14 point lead for the Tories in Independent-ComRes Poll

LabourOutlook Mon Jun 02, 2008 at 09:11:22 PM GMT Print-friendly version Facebook

The first details of a ComRes poll for tommorrow's Independent are coming through.

 

UK Polling Report gives the following numbers:

 

Conservatives: 44% (+1)

Labour: 30% (+3)

Liberal Democrats: 16% (-3)

 

No news on other questions asked yet. Updates here and at Labour Outlook when details emerge.






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14 point lead for the Tories in Independent-ComRes Poll | 6 comments (6 topical)

Re: 14 point lead for the Tories (#1)

by LabourOutlook on Mon Jun 02, 2008 at 10:49:31 PM GMT

Updated to include the +/- and the Lib Dem figures


Re: 14 point lead for the Tories (#2)

by NB on Mon Jun 02, 2008 at 11:09:30 PM GMT

Weighted Moving Average is 44:27:18. ComRes is the most erratic of all the pollsters, with a Standard Deviation of just over 3. So it is too early to call a trend, though if there is a swing from LibDem to Lab it would be interesting.


Re: 14 point lead for the Tories (#3)

by RedRooster on Tue Jun 03, 2008 at 10:03:33 AM GMT

Well at least this will stop the idiot liberal democrats who think they are poised to become the main opposition.


Re: 14 point lead for the Tories (#4)

by snowflake5 on Tue Jun 03, 2008 at 04:34:31 PM GMT

I chuckled when I read you point! Of course the LibDems won't become the main opposition. I did a post a while back about how representative MPs were of the main population - you can read it here.  The LibDems are the least representative of the main parties. There is no way that a party with such a narrow social base will become the main opposition.


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Re: 14 point lead for the Tories (#5)

by NB on Tue Jun 03, 2008 at 11:08:39 PM GMT

Nothing is certain in politics. It seems to me equally possible that Labour under Gordon could win the next election and that Labour could be beaten into 3rd place in the popular vote (say a 10% chance each). It is even possible that there will be mass defections from Labour to LibDem, if MPs conclude that there is no other way to save their seats.


Re: 14 point lead for the Tories (#6)

by snowflake5 on Wed Jun 04, 2008 at 12:16:05 AM GMT

Don't be silly. There won't be mass defections from Labour to LibDems (sounds like pure wishful LibDem thinking!). Labour MPs are not so venal.

Labour MPs also remember the lessons of the early 80's. Those who stuck with the Labour party through thick and thin - like Tony Blair and Gordon Brown - found themselves in high office. Those who defected for personal gain found themselves throwing away promising careers. I bet David Owen looks back at the lack of opportunities since 1983 and wishes he'd never ever defected.


[ Parent ]

14 point lead for the Tories in Independent-ComRes Poll | 6 comments (6 topical)