Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader

I bet you never thought John Prescott would end up blogging but I felt this was the best way to talk to ordinary members at this important time.

writes former Deputy Prime Minister John Prescott

Firstly, I want to say a big thank you to all the members who’ve been campaigning hard in the local elections, mayoral election, by-elections and the upcoming European elections. It’s been quite a year, hasn’t it?

So I hope you all enjoy your holidays over the next few weeks.

I’m sure I also speak for all of you in wishing Gordon, Sarah and their boys a thoroughly deserved break and that they have a wonderful time in Southwold. I have every confidence that he will come back refreshed, renewed and ready to lead us through these difficult times.

I also hope that my fellow Labour MPs will take a break too - both from the Westminster bubble and divisive talk of a pointless leadership challenge.

I’ve been honoured to work very closely with the last three leaders - John, Tony and Gordon. I’m also proud to have worked with all of Labour’s cabinet ministers since 1997. We have undoubtedly some very talented men and women. But with respect, none of them at the present moment, has anywhere near the skills and experience, nationally and internationally, to lead this great party and country as we tackle these unprecedented major global problems.

It’s only a year since party members, trade unions and MPs unanimously voted for Gordon to become our leader. Let me make this very clear - party members and the public will never forgive MPs and others who force Labour to go through another leadership election in less than two years.

That’s what Tory and Lib Dem MPs do. It’s not the Labour way.

So my message to Labour MPs is this – let’s take a break from feeding Westminster gossip and hostile press prattle, recharge your batteries and if you want to campaign, get out in your constituencies and start campaigning for that fourth term.

That’s what our party wants and what our country needs.

Display: Sort:

Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#1)

"Not the Labour way"

So the Labour way is martyrdom, to go down with the ship?

Aye Captain!

Don't you see that rearranging the deckchair won't do any good, a new captain is the only hope, or half of us will be swallowed up by the Tory sea and the rest may end up floating away in lifeboats in divergent directions.

THIS IS VERY SERIOUS JOHN!


Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#8)

It's not the Labour way to change leader everytime there is pressure to do so from the press. Think about what this means. Ever since the Conservatives went down this path, it has meant trouble for their party. John Major's whole term was spent worrying about Portillo challenging him. And then after '97 they went through leaders like tissue, because they were insistent that it was leadership change, rather than party change that would improve things. It was displacement activity and they wasted a decade.

And then look at the LibDems. Charlie Kennedy removed because LibDems thought he hadn't done well in the 2005 election! And they deluded themselves that modern politics requires you to be "ruthless" and that knifing the leader showed you were serious about power - this from a third party! Then Ming was hounded by the press for being old, and the LibDems obliged again. And they go lower in the polls each time they change their leader. The public does not admire callous disloyalty even though the press revel in it, and the LibDems have lost their USP as the "Nice Party". You can bet though that if the press start making the case for Clegg to be toppled, the LibDems will meekly do their bidding again!

We've always been different in Labour. People talk about Labour values - well this is a core Labour value too. If we ditch it, we really are the same as the Tories. All Labour leaders are allowed to face the electorate in at least one general election - even Michael foot was given the option.
 
Secondly, there isn't anyone who could take over, the next generation are still finding their feet and some contenders (like Jacqui Smith and Denham) are in marginals, we would have a better idea of who could run after the next election, once we see who is left standing. Thirdly, it really is about the economy - Glasgow East was upset at fuel and food - not something a new leader will change easily (though global conditions appear to be easing). Fourthly, part of the reason we lost Glasgow East was that there were no canvass returns - we the members need to get our acts together in our constituencies - the national party also needs to make sure that when they move the writ for a by-election, everything is in place locally. They might have done better waiting till the autumn for this by-election, so that work could have been done on the ground.

Finally, if we yield to topple the leader at the behest of the press, we open a pandora's box, and will lose control of our own party. Be sure that they will harass us again and again and again to change leaders whenever they feel like a bit of sport.

Gordon Brown has done a lot for Labour - we wouldn't have won in 2001 and 2005 without him. He is being harassed much like Al Gore was against "compassionate conservative" Bush in the USA in 2000. For those who remember, Gore was painted as a self-important idiot who couldn't communicate, and Bush was deemed the brighter more "normal" candidate. And the pity of it all was that some people on the American left bought it all, some abstained, some voted Nader, and Bush got through. Don't let us be patsies in the same way.

Sometimes you lose elections. But at least let us lose with some dignity as a group, instead of thrashing wildly around with blood flying everywhere in an effort to survive. It would be an un-edifying prospect and the voters would punish us severely for it. We would lose our USP as the Decent Party in the process.

Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#11)

At the behest of the press?!

Sigh...

You are delusional. 200 MPs are shitting themselves watching their ambitions float away...It is at their behest that they themselves have to act.


You say don't be nasty to one man (completely out of his depth) but be nasty to 200 other people who will lose their jobs, no to mention thousands of councillors.


So its not about being nasty and labour being different as you put it. It is about labour being seen to be different, which doesn't make us seem that special does it?

Whatever GB has done for labour, he is now negative 63 approval the worst figure for any PM ever, worse than Major after black Wednesday.

WORSE THAN MAJOR AFTER BLACK WEDNESDAY!

People liked him a year ago - overwhelmingly. Now they have got to know him, and like so many others they realize that he is "psychologically flawed" etc.

People are not going to change their minds again, the public don't do that, polling bears this out. Once people change their opinion from good to bad that is it.

We are not heading for a dignified defeat. We are heading for possible annihilation, and the current talent vacuum will look a lot worse in 2010.





Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#14)

Many of those 200 MPs you describe nominated Gordon brown for leader. So the public will see them as venal, nasty and self-serving if they dump him in a paroxym of fear. They will destroy the one element that people still associate with Labour - loyalty and decency.

Instead of trembling and gossiping in the tea-rooms, MP's would do better spending the summer doing some canvassing and asking their constituency parties for full support on the ground to help them get re-elected.

Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#17)

They don't associate loyalty and decency with GB though do they?

They are self serving, but they also serve the Labour movement.

Without these MPs we are nothing, so it is strongly in our interests that there are as many of them as possible.

Things are really shifting, Major was at least affable, and had a booming economy in 97

We have nothing to say for ourselves as it stands, you need to appreciate that this in not politics as usual.

It could be the end for Labour, because when they are down in 2010 with maybe less than 100 MPs and a dwindling+aging natural constituency, new forces will emerge.

So we need to show a type of loyalty to Gordon... the kind he showed towards Blair for 10 years.

We need to undermine him, and remove him and dispose of him forthwith.

If we wait till the after we are buggered again at the 2009 locals it will be to late for a leader to become credible.

Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#66)

"Major was at least affable, and had a booming economy in 97"

Umm - Major presided over one of the longest post-war recessions we've ever had - from Q4 1990 to Q2 1992. At one point GDP growth reached -2%. It was a frightening time.

I still remember Black Wednesday. I had a mortgage on my first small flat, and was at work, and at 10 a.m. word came through that interest rates had risen from 10% to 12%. There were groans in the office.

And then at noon, word came through that rates had increased to 15%. None of us did any work that afternoon. We just sat at our desks thinking shit, my mortgage payment has increased by 50%, and bashed our calculators futily trying to work out new household budgets and how we would pay for the rise. It was terrifying. Real stomach sinking stuff.

It wasn't till 7 p.m. that evening - after the nation had been stewing in terror and anger for a good seven hours, that Lamont announced that he was pulling out of the ERM, and rates would hold at 10%. By which time everyone had already made up their mind to kick the Tories out of government.

Nothing this Labour government has done comes even close to inducing the fear of that day.

The only people who say things like "Major was affable and had a booming economy in 97" are Tories or people who were too young to have experienced what 1992 was like. Which category do you fall into?

Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#70)

Nothing this Labour government has done comes even close to inducing the fear of that day.

That was my point!

Even after black wednesday, when everything turned to shit for the tories Major never fell as low as Brown.

So even though Major's ratings never fell as far as Brown's have he still couldn't win the next election.

WHICH SHOWS THAT THE PROBLEM ISN'T LABOUR (which hasn't done anything terribly wrong like the tories had done)

THE PROBLEM IS BROWN (who despite not doing anything anywhere neer as bad is less popular than Major was at his worst.

ARE YOU FOLLOWING?

Then consider who will have a better chance at an election affable unpopular Major with a good economy or autistic unpopular Brown with a shit economy in 2010.

Right, Major will.

So Labour are facing a wipeout with Brown as leader in 2010. GOT IT?!

Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#103)

Black Wednesday was caused by membership of ERM which Labour would have taken us into earlier than Major had Neil Kinnock won in 1988.

Gordon Browns problems are fundemental and of his own making, he was not the brilliant chancellor he claimed to be and we are now paying the economic price. He is nothing like the brilliant political operator Tony Blair is so he is struggling to lead his party and the country.

As for loyalty, he cant expect any, he didnt give any!

Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#93)

God your an idiot.

Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#18)

> 200 MPs are shitting themselves watching their ambitions float away

But it is generally accepted that a new leader would have to have an election within 6 months to ride the newness wave.

So these 200 MPs are faced with the choice of an election with a new leader in 1 year (when it is generally accepted the economic situation will be very tight), or with GB in 2 years (when there is a chance the economy is beginning to recover). Even with brown underpants I know which I would choose. Paul Flynn, who I bet has a reasonable view on MPs opinion, agrees:

A new Labour leader would have to seek approval in a General election. Only MPs can trigger a leadership contest. It’s not hard to work it out. Exactly how many Labour MPs would like to have a General Election now that Labour is on 24% in the polls?

We should stop lending support to the media who would love a leadership challenge. 

Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#20)

Exactly. We were able to change leader from Blair to brown because Blair announced in late 2004 (surprising even Gordon) that he would stand down in the next parliament. The 2005 election was fought as "Vote Blair, Get Brown" with the two of them touring the country together. Voters knew exactly what was happening, and the bounce following the hand-over showed their approval of the process.

If we changed leader again, we would have to call a general election. Are people ready for this? It's not just about being at 24% in the polls, it's the fact that many constituencies are as unprepared as Glasgow east in terms of work on the ground. Many of those who call for a leadership change are "armchair activists" - they think everything is driven by leader and media. It's not. Even in 1997, there was a massive effort on the ground, without which the win wouldn't have been as big. We are not ready at the moment.

Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#76)

 Erm, I think you'll find that Blair fought the 2005 election on the basis that he would serve a "full term" and "Vote Blair, Get Brown" was a Tory slogan claiming that this wasn't true and predicting what in fact has happened.

Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#90)

I know it the "Vote Blair get Brown" thing was a Tory poster.

But Tories withdrew it as soon as they realised that the public liked the idea. And once Labour realised the public liked the idea, Labour immediately started sending Brown round the country with Blair, eating icecreams together and the like, and one party political broadcast was just devoted to the two of them talking to emphasise the message. It was a successful ploy. I assure you that those who voted Labour were Voting Blair to get Brown. Hence the upsurge in the polls when the handover happened and smoothly.

Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#91)

Sorry - Blair said he would serve a full third term.

 

http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2004/oct/01/uk.labourconference2

 

http://www.channel4.com/news/articles/politics/international_politics/when%20did%20blair%20promise%2 0to%20step%20down/169525

 

Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#26)

this whole "must call an election thing is total tosh!

Who says this?

Tory Nick Robinson? Adam Boulton? Ian Dale?

Who cares.

People don't even notice.

This is just a Brownite smokescreen to give some reason why he should stay. We wouldn't need to call an election, it is not a hard arguemnt to make.

There are  not going to be riots in Trafalgar Square clamouring for the right to express the peoples democratic will.

Labour would be better off under any of the alternatives.


Re: Bring back Ramsay MacDonald, all is forgiven (#89)

Does anyone  actually believe that John Prescott. er, actually wrote this garbage? It has all the hallmarks of the Central HQ Speechwriters' unit ie complete drivel

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#2)

What I mean is that this is not a mere political calculation.

This is a moment with true historic implications.

If we get it wrong now it could be all over, and it could be new parties in 10 years time.

The risk of New Labour was that it made us electable but at the same time attacked the bonds with the working class.

So it seems that Labours core is now fickle, there are only enough of them to ensure a small party with working class roots. This will be the end for us because it will mean that aspirationals will never stoop to vote labour. It will become like wearing Burberry.

You see?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#3)

John - great to hear from you.

You (and I) remember Jim Callaghan.  His government was about as (in)competent as Gordon's, but he was widely liked.  He lost the election and Labour were out for 18 years.  So if Gordon leads Labour into the election, we could be seeing over 20 years before Labour get back in.  Which in practice could mean never because Labour has never, except in 1997, won without the Scottish vote.

Is that really what you want?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#42)

How do you come to conclusion that because Brown is more unpopular than Callaghan, we'll end up staying out of power longer?

Brown will obviously affect the outcome of the next election, but once he's gone then nobody will care. Future election results will depend on future leaders. 

One can argue that if Miliband takes over, then he's more of a vote-winner than Michael Foot was, therefore we're likely to comeback quicker.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#122)

There are plenty of people who don't vote Tory because of Thatcher. And Thatcher was never as unpopular as Brown.

If Milliband is seen as having got rid of Brown then he might get some credit for this, as Major did. But the longer this agony with Gordon continues the harder it will be for Milliband to disassociate himself from it.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#138)

This isn't right.

Thancher approaval never dipped below minus 30ish.

The previous record was Major at -61

Brown has been below -60 for over 3 months now.

There is no precedent for a leader being so widely despised.

You must see how buggered we are if we allow this to continue?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#4)

"It’s only a year since party members, trade unions and MPs unanimously voted for Gordon to become our leader."

John Gordon was not elected unanimously by member, unions and MPs. Only MPs had a say and they denyed the wider membership and unions any say in Gordon's election. They ensured a coronation that meant that Brown's lack of vision was not exposed until it was too late. This is NOT a problem of the membership's making. The coronation means that the wider membership felt cheated in the democratic process and don't have a sense of ownership of their leader. Brown may have won in the membership but a coronation meant that he is not OUR leader, but rather leader of the PLP.

So now that the chips are down why should we rally to Gordon's defence. This is a problem of our MPs own creation and one that they have to sort. They conspired with Brown's team to ensure there wasn't a contest, which meant Brown's ideas were not tested and since in office he has been found to be wanting. Either our MPs back him or sack. They need to do something as this snipping from the sidelines cannot go on as it will cause untold damage our party. In creating this mess our MPs have already casued enough damage, they need to decide which is the best course of damage limitation. Neither option they face is ideal but my instict is we need to elect a new leader, call a General Election accepting privately that defeat is probably inevitable but hope damage can be minimised. We then plan our path back to government. That leader ought not be a caretaker but rather one of the younger generation who understands the world today and have not had their political outlook shaped by Thatcherism and the politics of the 1980s and 1990s.

I feel our MPs have lost touch and don't get it. Our party has been despised policy wise for several years now and over the years we have slowly been alienating sections of the Labour coalition to the point where there is no one left to support us. We won in 2005 because the economy was still doing OK. Now that that has gone there is no evidence to suggest that the voters will come back once the economy is sorted. We are out of ideas, steam and cash. We are intellectually and financially bankrupt. This is about saving the Labour Party. Under Brown we face oblivion on a Major scale. Changing leaders might just minimise the damage.

Responsibility about what to do next lies with our MPs. They created this mess and it is up to them to sort it. Do the wrong thing and they could finish the Labour Party forever.


Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#5)

//So my message to Labour MPs is this – let’s take a break from feeding Westminster gossip and hostile press prattle, recharge your batteries and if you want to campaign, get out in your constituencies and start campaigning for that fourth term.

That’s what our party wants and what our country needs.//

An excellent setiment and one delivered exactly the correct way - online and directly. Good for you John, now if you could only persuade your colleagues to follow suit... 

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#6)

JP says

''I felt this was the best way to talk to ordinary members at this important time. ''

Well I'm sorry about being ''ordinary'' . Good of you to talk down on me JP.


Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#7)

Whilst it is admirable to show loyalty to ones leader there is a time when it is better to put party and principle above loyalty, however painful that may be.  The real sense I see is that people have simply had enough of Gordon Brown and the Labour government and defeat seems inevitable.  Perverse though it may seem, it is better to head quicker for the opposition benches and get to the stage of rebuilding the party and its policies than to go through years of damaging decline as we saw in the closing years of the Major cabinet.


I would get radical and in view of the economic woes, try and get Vince Cable on board and plan on a government to last one year.  This would show a radical change and a willingness to change politics and could help ensure that the defeat is not crushing thus ensuring a meaningful spell in opposition and a chance to make an impact and come back to fight another day.  It also would give the Tories less time and force them to play their hand sooner.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#9)

"Let me make this very clear - party members and the public will never forgive MPs and others who force Labour to go through another leadership election in less than two years."

When was the last leadership election? I can't remember one in the last 10years. Gordon was crowned the new leader with no opposition. Let me make something clear John, party members and the public will never forgive an unpopular leader holding onto power with their fingertips whilst the electorate are baying for blood. There was no vote on the leader, there was no vote once the new leader was crowned and there was no vote on the EU Constitution (ie Lisbon Treaty). Is Gordon going to wait until he is forced to have a vote and feel the full force of Canut's tide washing him into political obscurity?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#12)

Under the rules the MPs nominate candidates. 317 MP's out of 356 nominated Gordon Brown. His nearest rival McDonnell couldn't get his quorum, but Gordon Brown still took part in a public debate with him.

Why weren't there any other nominations? For the same reason we can't really see a successor to Brown now - there was no-one else. All the other grey-beards in the cabinet had big downsides, and many of the newbies promoted to cabinet by Gordon Brown, were completely unheard of then as Blair didn't really bother with promotions, he liked old familiar faces around him.
 
Therefore Gordon Brown was elected under the rules.
 
The reason Gordon Brown needs to stay, is that there is a succession vacuum. We have no obvious successor and no clear idea of what directional change is required.

Possible contenders need to spend the next two years getting to know all parts of the electoral colleges, touring the constituencies and talking to people (instead of members having to judge contenders through the prism of the press), thinking hard about what they could offer to renew the Labour party, working out thought-through platforms, they also need to work hard in their respective ministries, and work hard in their constituencies to get re-elected.

The last thing we want is an ill-thought through palace coup.

It took about six years to form new labour - the initial attempts focussed mainly on presentation, it took the '92 election to focus people on policy. If we want the next iteration of the Labour party to be credible, durable and successful, it will take time and thought - it's not possible to achieve it in a few weeks, while being hounded by the press in an atmosphere of desperation. Why is this so hard for people to understand?  Stop listening to siren calls for a quick change in leader - the people making those calls don't have Labour's interests at heart.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#34)

This is great political theory, but it does not hold up. The problem lies with the image of the Labour Party as personified by "I am carrying on with the job" Brown. If we, Labour continue with him, then election defeat followed by political oblivion lasting a great deal of time will ensue. There is no way out but to compel him to go as soon as possible. It may not bring victory in the next general election but at least another leader and PM will give us some chance. With Brown there ,we have no chance of a future.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#43)

Are you a member / supporter of Labour?

The fact that you feel the need to say "If we, Labour..." gives it away.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#61)

Yes I am a member but so what

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#63)

if you remeber the way the lefft was in the 70s and 80s you will recognise that kind of paraniod question.

Wow this really is regressing quickly into a sort Bennite nightmare....

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#108)

As an unapologetic Bennite I've got to ask... what?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#120)

Thanks Doc I would like to know what too

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#10)

John you may well be right that nobody has the 'skills' to replace Brown - however, unfortunately the majority of the electorate vote for a persona, not a party.  It wasn't long after we lost Tony that they turned to Cameron.

The fact is, Brown may well be fantastic - I thoroughly believe it - but we must admit, as far as the electorate goes - he is not going to win the election against Cameron.

Only someone like David Miliband has the persona to take on Cameron and win back the electorate.  This does not mean Brown has to leave the cabinet, he can even go back as Chancellor - where he does best.

We need more boldness and bravery.  This should not be about loyalty or friendship, it should be about doing what we can to win the election - giving the voters someone they trust, relate to, and believe in.

For the sake of socialists everywhere - don't listen to him Miliband!

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#37)

I challenge the myth that Gordon Brown was a good Chancellor, he is responsible for much of the economic problems which we are now undergoing, and which he is blaming on world wide factors. During his time as Chancellor we became a country floating on a sea of debt, where the City of London has become the world's largest casino, peopled by non tax paying expats. He refused time after time to correct a grossly unfair taxation system which heaped costs on the poorer elements of our society; he did nothing to halt the demise of British manufaturing. Nothing he ever said made a lot of sense to me but when a Labour Chancellor sits and allows the housing bubble to develop the way he did,and allows the banks to operate the way they did then I believe that alone calls into question his abilities. I believe he was as incompetent as a Chancellor as he is now as PM, and if he does not go soon then the Labour Party will dis appear at the next election

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#78)

I blame Thatcherism. Look at the '20's: cheap credit, cheap savings and mortgages. Then when the banks got into trouble, people couldn't pay money back. Sound familiar?

The guy who advises McCain on economic affairs, played a big role in the crimes of Enron. Disaster economics. Shock doctrine economics as Naomi Klein describes it. Northern Rock and sub-prime mortgage crises were down to Thatcherite deregulation.


We need a Keynesian. We have been in a similar crisis before, and only Keynesian regulation dug us out of it.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#81)

"We need a Keynesian. We have been in a similar crisis before, and only Keynesian regulation dug us out of it."

So that would be Cameron then as his message about saving in good times and fueling the economic cycle at low points is more Keynesian than our monetarists.

The fact is that for the past 10 years we have had a deflationary impact of China reducing inflation to an unnaturally low point for the high level of economic growth that we have experienced.  However, such a ride could not last for ever and the rise of a Chinese middle class with tastes for a Western diet, modes of transport and continued growth is now starting to hit world commodity prices. 

It is a correction that is beyond Keynes, Friedman or Hayeck as regardless of your economic persuasion there is no theory that compensates for a fifth of the world's population coming on-line to world markets.

What we need is a little less of going on about "understanding people's worries" and a little more of "its our nation's backs against the wall and lets start competing our way out of this".  This would be consistent with the massive investment in education that has taken place recently (although the low literacy and numeracy levels take the shine of this message somewhat).

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#88)

"We need a Keynesian. We have been in a similar crisis before, and only Keynesian regulation dug us out of it."

So that would be Cameron then as his message about saving in good times and fueling the economic cycle at low points is more Keynesian than our monetarists

Sorry Comrade, but you've swallowed Tory propaganda wholesale. The period of global boom was 1999 - 2001. During that period, Labour ran a very tight fiscal policy and did "save up" producing large surpluses and paying down debt.

2001-2005 was a period of global weakness. The USA, France, germany, Italy and Japan all dipped into recession at some point in this period. German unemployment hit over 10%. As per Keynes, Labour loosened fiscal policy, and protected the UK economy from the global effect.

As a result our economy continued to grow, when others struggled.

But look what the Tories are doing - they are taking the result of our policies - the steady economy - pretending that 2001-2005 was "the good times" on the dubious logic that because our economic performance was steady, it would have happened automatically, and then claiming we should have "saved" and not loosened fiscal policy. 

Only 2001-2005 weren't the "good times" at all - else we wouldn't have seen recessions in other OECD countries. If fiscal policy had been tight during this period (which is what the Tories are claiming should have happened), then we would certainly have followed Germany and the others into recession.  

This is a classic example of Tories and others not understanding cause and effect at all. The economy was steady in 2001-2005 because we loosened fiscal policy. Simply looking at the results and pretending it would have happened anyway is voodoo economics. They are getting away with it, because people tend to take for granted the steady economy, assume it's all the result of magic, and tend not to have paid attention to what was happening in the rest of the world.

The last ten years have been quite turbulent in world history. Think about it. US interest rates were 1% from 2003 through 2004. The last time they were that low was the great depression. Does that sound like "good times" to you? In healthy situations, interest rates are around 5%. You only cut rates that much when there is a problem. US interest rates are 2% now - another sign that things arn't well. The fact is that this entire decade has been a rough one.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#117)

What a load of cobblers.

We have had growth for 63 consequitive quarters and this hasn't been good times? 

Whilst debt levels were reduced between 1997 to 2003, our debt as a percentage of GDP has been climbing steadily since April 2003 (when it was 36.2%) to the current point of 39% for the Bank of England statistics (rising since 2001-02 from the Tresury statistics).  The treasury's estimate is that it will top out at 40% but that is based upon 3% growth in 2010 and was before the reversals required by the 10p tax debacle. 

Tresury assumptions also so Taxtion to be above 40% of GDP and rising.

In addition, there has been a lot of "off-balance sheet" financing through public bodies lending in their own right for capital projects.

By what definition would you say that was Keynesian economics?




Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#13)

I disagree with your views that no other member of the PLP has the skills and experience to lead.  Skills and experience matter but so do does media performance and emotional literacy.  David Cameron is not skilled or experienced yet somehow he comes across as understanding the cost of fuel and food prices. Gordon Brown comes out with platitudes - the same old ones we have heard all year after each election defeat.  He is boring!  We have several members of the Cabinet - Milibands, Purnell, Johnson who would make better leaders and indeed be a  match for a resurgent Tory party. 

The public feel cheated anyway as they elected the party believing that Tony Blair would remain in office for the full term.   A reminder that Tony Blair attracted "middle England" and GB will never do so.  GB was in my opinion complicit in the coup to remove Tony Blair and for many years  schemed and plotted for the top job.  He only ever came to the rescue at elections if he felt his own position would be jeopardised.  I fail to see why I should now show loyalty to this man - does he deserve it?  His political machinations are embarrassing - anything to win political points.  As one who remains £112 a year worse off due to the 10p tax fiasco - he is not top of my pops.  And yes,  I did write to a number of Ministers to express my concern about the effect of the tax change when it was first announced but noone was interested.  I have supported the party for 43 years and am in despair at the current leadership. I also believe that the public's views are now entrenched regarding GB and no raft of policies will help his position.

The PLP should hang its head in shame.  There were enough indicators that GB would be a poor leader.  His behaviour has been well documented over many years.  The complacency by many in taking the electorate for granted is astounding. The days of party loyalty  (and safe seats) are beginning to disappear.  Perhaps our elected representatives  need to  wake up to the need to communicate and nurture their supporters.  We are heading for a defeat at the next election.  A new leader may just ensure that the Party is not totally wiped out.



Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#15)

Absolutely right.  GB was not essentially gifted his current job through (ALLEGED) bullying tactics. He is seen by a veyr significent number of people as aloof, arrogant, and cruically, appointed rather than elected. He is not seen as the trustworthy, credible choice, nor does he come across as humble, or understanding.

Posters on here are right to say that there are many issues outside the Westminster bubble which are concerning members of the public. But at the head of the Government of the nation is a man very few people trust with the main crux of that concern - the economy. If things continue to go bad for the housewife, or the road sweeper, or the teacher, or the shop owner, they need to know someone is taking the lead on the economic situation which means so much to their daily lives. And GB does not look like the man to do it.

A fourth term, or a fourth leader? There is another question - should someone stay in their position for the good of the party...or the good of the nation?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#16)

I for one am grateful that John's chosen to use this forum to get his message across. You can agree or disagree with his sentiment but it's good for our movement when the key figures choose to engage directly with the grassroots.

A lot of what appears in the newspapers about leadership battles and coups and such is down to MPs spending too much time talking to themselves and not enough time listening to people in the wider world.

Many thanks John, please do come back

Alex Hilton
alexhilton@gmail.com
07985 384 859

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#39)

Agreed.

Well done John for blogging on here.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#19)

I'm simply terrified that if Milliband doesn't put up then Hutton or Purnell will. I can't think of anything worse for Labour's core vote.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#21)

Actually, in the cabinet, Alan Johnson and the Millibands are quite principled, and decent. I think that only Johnson or D. Milliband can reunite a 1997 style coalition. Quite frankly, I would be leaning on Johnson to take charge, because I think he can keep the working class in the coalition. But it isn't a change of leader that's needed, it's a change of direction. But if Gordon can't offer that after a summer recess, we need both.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#46)

I think Miliband will be far better at uniting the party than Purnell.

Ideally I'd like to see Miliband as leader and Johnson as deputy leader.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#22)

Totally agree John, very well put.

People should be fighting the Tories.

Please everyone get behind our leader.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#23)

We need to do what's right, not just do the opposite of what the Tories do. I can see that can be tempting on a subject you are clearly passionate about (like fox hunting, although I think debating on that subject was wasted time). But we need to have a bold agenda, and tactics, seizing on good news and announcing our good policies with a bang, and to seize on bad news for the Tories. We need three or so policies that can define our legacy, which aren't necessarily McDonnelite, or Blairite, but policies that can appeal to both wings of the party.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#40)

Are you kidding? Do you really think it is as simple as that? What are we getting behind?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#44)

GET BEHING THE LEADER!!!

Our leader is the embodiment of a Bendy Bus in human form.

Short on usefulness, long on ...erm ... well.. long on length.

More physically unattractive than Michael Foot, but lacks the charisma of IDS.

So yes lets get behind this lumbering behomoth. Lets sit in this two year traffic jam as it flounders around the plebs of New Oxford Street.

And then Boris will come along and sell us to Albania to plough the streets of Tirana.

Hooray!

That's the answer, now where is my revolver...

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#24)

So, you're trying to tell me that nobody has the "right skills" to bring this country down. Please do beg my pardon, but I think I could do this just as well.

We need a leader with balls to do something about this damn mess that Brown has got us in.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#25)

Does anyone have a list of the 39 Labour MP'S that did not nominate Brown for leader?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#31)

Here's the list of MP's who nominated Gordon - it comes from a McDonnell supporters blog but is accurate. Among those who nominated Gord is your favourite Cruddas, Rosie!  People like John Hutton, Alan Milburn, Steven byers, who supposedly hate Gordon, all nominated him.

19 Compass MPs nominated McDonnell instead (they included people like Dianne Abbot). 3 Compass MP's nominated Meacher. I think the rest abstained (Frank Field was an abstainer).

But if you are thinking that a Labour successor may come from the list that didn't nominate Gordon, think again. The party has changed a lot since the 80's. There is no chance it will go hard left ever again. Even the unions won't stand for it.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#27)

We need a leader with balls to do something about this damn mess that Brown has got us in.

So definitely not Harman then.

How about Yvette Cooper - she's got Balls, in a manner of speaking, she must have her hands full with balls. What a mouthful.

LOL

Not Balls though, he doesn't have any.



John Reed is the the best option methinks, though we would still lose and he is very Scottish that guy is likable and capable.

It doesn't matter that much, anyone but Gordon was the motto of those that knew the man and now we all know him and should reognize what we have done.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#47)

John Reid?! As much as I like John, he's not exactly going to unite the party is he?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#49)

Hmm, ya that is the problem. I take the point.

BUT the Brownites would be in no possition to argue.

Frankly the only consideration should be, who can lead us the bigger seat tally at the next election.

MPs about to lose their jobs are likely to unite behind anyone that cacn help them.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#28)

I bet you never thought John Prescott would end up blogging but I felt this was the best way to talk to ordinary members at this important time. 

I think a lot of us hoped you'd just fade int the sunset clutching a can of Carnation milk.

I'm slightly puzzled by the title of your post referring to "a fourth leader".

Blair, Brown... so who would have been number three?

Single digit figures, John...

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#29)

I think he means John Smith, though why he starts History at that point and not say at Foot of Atlee is anyone's guess.

But credit to Prezza, he is a good man.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#56)

Though he did forget the briefly tenured Margaret Beckett

Re: Dear John when you read this he'll be gone (#30)

Dear John,
By the time you read this letter I'll be gone.
Whatever happened to all the plans we made.
They just seemed to fade.
I'll tell you how bad things are !!!(SERIOUSLY) I dreamt last night that my hero Dennis Skinner stood at the next election  and lost. (I sincerely hope he does choose to stand and that does not happen) Get real!- the electorate have had  years of freedom of information and are highly sophisticated because we taught and encouraged that. They know who filched the pension dividend tax credit.Northern Wreck Imposed phony green taxes etc. Fired up a consumer and housing boom. Rightly or wrongly they intensely dislike and mistrust the heir to Thatcher who they beleive is  in Downing Street right now. They instinctively know that Cameron the heir to Blair  is in the wrong party (and he knows it) but is enjoying every minute of waiting in the wings  to be elected. What a tragedy.  

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#32)

Chris Robert's (was he an election organiser in 2005 in west country) comments are a total disgrace, you are doing the job of the Tories.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#33)

No there is no Job to do for the tories.

Look at them! They are just sitting back and keeping their noses clean while we sink in eternal oblivion.

You know and I know and everyone knows that the tories are PRAYING for Gordon to stay. This is an open secret!

So it is you who are helping to make their dreams come true - and those dreams will be a nightmare the poor of the UK

If squeaky clean Cameron get in with a whopping majority as THEY WILL UNDER COMRADE GORDON, we are in for another shift in the political consensus against us.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#35)

"party members and the public will never forgive MPs and others who force Labour to go through another leadership election in less than two years"

There wasn't a leadership election - it was a coronation.  What the public will probably not forgive for 20 years or more is leaving the most unpopular PM in history, who has never been elected, in charge of this great country when he clearly lacks the management and leadership skills to do so.

If you want to guarantee that Labour is out of office for at least the next 20 years, keep Gordon.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#36)

Right! That is what I bin' sayin'.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#38)

YES YES YES!!! right on, that is exactly what will happen

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#41)

That Thatcher invite makes you think.

Maybe Thatcher really views Brown as a son...

She battered the Labour Party into the ground with her handbag...but didn't knock it out

But Brown has now some along to administer the coup de grace.

All you true believers who think he must stay are simply arguing for the gentle euthanasia option.

Bloody hell! Can't we at least go down fighting, instead of just going down, plodding along while "getting on with the job."

??

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term (#45)

I'm going to play a little devil's advocate here...

First of all, Mr Prescott welcome to LabourHome and be aware that there are Tory supporters as well as Labour supporter on this website [I'm one of the Tories]

I'm largely here for the debate and definitely enjoy doing so.

I am very very pleased that a titanic New/Old Labour figure such as your good self has taken time out from your still busy MP diary to talk to the ordinary members of Labour and to be able to put yourself here onto the net to be open to more blunt critique, something you yourself are not always afraid to wade into.

I do hope that you will reply to some of the comments left here and become more of an integrated blogosphere member much like Tom Harris.

For those who moan at John talking about a "Fourth leader" I think he is predominantly going on about when he came into proper influence within the inner circle [1994] which was under John Smith, because of his failed leadership attempt in that year he became the deputy leader.

 ----------------------

Now, moving onto the points. I agree with you, but voter anger goes a little deeper than Brown and this is something many LabourHome members here aren't getting.

This, quite simply is down to a few things....

 The problem of the economy isn't just a global problem totally outside ofthe government's control, and statements from Brown telling us to save our crusts etc [when waste per person is 4p a day] is completely pointless and little more than a showy gesture.

The only real and tenable option is to start finding a way of lowering taxes slightly at first and not showy gestures which do little more than rack up debt.

This frees up more money from the state and puts it back into their pockets as times become harder.

Public spending has also leapt out of control with the end of the economic cycle and this needs desperately looking into by a man with competent economics under his belt [I.E not Darling]

The other problem right now is, what does Labour Stand For?

At present many of the ideas it's enacting are either ultimately proving unpopular [such as 42 days ultimately has and the 10p placitation loan which has to be paid back eventually.]

Or has already been claimed months before by the Tories [The benefit reforms, inheritance tax, etc etc.]

It's all very well and good now that you do ask for the MP's to go out and campaign, but what do they campaign on as a genuinely serious question to you Mr Prescott, what should they go out there and do?

So far, as the local elections have shown, Labour campaigned in a half hearted manner due to hubris [as happened here in South Derbyshire] and promptly lost many councillors, and despite Labour getting it's act together since then, it's largely relied on leaking information that's supposedly "Damaging" to the Tory councillors, but is instead proving popular amongst the populace.

Or campaigned on a "Vote Tory, get Thatcher, she shall rise from the grave to consume you!" at which point many people promptly voted Tory. Infact they voted Tory so much that their councillors now outnumber Labour ones approximately 2 to 1.

With things looking so bleak politically [many always remember that Councils swing before the government does] it's no wonder that MPs are sharpening theoretical knives.

What they need, either way, is a rallying figure that seems to have some zeal around him. You've known Gordon for many many years Prezza, you know in your heart of hearts wether he has that zeal, and you also know how to get him out of his shell and at least into a decent fighting retreat instead of trotting out the same "Getting on with the job" phrases.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term (#52)

Nice to see John getting back to his grass roots; would that more Govt Ministers would keep in touch regularly with what the doorstep activists really have to put up with from the public about the Govt being slightly semi detached. We've been making excuses for the Govt for the past 5 years and its begining to wear a bit thin. We've been promising the public that better times will come, all they have to do is wait.  That 4th Term was never going to be easy  and the Govt has been making problems for itself, capturing defeat from the jaws of ..well victory of sorts. But the general feeling in the ranks is that we've reached a watershed, and that we may have to resort to unprecedented action to stave off a meltdown. We don't want to end up with ten years in opposition. once you've lost power its always difficult to win it back. So we have to go into the next election playing the strongest cards we have. Its not going to be at all easy.
John did some good things in Govt: Agenda 21 , Environment, Regional Assemblies and Devolution, although we lost the Referendum. He can do more, support PR because that may save us from a complete meltdown,  House of Lords Reform now, more public friendly policies with more forethought, and higher standards of behaviour from those in Govt.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#48)

JP - I agree with much of that, but I think you forfeited your right to act as our collective conscience when you chose to degrade our Labour Government with your inappropriate behaviour. Work is work, play is play. It's hard enough to make a Labour Government work without taking senior figures stupid gambles like that. As you said, we are Labour, not the Tories or the Lib Dems.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#50)

John,

You say that none of the current cabinet have the experience to be able to be Prime Minister.

This is manifestly not true. By the terms on which you yourself campaigned in 1997, most of the shadow cabinet at that point had had no experience of government (with one or two exceptions including yourself). Tony Blair had only ever been in opposition and yet he went straight from this to being PM. I recall at the time the "inexperience" point being made by Tories and the media and it was consistently brushed aside by yourself and your senior colleagues.

Every single member of the cabinet today has more government experience than Tony Blair had on May 2nd 1997.

Jack Straw has been Home Secretary (4 years), Foreign Secretary (4 years), Leader of the House and now Justice Secretary. In my living memory, only Jim Callaghan acceded to the office more qualified.

David Milliband worked alongside Tony Blair for several years and has since been Environment Secretary (vitally important ministry nowadays) and Foreign Secretary. He is amply qualified to accede.

Alistair Darling has held numerous cabinet posts in the last 11 years.

I could go on but I am sure you understand what I am saying.

I am not advocating any one of these individuals but the idea that there is nobody who could take over is insulting to the many talented men and women who make up the cabinet.


Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#96)

I agree.  Age does not permit him to denigrate able members of the Cabinet who are better qualified than he is.  Anyway, who is going to listen to him - he let us all down with his personal behaviour.  His intervention has done more harm than good.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#100)

I really dislike these personal attacks. I have many political differences with John Prescott, but this is a man who has loyally served the movement over many years. I can't possibly see how his intervention has done any harm whatsoever - quite the reverse. It's a call for a sober and sane response to a very dangerous situation.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#51)

John. Nice to hear from you. You are right of course. It would be madness to ditch Gordon now, and the sooner the infighting and backbiting stops the better!
Gordon definitely needs his holiday, but he should cut it to 2 weeks and come back fighting. He desperately needs to be seen to do something; no more getting on with the job, time for ACTION! 
1. Urgent reshuffle: Ditch all the Blairite   conspiratorial rump in the cabinet and lets get some "best when we are LABOUR" back in.  Margaret Beckett for Chancellor; Ed Balls for Home Sec; Yvette Cooper for Chief Whip; Denis Skinner for Foreign Sec - Why the Hell not!?.
2. Go for some quick hits against inflation.  Renationalise all public services and utilities and immediately restore prices of petrol, gas and electricity to 1997 levels. Just do it!!
3. Get a grip on law and order - you don't need me to spell it out. This country is crying out for a tough leader who's not afraid to take tough decisions.
4. Bring back Alistair Campbell and Peter Mandelson into Downing St as your key advisors, and give them total authority over the cabinet, and 'difficult' back benchers, while you are freed up to sell your vision to the electorate.
5. Call an election in mid September

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#57)

Bring Back Maggie (Becket)

BALLS!!! YOU WANT BALLS!! YOU ADMIRE THAT GUY!!

You must understand that the public hate him more than anyone. He is a nohoper! Are you joking?

More than anyone else apart from Brown, Balls is responsible for our current predicament.

And more than anyone else he represents the bureaucratic wonking minister that are so hated around the country.

AHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!

Well, why not just pack it in now then?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#64)

Urgent reshuffle: Ditch all the Blairite   conspiratorial rump in the cabinet and lets get some "best when we are LABOUR" back in.  Margaret Beckett for Chancellor; Ed Balls for Home Sec; Yvette Cooper for Chief Whip; Denis Skinner for Foreign Sec - Why the Hell not!?.

Erm...because we actually still want to exist as a serious political party?

That sounds to me like a Cabinet of the damned and the retired.

Get rid of the Blairites and there won't be any Cabinet left worth speaking of.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#97)

Disagree.  Certainly bring back Margaret Beckett as she handles the media well.  Bring back Alan Milburn, Charles Clarke and promote Ed Miliband and Caroline Flint.  Demote Ed Balls - he is a vote loser, arrogant and poor performer despite his intellect.   Demote Douglas Alexander and Des Browne and bring in a few new faces.  Better still get rid of GB.  He is a disaster.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#53)

I agree with your sentiments, but I'm surprised that you posted this to a public forum. You're calling for internal party disipline, maybe MembersNET would have been a better place for such a blog.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#59)

Ach, no point.

It would be leaked in 2 minutes so what difference?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#54)

Can I, as someone commonly regarded around here as an Evil Selfish Tory, make a point that everyone else seems to be missing (not just here but in the wider debate).

Gordon Brown must be under incredible pressure. Being PM is bad anyway, but having to cope with two wars, global economic meltdown, dismal poll ratings -  I don't think it would be any exaggeration to suggest that he must be under more stress than any PM for decades. And if the press reports I read are true, he might not be coping well.

Regardless of  the effect on the country, or of the Labour Party's electoral prospects: does anybody, friend or foe, really want to see the man driven to a nervous breakdown? Is anything worth that? John Prescott says that Brown is the most able person in the party to lead the country. Maybe he's right. But God, we're talking about one of the country's two major political parties. Even if not as experienced or able, there must be someone else. What if he did have a breakdown? What about a heart attack or a stroke? Who would you choose then? It's for sure you wouldn't just say "Well, Gordon was all there was", call a general election, give in to whoever won and all quit politics.

The man wants to serve his country. Good for him. But there are limits to what the country is entitled (and would want) to ask of him or his family,  and I genuinely wonder whether these limits are being reached. Note also that one of the symptoms of being pushed to the limit (and I've been there) is precisely the inability to realise what is happening to you sometimes until it's almost too late. Some people never realise at all.

John, if you're reading these comments, you are the ideal man to check. Nobody could accuse you of disloyalty or of personal ambition if you started talking to people - quietly, and off the record. Talk to his cabinet colleagues. Talk to his family. And talk to him personally. And if you do find that the demands being made of him are taking more than the rest of are entitled to ask, get him to quit. For his family's sake if not for his own.

 

 

 

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#60)

Well yes, Gordon is under pressure as he's dealing with a confluence of events that Blair didn't have to deal with. And Blair's health did suffer dealing with Iraq (hence the reason Blair announced in 2004 that he would step down in the next parliament).

And given the work on his plate, Brown isn't being helped by Labour members and Labour MP's bothering him all the time about the leadership. If we change leader, we will have to have a general election, and we simply arn't ready. Which is why of course Tories like yourself are agitating for the leadership change!! 

My advice to MP's with ants in their pants is to go take their holiday, and then sit down with their constituency parties and discuss how to get their local canvass data up to scratch and formulate a plan as to how to get their voter contact up. Only when every CLP in the country has their canvass and voter ID bang up to date should we even consider thinking about a general election. By the evidence of Glasgow east it will take till 2010 anyway to get things up to date, given how many constituencies have been neglected. It will also take another two years for the SNP honeymoon to fade and voters in Scotland to realize that their extravagant and expensive promises haven't been delivered. 

So we might as well go into the next election with Gordon at the helm. AFAIK Brown has indicated unofficially that he will step down in the next parliament anyway. Waiting two years gives potential candidates a chance to put together really exciting and new platforms. Going with a palace coup now will leave us with same-old same-old.  

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#68)

If we change leader, we will have to have a general election, and we simply arn't ready.

The Prime Minister is simply first amongst equals. So far as I am aware there is absolutely nothing in the British constitution that would demand a general election after another leadership change. Of course the British people might not like it and you could lose support if you didn't; that's the risk you would have to take, balanced against the possibility of regaining more support over the period until your five years was up.

 

Which is why of course Tories like yourself are agitating for the leadership change!!

 

I'm not agitating for change. There are no ulterior motives behind my post (or any other - for me, what you see is what there is). I'm simply pointing out that amongst all the fuss and bluster, right at the core there is an emotional human being who must be under terrific strain, and asking - nothing more - whether perhaps regardless of any other issues what he is being put through is beyond what anybody could reasonably ask.

 

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#79)

Alex, was it you that wrote a letter to the Indie, talking about smacking of children? Just wandering.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#92)

Yep

 

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#95)

Well it was a very eloquant and well explained argument, even though I disagreed with your position.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#55)

I struggle with the fourth leader. A third yes.

Blair, Brown, ANOther and  ANOTHER?

So is John suggesting you ditch Brown and then his successor?
Or is the Heading catchily written ... but wrong?

If the latter it sums up the Party's problem: it can't do basic sums...

If the former.. well

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#58)

No Prescot is counting himself as the third, cos he played prime minister every summer see?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#62)

Hmm. Are you sure you are labour? Hatred of Gordon, hatred of Beckett, hatred of Balls, now you are attacking Prescott? Labour people have a soft spot for Prescott - he helped keep our large and diverse coalition together for many years.

At least Angry Voter and AlexSwanson are open about their Tory affiliation. There is nothing worse though than people who are sneakily pretending to be someone they arn't.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#65)

Jesus, I can't believe it, it is the 70s all over again.

Where do I say I hate Becket or Presctt? I noted above that Prescott is a great man, and I mean it, he is. I think she is great, I don't hate Gordon I just think that he is killing us slowly.

I do despise Balls though, but everyone who has ever met the guy does, he is a total asshat. He is pure ambition and lacks any of the comensurate talent or self awareness.

Look you need to wise up fast.

The tories want nothing better than Gordon to stumble on.

He must be deposed and we we must hold the center if we want power.

If we want impotence, we can carry on as is.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#67)

Look.

If you look at the crowd that glued themselves to Gordon in anticipation of his coronation.


These are people of excedingly poor judgement, since they were only into power for themselves and have done serious damage.



I don't think people like that are going to be any use to the party going forward.

My prediction is that in five years time all of the Brown suck ups will be backbenchers with no hope of promotion.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#69)

At least Angry Voter and AlexSwanson are open about their Tory affiliation

Can I just point out for the record that I am not currently a member of any political party, and any opinions I express are entirely my own and might well be just as unwelcome amongst the Conservative Party leadership as here.

Let's recall something I've already (hopefully modestly) referred to in passing in the past, that I was once publicly agreed with by Tony Blair in the House of Commons, something which I think puts me ahead of most Labour Party members. October 2004 IIRC, if anyone wants to look it up in Hansard.

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#71)

Remember that Blair was elected by Labour members by a stonking margin. Some even remember that he came up with the minimum age idea when shadow employment minister!  Some disagreed with him on Iraq, of course, but no one agrees with any given leader about everything.

You were a Milton Keynes Conservative weren't you? What happened? You do know you are very welcome to do a blog post on what you think about david Cameron at any time :-)   

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#73)

that should say minimum wage 

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#77)

You were a Milton Keynes Conservative weren't you?

True.

 

What happened?

Belonging to a political party means that you have to compromise on some things in order to gain benefit on others - for example, it helps if you want to get elected to a local council. I decide that the benefits were no longer worth the costs (financial and otherwise).

In case you're wondering, I had absolutely no quarrel with the local party or anybody in it, especially not the local Conservative MP Mark Lancaster or the Milton Keynes South PPC Iain Stewart, for whom I have a very high regard and who in my opinion will make an excellent MP.

 

I think discussing David Cameron here would probably be drifting  too far off-topic, but feel free to monitor ConservativeHome ;-)

 

 

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#72)

What's all this buzz about a 4th leader anyway???

Do Kinnock and those that preceded him not count anymore?

Re: Campaign for a Fourth Term not a Fourth Leader (#74)

I am not a Labour supporter - I am a Blair supporter. Sorry if this rankles somewhat with some of you, but I am presently disenfranchised for reasons that are pretty clear at my blog. (Google "Keep Tony Blair")

I recently put together a bit of fun called Labour Wiki 2050. Hopefully you people can avoid it coming true. It would be dreadful to think that New Labour was in the end no more than a blip.

Death of Labour and Wiki entry 2050

Now if Blair were still in charge and was doing what I think NEEDS to be done - and it ain't the economy, stupid - I'd be in there with you, campaigning to keep out the empty vessel that is Cameron's Tories.

As things stand it really is difficult to know WHAT Labour can do. You can hardly give us another leader and PM, who would likely only be interim and go down to defeat anyway, unless Cameron's Tories fluff it. And you already know the press would crucify you if another coronation were held. The public, who ALWAYS listen to the press's screaming headlines, caused you (largely) to lose the BEST leader you ever had. They then smiled incongruously while you found (arguably) the WORST one.

Perhaps you need to think ahead and see if you can catch out the Tories on something upon which they are soft - like 42 days' detention. Oh no, forgot. Many of you are soft on that too.<