After Gordon

My latest column in the New Statesman

After Gordon



The post-Gordon era is upon us. Some within the Labour Party talk about the Prime Minister as if he were gone already. Ministers avoid the subject where they can, and his old enemies are openly hostile. Tortured discussions among backbenchers twist around turning points and tipping points. Was it George Osborne's inheritance tax speech, the election that never was, or the 10p tax rate that really did for him? Will it be the Glasgow East by-election, Labour's policy forum later this month, or the autumn party conference season that will definitively mark the end of the Brown era?

The talk in Westminster is no longer about whether a period in opposition would be useful, but whether enough genuine talent would survive a landslide Tory victory to form a shadow cabinet. The question is not whether the Labour Party can renew itself in power, but whether it will survive the humiliation of defeat. There is the whiff of revolutionary defeatism in the air, and the distinct belief in some quarters that the party's interests would be best served by losing power. There are even those who somewhat relish the idea of leaving David Cameron in charge of the worsening economic situation.

In this atmosphere, almost anything Charles Clarke does is liable to be interpreted as a bid for the leadership, or a move to undermine Gordon Brown. The former home secretary is viewed in Brownite circles as something not far short of Satan (otherwise known as Alan Milburn). So his new paper on the future of public services, published as the New Statesman goes to press by the accounting firm KPMG, will undoubtedly be seen as an act of war.

In reality, Achieving the Potential is a rather modest document, which discusses whether there is an argument for an extension in "user charging" to top up tax revenues for transport, housing, education and health and social care. Although to some ears this may sound suspiciously like another argument for further privatisation, such public sector charging for services already exists: for driving in to central London, prescriptions and school meals, for example.

Clarke suggests that an extension of charging might provide a pragmatic solution to a fundamental conundrum: in an age when expectations of public services are rising, but people are not prepared to pay more taxes, how will the government fund the improvements? He argues for an increase in road charging, coupled with a "hypothecation" of the revenue into environmental improvements. He also believes the building of new infrastructure projects, such as bridges and tunnels, would be accelerated by the systematic ability to charge tolls, on the model of the M6 bypass or the Dartford River Crossing. In social housing, tenants could be given a "menu" of choices, such as the option of a concierge in a block of flats or environmental improvements, which they would pay for on top of their rent.

In more controversial areas, such as education and health, Clarke is more cautious. He does not advocate, for instance, charging for GPs, as happens in some countries, or the introduction of fees in education beyond payments for extended services, such as after-school clubs.

At the same time, he recognises potential issues of equity that inevitably arise when some people are better able to pay the charges than others. To address this, he suggests a range of solutions - including means-testing, graduated charges and repayment - such as already exist for student loans.

Clarke is at pains to emphasise that his work on user charging was not intended as an ideological statement or a political intervention. In some circles, however, it will inevitably be seen as entirely consistent with the Blairite love-in with business, given that some of the services would almost certainly be provided by the private sector. But I believe Clarke when he says this is a genuine attempt to address a potential funding gap between consumer demand and willingness to pay taxes.

Nonetheless, this is undoubtedly a "beyond Gordon" document. At a breakfast to launch it, the Prime Minister's name was not mentioned once. It is telling that such proposals for public sector reform are not being discussed around the cabinet table.

There are good reasons for this. Clarke writes in his introduction: "Any attempt to change the existing system has the potential to be extremely controversial. There may well be substantial numbers of losers, as well as winners, and the reform is likely to raise sharp ideological and political questions." As the education secretary who pushed through the 2003 legislation to set up a system of variable tuition fees for universities, Clarke knows just how controversial "user charging" can be.

Perhaps that is the point. It may not be possible for Labour politicians to think adventurous thoughts from within government because the political stakes are now too high. Personally, I have grave doubts about some of Charles Clarke's proposals, largely because I believe charges act as a disincentive to the poorest in society. But the "sharp ideological and political questions" he talks about are precisely those that need to be addressed if the post-Gordon era is not to become the post-Labour era.



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Re: After Gordom (#1)

Charles Clarke has clearly stopped thinking like a politician if he is making these suggestions.

In the real world, voters hate paying for anything, and will punish you at the ballot box for suggesting it. In the local elections just gone in Southampton, the local press ran false stories every day about how Labour was going to introduce zone charges for parking outside your house. We ended up losing one of our safest wards (Bargate).

Charges are Electoral Suicide. Full stop. Voters still believe they can have it all (encouraged by Tories chuntering about how "cutting waste" might help - never mind that all govts try to cut waste).

Maybe we will have to have charges in 20 years time, if demographics don't improve. Then again, there might be a baby boom that solves everything. I'm not sure why we are discussing this now. Further signs that Clarke has lost the plot? 

KPMG (#2)

KPMG are paying Charles Clarke for this, according to his members interests: "Consultant to KPMG LLP on the future of public service reform." Strangely the amount paid is not given, so maybe token remuneration.

Re: After Gordom (#3)

Whether or not Clarke is right, this kind of thinking has to take place. Labour must grasp the reality that Gordon is a dead man walking, if it is to "survive the humiliation of defeat".  Remember Churchill's advice about leaders: "The loyalties which center upon number one are enormous. If he trips, he must be sustained. If he make mistakes, they must be covered. If he sleeps, he must not be wantonly disturbed. If he is no good, he must be pole-axed."

Re: After Gordom (#5)

It's always kind of amusing that Tories like you come onto Labour boards to tell us that "this kind of thinking must take place". While the Conservatives are promising to spend more than Labour on the NHS, defence, everything, charge no-one anything, and simultaneously cut debt and (whisper) cut tax too! By magic unknown to mankind!

Conservatives are ahead in the polls because voters are desperate to believe you can have it all, even if it doesn't add up. Some of the people being polled haven't thought through whether it is feasible or not, they are just going by wishful feelings - but come the general election they will think. It will be fun to see what happens when Conservatives actually come up with a manifesto.

Re: After Gordom (#6)

I can't stand this idea that the Tories spread, that you can have your cake and eat it too (while dropping a shed load of weight)

Re: After Gordom (#7)

I really care about the health of our democracy - and for a healthy democracy we need a healthy opposition and a proper exchange of ideas.

The Conservatives are ahead in the polls because voters think Gordon is incompetent and they don't like him. They think Cameron is competent and likeable.  I am seriously worried that if things continue as they are going Gordon will lead Labour to destruction, and we will have a Tory government without any effective opposition. 

Re: After Gordom (#8)

So you are on these boards to persuade us to ditch Gordon "for the sake of democracy", are you?

If you are really interested in the health of our democracy, then you should want Gordon to stay, because there are larger issues at stake than who will win the next election.

First of all, we don't have a presidential system, we have a parliamentary democracy. But some members of the public think that we are in a presidential system simply because the press have given up talking about policies and are solely focused on personality. He smiles, he's good, he doesn't smile, he's not good - that kind of simplistic thinking seems to dominate. Personality politics are bad for democracy. Smiling doesn't affect govt decision making, thinking does. George Dubya Bush was elected over Gore because he smiled more. Did America fare better as a result?

Secondly, ever since the demise of Margaret Thatcher, the press has developed a blood-lust for toppling leaders of political parties. Essentially about a dozen journalists preen and pride themselves on making and breaking party leaders, and to hell with the party members, and the voters. Is this healthy for democracy? Is it good for parties? No! John Major got to the stage where he was spending so much time and energy on not getting toppled, he had to call a leadership contest himself. (And wasting time like this is not good for governance because it means that time energy is diverted away from important matters of state).

The conservative party wasted a whole decade constantly toppling leaders instead of thinking hard about policy and where they went wrong while in government. And the LibDems have foolishly copied them. Look at the way the LibDems removed Ming Campbell, simply because he was old. Was that the way to treat someone who had served their party well for years? Is it a good thing to disrespect and write-off the old like that? (He wasn't even that old - 67, way younger than John McCain). And for what? They haven't budged in the polls, only the public no longer thinks of their party as "nice".

It's very bad for democracy when the press go for personality witch-hunts like this and think that they decide who is in power.  Gordon Brown was nominated by 317 Labour MP's and was thus selected by the parliamentary party much in the same way Michael Howard was by the parliamentary conservatives before the 2005 election. He's our leader under the rules. The Labour party owes much to him (we won 97 because of Blair, but 2001 and 2005 because of Brown). He has the right to face the electorate at the next general election.

It's democratic that if the knife is to be wielded it is done by the voters at the next election - not by a cabal in the Westminster village or by witch-hunts in the press. If you've faced the electorate and failed, then it's Ok for the party to ask you to stand down, but you should be given the chance to face the voters. We gave Michael Foot that chance, though we knew we were going to a bad defeat, because there was a point of principle involved. 

We in the Labour party were shocked to the core by the way the Conservatives deposed Margaret Thatcher - only the electorate had that right, and she should have been allowed to face the voters in '92 (especially as unlike Blair who had pre-announced his departure, she had given no hint in the 1987 election that she would be standing down in that parliament, so it was a betrayal of those who voted for her). We were appalled at the way the LibDems treated Charlie Kennedy and Ming Campbell.

We also want the next leader of the labour party to be chosen by a full-scale vote across all the electoral colleges - and that can only be done after the next election, there is no time now.

The way we see it, we are the last bastion of the old-fashioned idea that voters decide who is in government in a general election, not assasins in the press. If Gordon goes, it will be because the voters have decided in a general election. No other reason. 

Re: After Gordon (#9)

I'm here mainly becasue I think it's important that there should be real dialogue and understanding between people of different political views.  And I find it very interesting what other people here think.

It suits the Tories down to the ground for Gordon to stay - he is running the Labour Party into the ground.  Please don't imagine this is "the press going for Gordon" - most Labour MPs and many Cabinet Minsters openly admit he is incompetent.  But is it really good for democracy if Labour disappears as an effective political force?

Re: After Gordon (#10)

Agreed. Gordon Brown's leadership is not only bad for the Party, it's bad for a healthy democratic process and, most importantly, bad for the country.

Re: After Gordom (#4)

Another sign that Charles Clarke must never be in the position where he could potentially become Labour leader. I don't want a Labour party advocating the bulldozing last vestiges of the welfare state. Which is what charges in reality would actually be.