survey is completely anonymous and no results will be revealed until after the election is finished. And even then it will only be in my university dissertation...

http://www.surveymonkey.com/s.asp?u=879073906621

...and was it really Peter Mandelson behind that 'leaked' memo?

Thoughts?

At the next elections its quite possible that Labour could lose its majority at the next election and possibly lose government.

Polls show Labour clinging on to its majority in small numbers, losing its majority but having the most seats and losing completely.