The case against Brown staying

I would love for someone to put forward a convincing argument on why Gordon Brown should stay as leader of this Party.

After all this time I have only heard one: that the Party can’t afford a leadership election. My mate David reminded me earlier. That’s hardly the inspiring clarion call – but can someone come up with a good argument that he should stay?

Let’s look at a few:

“We should support our leader.”
We should support our party in order to help improve this country. We should support our leader when we believe in him and his capability. At this point the majority do not.

Incidentally, did he support the last leader? Can he really demand loyalty? I think not.

“Who will you replace him with?”
If we continue as we are, Brown WILL be replaced by David Cameron.

What were his qualifications before the Conservative leadership? Are you really saying that despite 11 years in Government, we have nobody comparable to Clegg or Cameron who can’t do a better job than is being done now?

Wouldn’t someone less qualified than Brown need the experience of people around him or her? Wouldn’t this be a collaborative effort where a new leader couldn’t afford not to listen?

“We shouldn’t do the Tories’ work for them”
The Tories are cock-a-hoop that their policy less party is riding high. They love Gordon Brown’s premiership – it’s making it so easy for them to even pretend that they’d do better.

We are now without a coherent message on what we want to achieve, a completely infertile media to plant what we do have and a leader whom it is generally accepted cannot argue it anyway.

If there was a “message” it would be, “We’re not the Tories” which doesn’t wash anymore. People mistakenly believe there’s no difference and that a message of what we’re against, rather than what we’re for does not motivate.

This country is already choked by cancerous cynicism and it used to be our job to counter it rather than sustain it.

Our work, as opposed to the Tories work, is to win, govern well and deserve to win again not spout about loyalty to a politician before our loyalty to serving the public and the Party’s movement.

“Give him another year to sort it out”
Governance of this country isn’t ours to give! Since the election wipe out in May can you think of one encouraging sign that he is listening or has developed a logical plan to dig us out? One? PLEASE?

We’ve seen “it’s the economy”, “let’s love middle England” and a right-wing agenda. We’re still in freefall. Last October he said he wanted the chance to show the Country his vision. Well?

If there was anything in the past year that demonstrated an ability to make improvements next year, then perhaps, but what is there?

“Two leaders without a general election – the British public won’t stand for that.” Ok – what will they do to us? Swing away in our safest seats? Hammer us in local elections? Call us the nasty Party (bloody incredible!!!)?

Will they take every policy announcement and treat it with contempt? Will they bury every single bit of good news we’ve had in eight months? Will they ignore job figures and falling crime rates?

Because that’s what they’re doing now. Can we not at least try to improve our situation? The public will not like a second leader but everyone knows that when an organisation makes a mistake, the test of their offering is how they compensate that mistake.

Our mistake was letting Gordon in unopposed – we’re still not opposing him now. In the eyes of the British public we are now complicit in this series of mismanagement and if we’re still where we are in a year’s time, by God I expect they will show us what they won’t stand for.

“He’s not good at presentation, he’s good at substance – that’s what counts.”
The substance was in the tone of the nasty Crewe campaign which he signed off and we lost badly. The detail was in the 10p tax which he denied for months and then accepted after an election routing.

The substance for an electoral strategist was understanding that speculation on an election would be critically compromising if we were to back down on that election.

The details were there for anyone interested in them in the policy announcements on non-Doms, capital gains tax changes, stabbers visiting A&E and on and on and on.

“The economy will turn around in time before election, and with it our chance will improve.”
The economy improved from 1995 to 1997 and it didn’t save Major. If the pressures are international, what looks set to change that will aid our recovery? Will China and India stop drinking up the oil? Will Iran all of a sudden abandon its desire for nuclear weaponry? Will North Korea?

Even if there is an improvement, will the press and “narrative” attribute it to Brown. It’d want to be a pretty spectacular improvement to turn around 22% swings against us.

“He’s a decent man, it’s not like Labour to wield the knife.”
My MP, Clive Efford, is a wonderfully decent man and a very hardworking and honourable constituency MP. The way things are going, he’s going to be routed in a London marginal. There are scores of others and it’s them I’d be very worried about.

The bigger disloyalty to the Party is to allow this train wreck to continue. The biggest disservice to the public is put our Leader ahead of competent governance.

“I’m from [insert faction] and our poll figures just typify how wrong/arrogant/out of touch/compromised [insert other faction] are.”
Whatever faction you’re from – it’s not the Conservative Party who stand to walk into government while we seem paralysed.

Finally, my understanding of responsibility is that you accept blame that you are owed. I find it difficult to respect Brown when he pulls the old "It's not me Gov" routine. I accept he comes in for some criticism that he doesn't deserve but I don't think I;ve included any of it here and it's still a pretty compelling case against him.

If any business, football team or any organisation had a string of results like ours, you look to the person in charge and ask what is to be done.

“It’s the economy” and “I’m getting on with the job” are not proper accountable answers and I think we have a right to demand better.

Please, convince me I’m wrong.

Display: Sort:

Re: The case against Brown staying (#1)

Good post!

Here are some important reasons why Gordon should stay...

1) He's waited ages for this opportunity to rule the country so don't take it away from him - that wouldn't be very nice

2) Noone wants to carry for the can for leading us into defeat at the next election

Re: The case against Brown staying (#2)

"1) He's waited ages for this opportunity to rule the country so don't take it away from him - that wouldn't be very nice"

Nice? This is politics, not a ladies tea-circle! If he is damaging the country then he has got to go. On the other hand, if he is only damaging his party then it matters a lot less.

 

"2) Noone wants to carry for the can for leading us into defeat at the next election"

So find someone who is retiring at the next election anyway. Otherwise pick someone and let him lead through the expected defeat with a remit of building the party and handing it over to an untainted successor.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#101)

"It is simply natural justice that this awful fate should befall Brown rather than, say, Miliband, because it was Brown wot done it"

It is ironic that he has inherited the economy he created. I do think that he is largely the architect of his own misfortune.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#108)

as far left as the electorate will tolerate???

Not been watching Obama's successes then?

Re: The case against Brown staying (#3)

Good post, I'm still unsure as to what we should do, but what we do, should wait until the hysteria of Glasgow East has settled.

My only gripe would be if not Brown, then who? It is all well and good saying Brown is incompetent, but can you really see anyone who is a) capable of leading us out of the very deep hole we are in and b) is willing to lead us out.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#4)

take a gamble on a progressive

Wiseman

Re: The case against Brown staying (#5)

but can you really see anyone who is a) capable of leading us out of the very deep hole we are in and b) is willing to lead us out?

John McDonnell for one...

Re: The case against Brown staying (#7)

He couldn't secure enough nominations last time around, could he really have such a large turnaround in fortunes just a year later to make him a viable contender? I realise that times have changed since then, and the absence of an outright favourite for successor as Brown was in 2007 increases his chances, but realistically, the successor is more likely to come from the cabinet.

McDonnell would be ok, he has policies which will 'shore up the core vote' and he is a man of conviction, which is perhaps what we need after Brown's supposed dithering, but has he got the identity to do it? Has he got enough presence in the Parliamentary Party to command them and achieve something before the next election? He has no media personality (which may prove to be an advantage), will he be able to win us the 'air war'? My instincts tell me probably not.

Either way, the original problem is that disposing of Gordon is one problem. Finding someone to replace him who we can all agree on and has the talent and charisma to lead us back is an entirely different problem. My point being that there's no point getting rid of Gordon unless we've got a good idea that there is someone (or a few people) better waiting in the wings.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#8)

One thing that people who have heard McDonnell speak will be able to confirm is that he is articulate, intelligent, has a sense of humour and is media friendly (compared to Corbyn, for example, who is very intelligent but comes across terribly in the media).

His recent 'May Manifesto' would have been regarded as very moderate in any previous Labour administration.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#9)

I agree, he is a good orator, but he hasn't got the same mainstream recognition that other political figures have - if the electorate don't know who he is, how will he fair with them? If he gets it, and assuming he'll introduce a far different policy agenda from our 2005 manifesto, and given that he'll be the 2nd Labour leader without a electoral mandate, it would only be fair to go to the polls. He would have no time to establish himself or attain the recognition that an incumbent needs, he'd be unable to make any significant impact.

The likely successors are probably confined to:
David Milliband
Purnell
Johnson
Balls
Harman
Straw (?)

None of them inspire me, nor do they really fill me with much confidence that they will do better than Brown.


Re: The case against Brown staying (#11)

The likely successors are probably confined to:
David Milliband
Purnell
Johnson
Balls
Harman
Straw

Which underlines the sad state of affairs within the Labour Party.  There simply is not sufficient leadership capability or political talent in the cabinet.  Purnell, Balls and Harman are liabilities and Straw is past his sell-by date.  Milliband is potential leadership material but his experience is limited; Johnson is a minister who doesn't get enough credit when its due - whether he has either the capability or the inclination to replace Brown is questionable.

MacDonnell would have very limited appeal inside the PLP.  The heavyweights of New Labour are either discredited (e.g. Clarke) or past-it (e.g. Reid).  There are no obvious candidates for leader, an unfortunate ramification of Brown being leader-in-waiting for over twelve years.

I would be more concerned with a change of political direction than with a change in leader.  I would have welcomed MacDonnell standing against Brown last year  -not because I thought he would have won, but in order to have an open and democratic discussion about the way forward for the Labour Party, the lack of which I believe we have been sadly weakened by.

The arguments for ousting Brown are very convincing up to a point, but ultimately don't stand up to scrutiny: they don't look at the likely consequences of a coup or the potential difference a change in leader would make, whoever that leader might be.

It is pointless debating the end of Brown's premiership when there appears to be no-one willing to succeed him or challenge him.  Thatcher was removed after rebellion from within the cabinet, and at the time when Heseltine was making his ambitions perfectly clear.  There are no such machinations in the Labour government currently.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#12)

Sorry rifles, McDonnell really isn't up to much rhetorically or media.  Could you imagine him in PMQs against Cameron?  Even Cleggie would get the better of him.

As for his policies, I'd be delighted if Labour picked him and all his policies, put them to the country and let the people decide.  If there's one thing we know, it's that people aren't deserting Labour because they're not left-wing enough.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#13)

Sorry rifles, McDonnell really isn't up to much rhetorically or media.  Could you imagine him in PMQs against Cameron?  Even Cleggie would get the better of him.

Yes, I've seen him debating various people and have no doubt he would hold his own against either of those.

As for his policies, I'd be delighted if Labour picked him and all his policies, put them to the country and let the people decide.  If there's one thing we know, it's that people aren't deserting Labour because they're not left-wing enough.

If there's one thing we in the Labour Party know, it's that we've lost millions of voters since the 1990s because Labour have been too right wing. I know Tories love to believe that the British people have an abhorrence of socialism but it isn't borne out by any evidence.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#15)

Wind your neck back in, MacDonnell  as leader? He could even find 45 MPs to sign his nomination papers! How can he lead the PLP!

Re: The case against Brown staying (#17)

Thanks to the bullying of Brown, who nobody wanted to upset.

In a truly open contest we might find out what MPs really think instead of what they dare to think in public.

As for Croslander, you clearly don't know many people on the left if you think that. Maybe somebody else will challenge him for the Chair of the Campaign Group though, and prove me wrong. I know of one 'left' MP who can't stand McDonnell, because he sees straight through what a fraud she is. Maybe that's what you're referring to.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#22)

Is this person a fraud because they disagree with McDonnell? Ann Cryer? Diane Abbott? I have a sneaking suspicion that you are reffering to Ann Clwyd?

Re: The case against Brown staying (#26)

Not Ann Clwyd, but I'm not saying any more.

This person is seen as a radical leftist and loves that image but is basically an opportunist.

 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#81)

I am remembering fondly the ridiculous spectacle of McDonnel and Meacher failing the scrounge 45 nominations. Will that do?

Re: The case against Brown staying (#109)

yes, because a lot of MPs who wanted to nominate him to ensure a contest were too afraid of having their careers made to look a lot less attractive if they did so - because everyone was 'encouraged' to sign up to the charade of the mass GB nomination that ended up looking like some USSR poll result!

Re: The case against Brown staying (#18)

When Crosland stood for the leadership he got the votes of 17 Labour MPs but I'm assuming that you (like me) think he would have made a better leader than Brown?

Things have changed since this time last year, the most obvious change has been the perceived unbeatability of Brown.  That has not only changed, it seems almost absurd.

I haven't been calling for Brown to go, but someone reported a rumour on here that Brown would go after the next election anyway (win or lose) - maybe just a rumour, but if Brown doesn't want to be Prime Minister (he certainly doesn't seem to have much idea what to do with the role) - and none of these ambitious Cabinet ministers want to be PM in a crisis - there are people who would do the job, and do it very well.  I'd certainly be up for John4Leader 08 (or 09, 10, etc.)

I can't really see the point of two years of a Brown premiership if even his closest supporters see it as putting off an inevitable defeat to the last minute.  Think of what a Labour government could do in two years (and has done in the past)!  And if we have some major achievements, then maybe people will ask for five years more?  Biding time is pointless.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#82)

He did indeed, and sadly as he could not command the support of the PLP he could never have been leader we would have liked to have seen him be. We don't choose our leaders in a vacuum, nomination papers are required; Handshakes, ink and paper.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#127)

Ride on 10 rifles Mcdonnell for pm

Re: The case against Brown staying (#16)

He is also apolocalyptically unpopular, even on the tiny left.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#53)

just because he may be a bad calypso dancer doesn't undermine his leadership potential

Re: The case against Brown staying (#80)

Ha ha touche! *uses spellcheck*

Re: The case against Brown staying (#6)

Re: The case against Brown staying (#14)

Well known loyalist breaks cover... I'm giggling into my Heineken.

The really funny thing about Kenny et al is that half the time they don't mean to be unhelpful or willfully provocotive, they just allow themselves to be led up the garden path by the news anchors - they are such easy marks if you are a lazy journo trying to get a story up. 

They are such canny operators in private but they are like schoolkids in front of the TV cameras.

Its like an inverse version of the classic Tory row - just give Tebbit or someone a ring, get your quote and run your story. 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#10)

[Apologies - Copied from an earlier thread]

I think the problem with replacing GB is that the public will view changing PM very differently from changing leader in opposition, an idea the Tories have helped the great British public become very accustomed to over the last few years. 

Changing PM means an interegnum during the election process which will do major harm to the money markets, leading to a media feeding frenzy and irresistable demands for an immediate General Election which we could not win.

The public will not accept any political argument for two unelected PMs (I am afraid a discussion about primus inter pares won't change that) and they will not accept the economic implications of two to three months of utter chaos. We would be slaughtered on both counts, a political wipeout far worse than even pessismists on our side are currently anticipating.

I am sorry if I sound bleak, but the prescription is to keep our nerve, be the best Government that we can for two years and do what we can to expose Cameron et al. Anything else will be viewed as self indulgent folly.

And you never know, there are always events dear boy, events.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#19)

One reason for not having a leadership election now is that many potential candidates will get excluded. Jacqui Smith for instance has done rather well as Home secretary, people like her and are reassured by her. And Home Secretary is a rough job - she's made the best fist of it of all the Labour Home Secretaries. She would be a good managerial PM who gets on with all parts of the party.

But she's in a marginal seat. Now, she should get re-elected (as she's raised her profile as Home Secretary, whereas in 2005 she was meerly an obscure whip). But if the leadership election is held now she would be ruled out, simply because no-one knows if she'll get re-elected.  This applies also to other potential PM's like John Denham. We have to wait till after the general election so we know who is left standing or not.

Secondly, the reason Glasgow East was lost was because there were no canvass returns. The local party had been LAZY and hadn't done any canvassing or leafletting for years. Same story in Crew and Nantwich. You can't ignore voters for years on end and then expect them to vote for you. You have to do the graft on the ground. Oxford proves the point - they seem to increase support there every election due to effort on the ground.

The problem with us members is that we think that it should be all about the leadership while we ourselves waste time moaning online. Actually it's down to us too. Canvassing restores the link between voter and government. In the old days, when doors were knocked regularly, there was a direct link between government and governed. Voters said what was on their minds, and it was fed straight up. Now, with the demise of canvassing, voters feel helpless. Government is remote, mediated through journalists in London who claim they speak for voters but who never leave the capital. The only way for the voter to get govt's attention is to have upsets at by-elections. This is an unhealthy state of affairs. We need to get back to old-fashioned politics and away from the American presidential style where it is all about the media and the leader and nothing else counts.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#32)

Its not that activists are necessarily lazy.  I heard that Glasgow East had quite a lively, active local party.  But there is no incentive to go out and canvas if you expect to easily win the seat and haven't faced a competitive election in years.  Its the screwed up logic of our electoral system that's at fault.  Alex makes the point well in his recent post on 'what Labour does now'  http://www.labourhome.org/story/2008/7/25/11286/0181

Re: The case against Brown staying (#20)

Great post!

Brown has been a disaster as Prime Minister.  The loss of Glasgow East is terrible - this is our Newbury or Christchurch by-election. 

What I think we need to answer though is - are people fed up with Brown or is it a wider problem with Labour.  My gut says its the latter, which makes any successor's job extremely difficult.

I personally think we need to skip a generation - someone like Jacqui Smith or David Miliband, with someone like John Denham or Jon Cruddas as Deputy.  We need a southern politician as deputy to balance the leadership.  

The trouble with Brown is he is out of touch, he just doesn't get it anymore.  He doesn't connect with today's voter because he is still making arguments based on the politics of the 1997 and 2001 parliaments.  Look at how he has responded to things like climate change, knife crime and choice and control in public services. 

The likes of Straw would face the same problems.  Ed Balls would be a disaster - he is too smug and doesn't come across well via the media.  McDonnell am afraid would win us votes in those Liberal intellgensia seats but would scare off middle class voters in the midland and southern marginals.  He also has no recognition outside the party. 

The scary element about this is that Cameron is now defining the political agenda - Brown looks outclassed compared to Cameron (as well as out of touch). 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#23)

Excellent point. I also think we don't advertise real achievements in the last year (agency workers, buses, slave domestics etc.), or since 2001. When people ask about why they should vote for Labour, our leaders talk of the rather geuine achievements, but the ones which we made between 1997-2001. The voter is inevitably going to say, "Well what have you done for me lately?"

Re: The case against Brown staying (#21)

'The Party can’t afford a leadership election'

In my view the party can't afford not to have a leadership election. I blame Labour MP's, they could have forced Brown to have to get elected (by nominating McDonnel) but they didn't, now look where we are.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#24)

Another reason to get rid of Brown: at the local elections, London Mayoralty, Crewe and Nantwich, Henley and now Glasgow East the media have put out the message to voters that if Labour loses/does badly Brown will be for the chop. What has happened? Each time Labour has done worse than worse case scenario. This seems to me the message is we do not want Brown as leader.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#25)

I used to like the Labour Party, but not any more - I was delighted to see they lost Glasgow East, and if they can lose there then they can lose anywhere. :) :) :) 

 

The question you need to be asking is what has Brown done that is so wrong to send the party's support into meltdown.  Then you need a new leader to undo the wrong Brown has done.

 

Gordon Brown has done nothing but try and appeal to Daily Mail reading 'Middle England' by treating Labour's base with contempt.  By doing so he's been letting a rather unpleasant bunch (who are far from a majority) set the agenda and dictate policy rather than acting like a leader in control and actually leading.

 

  •  Making the poorest worst of by abolishing the 10p tax band in order to wrong foot the Conservative Party at the budget.
  • Ignoring the experts to please the Daily Mail by making the weed class B (as someone who regards cannabis a holy sacrament this was when Labour lost my vote for sure).
  • Stigmatising certain people (or trying too).

The list could go on and on so I'll stop it.

In short, ditch Brown and a get a liberal progressive leader who concentrates on helping the worst off first. That's what Labour is supposed to be about, progress, tolerance, and giving those who need it a helping hand - not implementing the agenda of Paul Dacre.

Oh and legalise cannabis too, the oppression has gone on to long - I've decided to make that one a vote deciding issue now.  Looks like I'll be going for Clegg...

Re: The case against Brown staying (#128)

Im still a labour party member but you are right lamme we waited over 18 tory years to elect a labour gov and we ended up with much of the same.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#27)

Are you a Conservative front Mr Hannon?! I came close to posting about the posting here vs CH and LDV - with this one being basically an "open mic" whereas the others are not except in comments, with CH a little more censorious.

But leaving that aside just now I really can't see any benefit from having this leadership debate (a) in public and probably (b) at all.

It's the policies. And it's the communication. Leave the posing to Cam. Tony Woodley is good in the Guardian. It's the policies. His proposal is getting rid of the "wealth-eaters" remaining in the cabinet. The Blairites.

If you're not a Conservative are you perchance a Blairite? That tendancy rather than McDonnell would be most likely to triumph should Brown leave or be ousted.

Think on. 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#38)

No Chris – you think on.

It’s hard to respond to that diplomatically so I apologise if I choose the wrong words and appear to take a high hand.

It is so annoying, unfair and predictable that the minute someone offers constructive criticism, he or she is accused of being a Tory. This isn’t a game to me – it isn’t “us v them” or some exercise in defending the leader no matter what. The problems we have need to be addressed, not ignored.

Your adopting the antiquated notion that if we don’t talk about the leadership, we don’t benefit “the enemy” is actually more hurtful to us as far as rational readers are concerned. We’re not a totalitarian organisation – don’t try and make us look like one and please don’t question my motives again.

Opposition parties are clearly benefiting from the problems we’re having in government – they’ve never done so well and deserved so little. It’s not posts here that are winning them 22% swings!

We welcome open, honest discussion and if you can show me where I’ve been unfair or disloyal to the Party rather than the leader, I’ll take it back.

Matter of fact, from 30 or so comments, I can’t find anyone who answered the question – why should he stay. Someone said it would be arrogance to replace him – I think it’s a far greater arrogance to leave awful enough a situation alone.

You seem to think that we shouldn’t replace Brown because a “Blairite” would win. I appalled at the pettiness when we’re facing Brown being replaced by Cameron and a Tory government.

Think about that.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#43)

Re: The case against Brown staying (#44)

Re: The case against Brown staying (#28)

Anyone who suggest that GB appeals to middle England needs a reality check. He's about as popular as dog poo on your shoe.

I thought the original blog summed up the issue very well..

Let me put it like this: How come your election process allowed Brown to be elected? Anyone who read any polls KNEW he would be a disaster. So did Tony blair and Lord Levy. And others.

Until you sort your election process out, you'll end up with another leader as bad as Brown.

Look at the Tories. Their election forced each candidate to canvass and talk about their vision. it worked. D Davies would have been a disaster as Leader.. that was obvious.

If Labour had a proper selection process forcing candidates to campaign and speak (remember the conservative one was televised), you've go no hope in hell. Or you will elect Harriet Harman - which will be the kiss of death.

You need winners as Leaders...  not policy wonks or bullies or both.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#31)

The fact he's not popular with middle England doesn't stop him trying to suck up to them by pretending he's something he's not.  Nobody likes a charlatan...

Re: The case against Brown staying (#29)

I use to vote Labour - a long time ago. However when the unions got dirty with the general public, I backed Heath. Not long after my wife gave birth to a lovely daughter and i seriously started to think of what was happening to the UK and should I leave this country that I love and offer my family a better future. If Thatcher had lost against Callaghan, we would have emigrated.

It seems to me that events are spiralling out of control and that the country is significantly opposed to Brown as PM.

 Tony Hammond has shown me that the case against Brown is understood. I believe that either Brown (unlikely) or the Labour Party will show sense and put the country's interests first.

 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#39)

...and if the Party did would you come back?

It's "Hannon".
;-)

Re: The case against Brown staying (#116)

I don't think I would. In my view there is a significant political realignment on the way. As I see it the 'middle ground' is an undeliverable. Politicians of all types roll out platitudes but do not have the means to deliver.

 At the heart of sub-prime is the financial weakness of the poorest house-owners - just the people that GB has made poorer and who need extra support through lower taxation. Tax credits have misfired etc etc.

If a man walked into a pub in Marlow and said - Vote for me, I will make people in Marlow better off!" - people would laugh at him - and yet that's being said nationally - no-one believes these guys anymore.

 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#140)

But if nobody listens to them, who's to prevent fascists from attaining power?

Surely it is about exercising informed judgement about the best (or least worst) candidates and parties?

Re: The case against Brown staying (#30)

The job of a new leader is simple. Call a General Election and do as well as possible.  I suspect that the public has made its mind up that they want Labour out and Cameron to have a go.  But they utterly loathe and despise Gordon.  Labour MPs will not be forgiven for allowing him to hang on another 10 or 20 months.

Jim Callaghan was a bit more competent than Gordon and a lot more liked, and after him Labour was out for 18 years.  Hang on to Gordon and Labour could be out for 25 - and down to under 100 MPs at the next election.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#33)

Ill give you a good case for him staying.

 

The belief that changing leader will somehow save us at the polls smacks of the same arrogance and lack of touch with reality which has helped land us here in the first place.

 

Look around, its nearly impossible to get a mortgage or credit without a massive deposit, the cost of living has soared and there is a whole host of other economic problems. Its not personality politics thats damaging us, its addressing these issues and the perception that the government isnt really doing enough. Being brave is about tackling the things which are making life difficult at the moment in the UK and not clinging to the politics of moderation and triangulation which are good and work well during good economic times but fail to meet the demand for change when times are crap.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#34)

We're not talking about "saving us in the polls" in the sense that a new leader would win the election.  We're talking about avoiding such a bad defeat that Labour is out of power for over 20 years.  To put that in perspective, David Miliband would be 65 when Labour got back.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#35)

"We're talking about avoiding such a bad defeat that Labour is out of power for over 20 years. "

You are also assuming that the knives don't come out big time. I expect to see Labour split in two with a "Union Labour" funded by the unions and a rump party bankrupted by the withdrawal of union funding.

There is another problem - Labour cannot afford a general election. They have no money to fund it.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#36)

it does not matter whether Brown stays or goes. the party is over. the hopes of 1997 are in complete tatters. new labour is a coalition of misfits which is about to implode. without the consumate political skills of Blair there was never any chance of holding the Party together. Brown cannot hold a candle to him. 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#37)

The obvious answer to all of this is to face realities in all areas.


First of all the Trades Union Movement.  90% of the funding for the party comes from them.  They literally own the Labour Party lock, stock, and barrel.  This is something that needs to be promoted not treated as the elephant in the room.  The Labour Party should be proud to be the political wing of the TUC and should be promoted as such. 


Next, Brown needs to wake up smell the coffee and develop health & family reasons that necessitate his standing-down.  Then a level-headed steward needs to step-in,  on the acceptance that the next election is lost,  and set about restructuring the party and returning it to it's natural supporters - the worker, the poor, the sick, the disabled, the widow, the orphan and stuff middle-england.  It's pandering to that that's caused all this mess.


Unfortunately I cannot for the life of me see GB being humble enough to face reality.  Therefore what will happen will go along these lines:-


Labour loses disastrously.  GB has to be forcibly removed.  The Blairites take over the party.  The party dissolves in to civil war.  The unions kick it into touch and form their own party, taking most of the left wing of Labour with them.    Meanwhile in Scotland Salmond campaigns on his referendum using the Tory governemnt as the bogeyman.  Not only does he win, because people voted for independence not because they wanted it but because they didn't want to be ruled by Tories,   but bizarrely the tories support the independence issue because without Scotland and it's MPs, Labour will always have an uphill struggle.


Get rid of him.  Now.  Before he destroys you & the UK.



As an after thought.  If Scotland did become an independent country,  does that mean that Scots can't stand for Parliament because they are foreigners?

Re: The case against Brown staying (#45)

The Labour Party should be proud to be the political wing of the TUC and should be promoted as such

Dear god no. We certainly are not the political arm of the TUC. Labour should be independent of the unions.

Naturally, the party should work closely with the unions as we have a lot in common but we should certainly never be held to ransom by the union's demands.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#50)

Stop taking the money then.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#54)

I think it is more of a case of Union leaders giving the money then a case of the Labour Party taking it.

I agree with Northern Monkey, we are a political party that aspires to represent and govern for all. It is quite possible for our party to govern in the best interests of the union members without being governed by them and aspiring to govern for them and them only.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#56)

I think we should maintain our link with the unions, but we should have state funding, with the least possible bad option, which is the recommendations of the Power Commission.

My problem is, with the political unions, not the workers unions. Unite, GMB, UNISON etc. represent the worker's interests. Bob Crow doesn't. I think that the unions would do themselves a big favour, if the only recommendations to the NPF, and to a manifesto, are ones that benefit workers. They lose credibility, and power, if their main concern is about prescription charges, or Iraq etc.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#57)

I would suggest that it is the workers rights that the unions are pushing for which give Nu-Lab the biggest heebiejeebies!

Re: The case against Brown staying (#95)

As Mike suggests, the evidence seems to be quite the contrary - the 'frightening' policies proposed by the unions are precisely those about workers' rights.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#58)

"Labour should be independent of the unions. " Labour should be independent of labour! Pointless having Labour in the first place then really, wasn't it? We should aspire to govern for all, but remember who we were for in the first place.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#85)

Yes, and as I said we should always work closely with the unions.

But that's very different from being governed by them.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#68)

AdWilliams

Get rid of him.  Now.  Before he destroys you & the UK

I thought you said you were supporting Plaid Cymru?

Re: The case against Brown staying (#145)

That's correct.  Out of desperation and the fact that I consider it my duty to vote,  but I'll be damned if I'll vote for the rubbish the Labour Party has become.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#40)

if you think that standing as the party of teh TUC will win an election, then may I suggest you think again.

That is if you want to win any election.

The TUC would be a minority party. Period.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#41)

And if you think the Unions are going to keep funding a one-sided relationship, you are deluded.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#46)

Good, time for state funding then.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#48)

And how would you state-fund so that it was fair to minority parties like Plaid, SNP, Greens, Respect and evn the BNP.   Now there's a thought - the BNP state-funded.

State funding is a vote loser.  The electorate already perceive politicians as little better than pigs.  To start funding parties will make it look even more self-serving and self-justifying.

The best way is to cap election spending as both a toatla nad per constituency.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#55)

Simple. Implement the recommendations of the Power Commission. Namely, donating £3 to the party of your choice.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#65)

That is not 'fair'  - it favours the bigger parties because of economy of scale.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#69)

Well, tough. It is the least bad system.

If Labour explained the case properly, it would politically be good to fight the unions and the Tories at the same time.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#97)

If you really think it would be politically good for Labour to start fighting the unions right now you're deluded!

Neither are people going to like state funding of any sort - it will (quite rightly) always be unpopular.  Bear in mind that a large number of people will say that they don't want their £3 to go to any party (just as they currently choose not to join a political party).  How does the Power Commission propose that their money be divided up amongst the parties?  Will people be able to nominate parties they DON'T want their money to go to? 

The other almost inevitable consequence of such an approach is the 'Jedi' factor - imagine the 'Facebook' groups ('give your £3 to the None-of-the-above Party', etc.)

Choosing a party you support should not be a passive experience.  I give money to the Labour Party because I'm a party member - not because I'm a party supporter.  It suddenly raises enormous issues.  I've stuck with the party through thick and thin and through policies I disagree with on an absolutely fundamental level.  But ticking the '£3 to Labour' box while the bombs were falling on Baghdad?  That's a different proposition. 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#86)

Exactly. A perfectly fair and democratic way of funding parties.

The more popular the party is with the public, the more money they will get.

You forgot one. (#42)

 
Economies fluctuate, policies adjust, issues happen and people come and go. 

What is critical throughout this change is people trust the collective wisdom of the Labour party to make the right judgement & decisions for the country and it's people.

The vast majority of Labour MPs agreed to enrole Gordon as leader of the party.  It would be Gordon's judgement and decision making that drives policy, presentation and delivery.  Picking the wrong leader for a position of such influence would inflict terrible damage not only to the party but also to the country.  This was arguably the most important decision that Labour MPs have made.

There was no contest, concern or doubts raised about a man who many MPs knew very well.  Indeed many MPs had worked with him for over a decade and it was those people who were his strongest advocates.

However, to remove Gordon after just one year would admit to a terrible collective error of judgment by Labour MPs.  For what was one of their most important decisions Labour MPs deserve not to be trusted again.

Re: You forgot one. (#49)

Have you ever considered that the PLP picked GB knowing he would be poor but was better than anything elses in the upper-echelons?

Re: The case against Brown staying (#51)

"The PM is a great man of high morality, intelligence and mental strength"

People keep saying that about him, but do you know what? Nobody cares. It is not his personal integrity that is under question - it is his ability to govern effectively.


"Glasgow was just a protest vote"

Obviously you are no more connected to reality than Gordon is. It wasn't "just" a protest vote.


"I say give him a another 6 to 8 months"

Might as well have a proper wipe-out rather than just a massive loss of MPs....

Re: The case against Brown staying (#60)

Brown was Chancellor in a decade where the Globalisation of China and India meant that even he could barey blow it. Furthermore, because he was completely out of his depth as Chancellor, he promised to stick to the Tory spending plans and did so.  These two factors gave him a unique golden legacy which he comprehensivley squandered through appalling incompetence, deriving from his total lack of management skills or understanding.

However as PM he is even worse. Everyone who knew him knew he'd be a hopeless PM. He can't insipire, delegate or take decisions.  He has no management skills. It's a ghastly train wreck.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#59)

We can't get rid of Brown.
He's brilliant.
Even better than Foot or Kinnock.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#63)

"He has given record aid to afrcia. He is left wing hero he has saved african people from death and illness he is great man."

Why do you keep repeating this? Do you think that if you say it often enough that we will believe it?

Such behaviour just makes you come across as either a troll or a twat. I'll be generous and assume the latter.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#66)

"Floating voter you are rude bully and I will put a official complaint about you."

Go ahead and complain. See if I care what an obvious troll thinks.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#70)

Brown stays: labour stay in for nearly another 2 years, and are consigned to history at 2010 election. ;

Brown replaced: New leader calls election, labour loose, and are consigned to history now.

Personally, I go for option 2

Re: The case against Brown staying (#71)

Maybe, but Paul Flynn makes the important point:

A new Labour leader would have to seek approval in a General Election. Only MPs can trigger a leadership contest. It’s not hard to work it out. Exactly how many Labour MPs would like to have a General Election now that Labour is on 24% in the polls?

I think we should hang in there, and hope events (the economy) turn our way before the last date for an election. A leadership election with the new crop of MPs would be best anyway, and it will avoid damage to the new leader.

Polly Toynbee makes a good point that we have helped the least well off too silently trying not to frighten middle England:

so even its own people no longer recognise the party as theirs. Without fighting excess at the top, without bold political symbolism, Labour doesn't get any credit for what it has done so invisibly.

Perhaps we should start to be proud about Tax Credits etc and remind core voters what they might lose. Maybe a symbolic 45p tax on £100k+ and toughness with the energy companies would be appropriate bold symbolism for the economically tricky next year.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#72)

Hang in there for the new crop?

New crop!

The reaper is coming and he is going to do some cropping!

There aren't going to be any new Labout MPs. Its just going be the same shower of bumblers and wonks we have now!

That the best candidate is Milliband tells you something - the next labour PM must be picked from the current crop.
 
Any leader that we have in the next 12 years will be too frankly since there is no change of getting new people in, and the 2/3 that do get in in safe seats will probably suck.

So basicly we are buggered unless we start to get out hands bloody now.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#74)

Yep, basically buggered.

Maybe a bit more could be done to mobilise the benefit scroungers' vote - after all they are the natural electorate of new labour.

But I suppose the recent disability benefits shake up has cut off that potential source of votes.

Tragically, the benificiaries of NuLab's current  disasters will be the BNP.

Hardly anybody in the country believes NuLab is capable of  dealing with the morass we're in. And the Tories don't inspire real faith.

Frankly, a lot of people in England are sick to death of havng a bunch of dissembling Scots lording it over them. And the current crop of harpies and haridans  that dominate the cabinet inspire mass revulsion.

So, yes, GE now and let  someone else have a go rescuing basket case UK.

Leave it until 2010, and the BNP will have a presence in Westminster.

 

 

 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#76)

Benefit scroungers? Oh, you mean the two-thirds of people on Incapacity benefit who want to find work, and the three-quarters of women out of work who say that the main reason for not having work is lack of affordable childcare.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#78)

Labout voters do NOT switch to the BNP.

The problem is the the Labour real
core vote is very much stacked up in  a few seats.

Once the polls go past a tipping point then all we have left are the poorest 80-90 seats in the country and that is it.

Just like the tories distater has been exaggerated over the past 10 years by the way their votes are spread, the will reverse on Labour with vengene past a certain point in the polls.

90 seats is not an impossible result.

Gord's (and our, since no-one will do the dirty it seems) only hope is events. Frankly a major terrorist attack or something.

Otherwise it is only going to get worse, poring over the spread markets it seems clear that the economic situation will probably be worse in many ways. Possibly much worse.

And we are now at 24%, and we have NOBODY that can make it any better.

So I despair.

The Labour movement in the UK has never been in such dire straights.

We are at risk of scism.


Re: The case against Brown staying (#111)

I'm afraid that it is not true that Labour voters do not switch to the BNP. Keighly, 2005 is a case in point - there is a roughly equal swing away from both Labour and the Tories to the BNP. (3-4%).

Being in denial is what opens the door to these kinds of dangerously extremist parties in the first place.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#113)

Time for you to be shown the door I think.

You could have been subtle, but you couldn't resist pushing your luck too far.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#146)

"Labour Voters Do Not Switch To The BNP"

Where do you get that little gem from?  After spending every saturday and sunday afternoon for 2 years plodding the streets of Oldham campaigning against the BNP,  I can assure you that that is exactly where they get most of their votes from.  Furthermore,  by portryaing their supporters as knuckle-dragging dullards or proteste voters the mainstream damages itself even more.   Your typical BNP voter tends to be skilled educated working class who understands BNP policy and is in favour of it.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#73)

This article has only one point of  view ie; What is best for the Labour party ? I suggest labour start thinking about what is best for this  dis-United Kingdom.
  Brown must be ousted and a general election called and at the same time a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty which has already  been ratified by the treacherous Lib/Lab pact behind the backs of the British people.
 Do you wonder that your ethics and methods are held in contempt by anyone who is half awake in the purgatory that Britain has become. Stand before the mirror of a General Election you are not going to like what you see . Put your country first and party  second.
 Not easy I know but spin  now has no traction.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#75)

I don't think we should have a referendum on the Lisbon treaty. There is nothing in there that infringes upon our sovereignty, and it is just an excuse for Eurosceptics to make up lies. In Ireland, organisations were saying the Irish would have to give up their tight abortion laws. They wouldn't. And why does the Sun so vehemently oppose the treaty? Because Murdoch is afraid that the EU will break up his stranglehold on our democracy. So they say we will lose our UN veto, and control of foreign policy. We wouldn't. It strikes me as odd that people who are apparently so worried about our sovereignty don't mind that foreign businessmen can personally negotiate what tax rates they pay, with the Inland Revenue, and that they can bully our sovereign governments into slashing corporation tax and worker's rights.

Why is it that the importance of the treaty has been overpalayed? Because the media likes to tell us all that a treaty would require us to join the Euro, place the British army under EU control, lose an independent foreign policy, and lose say over our borders. All lies of course. But the majority believe it. No wonder european leaders wanted to sign the treaty without a referendum.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#77)

Someone wrote "we [Labour] are a political party that aspires to represent and govern for all".  That's a laugh.  If you were interested in that you wouldn't be out to pick on certain groups in order to please Daily Mail reading Middle England.

 

I've a suggestion, stop moralising and bullying people.  Stop being oppresive and authoritarian, ditch the locking people up for 6 weeks without charge stuff, stop trying to bully people into having your crappy ID cards, oh and shelf the plans to pick on the deeply religious users of the sacred herb 8)  Oh and one other thing, if you are going to cut taxes, aim the cuts at the worst off.  Scrapping the 10p tax band to help middle income earners wasn't nice.

 

Seriously, bullying people was what the Tories did.  They went after one group after another (gays, single parents, partiers, etc...) until some many different people hated them they were unelectable - the same thing is happening to Labout

Re: The case against Brown staying (#79)


This is all very odd. Normal folk who are in leadership positions would not wait for cabals and plots to oust them- If they are not doing well or have lost their team's confidence they politely step aside without being asked.

Why cling to power when others do not want you to ?

Power is only useful if you have something useful to do that people want you do do. If they don't then holding power is pointless.

Only someone with a very strange make up regards having power as an end in itself.

Most of these posts are about the prospect of losing power. They are dismally short on the specific things folk want to do with that power.

GB isn't a necessarily a bad leader- but he has nothing to sell. His problem is that his party has talked a good story but the amount delivered hasn't matched the talk. The electorate simply don't buy the newlabour model any more. It has cost a huge amount in tax and debt and the world is very little better -in some places it is worse. People are genuinely fed up with poor schools. filthy hospitals and crime. They want french hospitals french schools and Swiss crime levels - they have paid for them.

Jack Straw -a man who has never run a single non state operation in his life and who never stops saying ''can I just say'' (while he shakes Mugabe's hand) would be even less popular than Gordon. And as for hectoring Harriet - one's thoughts turn to strict discipline classes. Fun but it gets you into the papers.

The Tories are getting a free ride here-which they do not deserve. They are no more likely to really fix the UK - the difference between the two parties is one of record. The Labour party has failed us- the Tories have yet to fail us.

Why are we so poorly governed ? Perhaps it behoves us all to do more for ourselves and blame our elected leaders less. Or perhaps there is a government collective dishonesty in publicly acknowledging the real state of things. Cure requires honest diagnosis.

 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#83)

<h3>[new] Re: The case against Brown staying (#63)</h3>
"He has given record aid to afrcia. He is left wing hero he has saved african people from death and illness he is great man."

Why do you keep repeating this? Do you think that if you say it often enough that we will believe it?

Such behaviour just makes you come across as either a troll or a twat. I'll be generous and assume the latter.

The reason he keeps repeating this drivel is because it is DES. Please ignore he may have mental health problems. See more on the following link

 

 http://blogs.mirror.co.uk/maguire/2008/07/gordon-browns-glasgow-kiss.html#comments

 





 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#84)

Why are we so poorly governed?
Easy.
You vote as Labour MPs people who have run nothing in their lives.
Having done it, I can tell you it can be nerve wracking and exhausting and you have to run as a team of the best.

Anyone who suggests any of the current Cabinet could run a drinking session in a brewery is deluding themselves.

(and before you go on about my  Tory outlook, just look at the SATS shambles and 10p tax: Ministers were warned - yes warned - months before - that things would go wrong/were going wrong. And ignored it. That is incompetence of the highest order. in business you would be sacked..).

Re unions your history (#87)

some of you need to look at the history of the labour party it was started by the working classes which was the unions because of the social injustist going on in society such as the bosses or tories as we no them had people working for next to nothing in work houses or sweat houses if anyone had an injury  or got killed at work  these ruthless bosses did not care as long as they made a profit

Re: Re unions your history (#88)

Sorry daveblue, I do not understand this comment. Could you please expand on it for me. At the moment I can't see the point you are trying to make.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#92)

then you havent read the posts about the unions and labour party

Re: The case against Brown staying (#106)

No I was trying to be polite. I think the real reason is that there is no punctuation. It is unreadable, makes no obvious point and makes no reference to previous posts. Do not wish to engage in a flame war with you. However your reply does smack of "attitude".

Re: The case against Brown staying (#112)

I think it's clear what DaveBlue is saying about forgetting our history and the reasons that the party was set up in the first place. I have a lot of sympathy with this view.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#117)

If daveblue, expressed himself with some basic comprehension of grammar and sentence construction, you would not have to "think" what he meant. It would be self evident. Education, education, education.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#118)

Don't be unkind toe DaveBlue
It's not his fault he is still living as if the 20th century had never happened.
The education system does not teach history - as well as reeding and riting.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#124)

I was reading and writing when you were in nappies son

Re: The case against Brown staying (#131)

"I was reading and writing when you were in nappies son"

If you were referring to me, that makes you over 80.
Congratulations.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#134)

Not you madasafish comment before yours.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#114)

I think perhaps  daveblue was schooled under the era of New Labour, so his passionate grasp of social history is not matched by his literacy.

 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#125)

me thinks your are a prat

Re: The case against Brown staying (#129)

I think what you meant was. Me thinks you're a pratt. If you were writing when I was in nappies you must be a considerable age. If so perhaps we can forgive you, Altzheimers is a terrible affliction.

Re: The case against Brown staying (#135)

Yes it is you must have it!

Re: The case against Brown staying (#115)

I think perhaps  daveblue was schooled under the era of New Labour, so his passionate grasp of social history is not matched by his literacy.

 

Re: The case against Brown staying (#136)

The tories are playing again! must have lost some brain cells thinking that up! ha ha

Re: The case against Brown staying (#96)

The case against Brown staying lies very much in the recent history of New Labour in government. Forget the rise in popularity of the conservatives, forget all the events and opinons outside of the party that contribute to undermine his position. In spite of the fact that GB became leader unopposed belied the point that a very large part of his own party had serious misgivings about his suitability for the highest office. You can come through a tough time as leader if you have some political goodwill in the bank to cash in in hard times. GB came into this job with many of his own party privately (some perhaps more publicly) giving him a bad credit rating. Read back to