Crime down.....again

Crime is down yet again.

Lies, damn lies and statistics the right will say. That's not the reality for people, the papers will shriek.

Well, it is.


The opinions about crime run in tandem with opinions about the NHS and education.

Something like 25% of people last year said the NHS was good nationally. You know, the NHS you see on TV.

But 65% said their local NHS was good. This appears to be the more vital statistic. What people actually see on a day to day level, rather than through a television periscope.

Ditto for education (probably not the exact same percentages).

So, 65% say that crime is going up nationally.
Interestingly, these statistics not only run in line with what people think of the government, but these statistics generally stay at the same level.
And yet, in a time when the Daily Mail says "no one is safe anywhere", not only are we at the lowest risk of crime that the BCS has ever recorded, but 65% say crime is going down in their local area.

The BCS isn't an armed wing of the government. The statistics police record are based on how well they're doing. So, ironically, when they do better, crime is seen to be actually going up.

But the BCS question around 40,000 people. Their statistics are ackowledged to be the gold standard of crime statistics.

Much of this could be because when people are asked about the NHS, or education, or crime nationally, there is a suspicion that politicians are involved in the national situation. But when asked locally, they think of the helpful local, friendly teacher, nurse or bobby on the beat. Bad anecdotes spread far more quickly than good anecdotes.

But, it seems to show yet again, how damaging to the national psyche the media is. The Daily Mail have been doing the asylum seeker line since Jewish refugees were coming here. They would never be read again if they said that the refugees should have been sent back to Auschwitz. Yet the Littlejohns cheer when boats full of child refugees sink and they admit this openly in their columns.

The media are trying to sell. Stories talking of 'Botched hospital op', will appeal more to the mawkish attitudes of the public than a mundane headline about 'Hospital ops a bit better'. Look at the Des Browne connected navy row last year. Noone seemed to be pointing out that the media condemning Browne had actually been bidding for the sailors' stories themselves.

The Daily Mail speaks up for a mythical Middle England. The Sun speaks up for the 'white van man'. Yet what paper who really spoke up for lower middle class, or working class men, would support a poll tax that hit them? Well, it was a tax that redistributed money to people like Rupert Murdoch.

He also hates Europe. Make no mistake. If Europe had a Thatcherite love of private monopolies, the Sun would be emphatically Europhile. But they are the only organisation which threatens to break up his monopoly.

Nothing gets more media sells, like a morbid story about hospitals or crime. Instead of buying in to these lies, Brown should take them on. Thankgod he has already made a sensible youth criminal justice programme, which concentrates on early intervention. But now, he should have done what Blair should have done.

When TB was leaving office, he made a scathing attack on the media. If there was one policy that would best stop these daily hates, it would be returning media ownership laws to pre-Thatcher rules.

When Brown is bold, he is best. The embryology bill appealed to even the sensibilities of conservatives. Also, don't underestimate the boldness of the Equality act, which will transform the lives of the elderly, and which will crack down on the pay gap between women and men. Crime is just one of the many areas that have been worked upon, and dramatically improved under this government, along with the NHS, schools, childcare (where do I end?). But we have to allow people to see this, without being told a great deal of innuendo. So show some guts Gordon, and give Rupert a good kicking.

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Re: Crime down.....again (#1)

Exactly!

I cant stand all the doom and gloom. Broken Society? That is not a British way of thinking - it devalues our nation's brand.

Its the same on the economy - you would think that it was away to collapse. We are as close to full employment ANY government has achieved and we have not had a quarter of recession for over 10 years.

This nation has never been more wealthy. Its high time that it was redistributed. 

 

Re: Crime down.....again (#2)

Little bit of A, little bit of B.

 The problem with these government harnessed statistics is not that overal crime is falling, it's as one black North London Youth said today on the television in regards to such problems, "People are just sorting things out themselves." Reported crime is indeed falling, but does that necessarily mean overall crime is falling?

 It's not strictly true, a couple of friends of mine have been unable to get any kind of police presence when gangs or other questionable individuals have been attacking their places of business or threatening their wives and children, when they have called the police the responce is often blazé.

It's only when they've had to threaten to take matters into their own hands that any kind of police presence can be "coaxed" into arriving.

Now, my friends own a shop and a pub, they're well known and well connected to the local populace and when they're talking about that, it spreads. "Don't bother with the police." becomes the mantra simply because the police themselves aren't interested and the public aren't interested in helping them. It spreads. It's spread across the country, one or two stories that actually happen locally become spread by local gossip and thus nobody can trust the police to actually bother helping them when they call.

Still don't beleive me? Alright. My own anecdote into the ring then that has lost me faith in the police...

At night, one night a couple of years ago I smelt a very strange smell, I recognized it from school. It was "Wacky Baccy." People were smoking drugs on the pavement outside of my home. Partaking in drugs is illegal, so we called the police.

"Sorry, no cars available." was the blaze reply.

Any wonder why folks just don't bother to report them?

Re: Crime down.....again (#4)

I think I mentioned in my original post a point you quite correctly made, which I think underlines my argument. Bad anecdotes spread faster than good anecdotes.

We hear of stories going on across the country, which we think is about to descend into rioting. But most people say their local area is safer, and the hospitals and schools are better. If this statistic is true, then one about crime shooting up, and the NHS and school standards crashing, can't really be true.

Re: Crime down.....again (#3)

The British Crime Survey ignores people under 18 and has great difficulty in getting responses from people who are worst hit by crime.