A recent Rasmussen poll has McCain and Obama in a statistical dead heat, with McCain just 1% ahead. While this is the only poll to show a McCain lead, many, including Guido, have suggested McCain’s experience is showing through against Obama and a “backlash” has started after his European tour. For me the foreign trip was needed to show his statesman abilities and now he is back in the country can focus on the campaign. He will still win (I hope not to jinx him) but it will be closer than the landslide people may have been expecting. Here are the 5 reasons why Obama will carry the Presidency.