Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish

Some Labour-supporting blogs are advising a decisive shift to the left in order to shore up our core support. This would be electoral suicide. To pursue this path would be to admit that Labour’s natural place is in opposition.

writes Glasgow South MP Tom Harris

Here’s my philosophy on opposition: it’s rubbish. New Labour is not a PR strategy, it’s a political philosophy, one that has delivered more success - in delivery and in electoral success - than at any other point in Labour’s history. It’s based on the premise that governments should, in fact, govern for the whole nation, and not just those who voted for them, and far less just their core electors.

Most of those calling for a left wing realignment are the same people who have always been calling for a left wing realignment. Our response to them should be the same as it has always been: we will not abandon the coalition that brought us to power in 1997, even if, for the time being, much of that coalition has abandoned us.

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Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#1)

The connotations of posts like these are always:

You're suggesting 90% tax rates, and a return to the seventies, you want the unions to rule us blah blah blah

We've been elected before on progressive manifestos. Of course reform in the 90's was necessary, and excellent policies came out of it: NMW, CTC, WFTC, SureStart, BoE independence, Gay rights etc.

But even many in New Labour have lost sight of what they want to achieve, and what they stand for: Not glib slogans such as 'Forward not back', 'Progress', 'Change' (what are they supposed to mean).

We can appeal to peoples' social-democratic sides, without losing an election.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#2)

I think opposition's rubbish too.

But that isn't why I say we need to do some useful, bread-and-butter worthwhile things right now (which you would describe as a move to the left).  I say that because it's the right thing to do.

If we have only got two years left in government, then let's make them two bloody good year's that make fundamental and irreversible differences to people's lives, for the better.

And, who knows, doing that might just make people want to vote for us again.  Goodness knows that your approach - whether it's a strategy or a philosophy - doesn't seem to be doing us a lot of good.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#50)

Hear Hear

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#3)

Jesus, if MPs have such vacuous views and so little evidence to back them up, we're clearly obviously in trouble. New Labour was never necessary, and it has failed to transform society - end of story, let's move on. That DOES NOT MEAN that anyone who criticises new Labour wants to nationalise everything in sight! Are we not allowed to dispute the direction of the party without being branded oppositionists? Why on earth would someone with so little commitment to Labour values become a Labour MP in the first place? It's enough to make you weep. Tom, if we continue down this path and lose, will you still maintain that it's too little New Labour, not too much, that is to blame? You're living in the past - there's a whole generation now who've forgotten Thatcherism, but New Labour still defines itself against it - for God's sake, we're here for more than to 'at least be better than the Tories'. Grrr....

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#4)

jijb2 - "Why on earth would someone with so little commitment to Labour values become a Labour MP in the first place?" Perhaps, instead of analysing our political situation constructively, it might be better to follow your own practice and make utterly unsubstantiated and deliberately offensive comments about other comrades?

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#5)

No, I'm sorry Mr Harris - you have the power to change things, and you have chosen instead to allow New Labour to continue to betray our values. WE never get the chance to speak, to have our views heard by the party elite - you do, and yet you do nothing to make this party better. I think that's so sad. You know as well as I do that there was no need to abandon Labour values to get elected - and yet you've allowed it to happen. So I'm sorry if those of us without power become exasperated that those of you who can change things are so caught up in your petty westminster bubble and so trapped in the past that you can't see the dire problems we face. You'll get some respect from me when you start doing something to put Labour values at the heart of everything we do - until then, you're just another sycophant intent on betraying our most basic beliefs - you probably don't even think the 10p tax scandal was wrong, do you? And I expect you don't think rising inequality's a problem either, or the failure to tackle poverty or council housing? Well, the rest of us do, so I'm sorry if that's 'offensive'.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#12)

ha ha ha

 

What you mean is: we cannot win any votes, we couldn't even find enough people prepared to nominate our "left" candidate (though lauding the IRA never struck me as left wing)  and so therefore we are going to say it is a conspiracy.

 

 Funnily enough I've never though of a minimum wage, for instance, as a betrayal of Labour values. Adopting policies which will only lose us elections and so therefore being unable to do anything for working people, strikes me very much as a betrayal.

 

By the way jljb2 if you don't like the Labour Party you can always leave. Shut the door on the way out.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#13)

It's 10 years now since we introduced the minimum wage! We have allowed inequality to spiral out of control, and poverty has only been marginally cut - for a Labour govt, that's complete and utter failure. And the 10p tax has got rid of any popular conception of Labour as the party of the poor - which after a century, is utterly tragic. I'm in the Labour party because I believe in Labour values - do you?

PS, I'm not a huge McDonnell fan - I'd happily be described as a Hattersleyite, or a Clare Short-ist. But I'd far rather have him as leader than any one of the current cabinet.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#14)

Oh blimey, we're not back into this are we?

What I'd been thinking (up until this contribution) was how much surprising common ground there was.  NorthernMonkey, for example, suggested some policies on another thread a while ago most of which I agreed with (though they wouldn't all have been my priorities). 

I really don't think it's going to help matters if we're back to 'if you don't like it, leave' sniping.  There was more than enough of that during the leadership election.  Frankly I admire everyone on the left's fortitude at not having sent out a mass 'we told you so' comment and for, instead, focusing on what needs to be done now (and not making it all about personalities and leadership).  I'm sure there's plenty we disagree about, but dredging up the old tabloid crap, or suggesting people should leave the party is not a useful disagreement.  Let's have a useful, productive disagreement about the policy questions.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#22)

Yes, you're right - the differences between left and right in the party aren't as great as we think.

I'd even go as far to say that left and right seem to be a bit closer together lately. Now that Blair's no longer PM, Blairites tend to look back and be more critical about where things should have been more progressive, whilst also recognising the many achievements of reform. On the other side, I think even the likes of McDonnell seem to be trying to be a little bit more moderate with their aims.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#23)

"What I'd been thinking (up until this contribution) was how much surprising common ground there was.  NorthernMonkey, for example, suggested some policies on another thread a while ago most of which I agreed with (though they wouldn't all have been my priorities).  "

Yes, the centre ground has a left-side and right-side.  If New Labour is rooted from the centre-left, then there is a lot of common ground available.

My thought here is the same as always, we can't out-Tory the Tories.  They've moved enough to the centre to be able to match and exceed anything Labour can do on the centre-right.  Cameron is right when he talks about voting for the 'real thing'.

I think the innovation of New Labour was realising that most people don't mind if policies are centre-left or centre-right, it's what works that matters.  Privatisation is popular if it brings benefits (cheaper utilities) and unpopular if it doesn't (trains).  Nationalised businesses are unpopular if they are bad (70s), but popular if well run and effective (TfL).  New Labour will fail if it becomes a dogma of the centre-right, dogmas fall out of favour, just as Thatcherism did.

People want a change, change in how government is carried out, change in taxation, change in service delivery.  Brown was meant to be the agent for change, he sounded like it in the leadership election, but not much has changed - at least, it doesn't appear to have - what happened to housing?  We don't have to drift in to the Bennite left to show real change on these issues, but we can't stay where we are either.

 

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#25)

If I hear the word Bennite one more time....
Please, do tell me - who is advocating the nationalisation of the top 100 companies?


Yes, it's true that we must be pragmatic - nationalisation is not an end in itself any more than equality is: so when markets fail to allow everyone to access services, the state must step in, surely?

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#28)

Well, I was trying to say that doing centre-left things are not Bennite.

When looking at the reasons Ken Livingstone lost, I don't think him taking over and effectively nationalising North London rail services was one of them, and I think we recall what was being said when Connex was taken over by the state, it did rather well didn't it.  It seemed perverse to me that it was privatised again, we need to be able to move both ways (again the Tories can't do this).

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#26)

Oh I forget, look at this:

http://www.london.gov.uk/view_press_release.jsp?releaseid=17053

We can do (populist) things, that Tories can't.  Note that Boris is not going to maintain the discount.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#27)

Precisely! Good, honest municpal socialism - making things free: you can't beat it. So let's have no more reorganisations, silly ideas and reform-for-the-sake-of-reform - why not be populist and give people things they didn't have before?

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#58)

Nothing is 'free' - it's paid for by taxpayers money. And it certainly won't be populist if people see tax hikes year upon year.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#72)

Yes but the welfare gains recoup the spending losses in the long run, through increased economic efficiency and reduced spending on concurrent social problems. There's so much wasted money at present that I really don't think tax rises would be necessary for some time.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#29)

Yes, because being friends with a country who's present leader is a failed coup leader, and has tried several times to make himself "president for life" is such a wonderful idea.

I'm sorry guys, but this is a slightly "blue" rant.

I cannot understand why Labour people and Left wingers like cuddling up to abohrent and downright bizarre regimes like Venezuala and Cuba.

When I heard Cabinet Ministers and Labour MPs talking glowingly about Fidel Castro, a man who trapped the Cuban people into a bizarre 1950's timewarp while hording cash for himself my stomach turned. 

 Again, when Ken started cuddling up to the bizarre Hugo Chavez, I again felt highly uncomfortable, why was a mayor of an international city cuddling up to the strange, rude, brash and downright bizarre President who is trying to make himself the President-For-Life of Venezuala and who controls his country through a very strange television show. I have yet to speak to a Venezualan Journo who has positive feelings about Chavez and he caused an international scuffle with Spain by his usual arrogant attitude. Fact is it was giving him some sort of empowerment over us, the British People. He could mockingly declare that he was providing to the "poor UK citizens" because we cannot look after ourselves.

Now we cannot have that and I am sure Mayor Johnson will find some way of subisiding and catering for the poorest and needy citizens of London, he's already been speaking about how he wants an increase in London's budget due to its large contribution to the national GDP. It'll probably see a replacement package some time in the future, but it'd have to be properly costed for, we can't all run around giving out unfunded subsidies after all.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#31)

Can I suggest to my comrades that here probably isn't the best place to counter this post.  Angryvoter - if you want to start another thread on this sort of international question I will happily 'bite'.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#37)

I agree.  My only retort is that my point was that Boris is unwilling or unable to justify funding the 50% discount for those on income support.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#59)

I agree with you in that it's disappointing to see Labour members expressing admiration for the likes of Castro and Chavez.

Democracy should always come before socialism and a lot of members towards the left don't get this.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#64)

I would agree that the left needs to be more critical of Cuba and Venezuela. However where genuine advances have been made it is right that we should applaud them.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#66)

Northern Monkey - please identify the coup which brought or has maintained Chavez in power, the elections he has rigged and the opponents he has murdered, disappeared or locked up without charge.

Or do we (sadly) have a different idea of what a democracy is?

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#73)

I never said Chavez was as bad as Castro - but I don't think he's acted in a democratic fashion at all.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#108)

I know we both swam against the tide on the Castro matter on these blogs after he retired. But after uttering diatribes about how Chavez is anti-democratic, I researched his presidency in greater detail, and, well, I couldn't find any evidence for it.

I was supportive of a measure that would allow for an end to term limits. I would only ever oppose it in true sham democracies, like when Putin tried to end term limits. But Chavez has resisted a coup d'etat against him, has a media that is largely anti-Chavez, and has redistributed money to the illiterate, and the poor, as well as having won elections described as free and fair by the Carter Center.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#96)

The "way out" is the rubbish being touted by desperate New Labour MPs. Our only hope , and I mean that, is to recapture Labour values. If we don't, this MP can pick up his P45. And on the strength of this post, he deserves to

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#6)

New Labour is not a PR strategy, it’s a political philosophy, one that has delivered more success - in delivery and in electoral success - than at any other point in Labour’s history.

Well said.

Labour can and should be more progressive in certain areas, but we must NOT do what the Tories did after 1997 and retreat back to our core vote alone.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#7)

Is anyone saying we should? Name names!

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#8)

John McDonnell for a start! He likes to pretend that his views are 'moderate' - yeh, moderate by his standards - not by anyone else's!

On here, examples would include you, wiseman, doctordunc, e10rifles etc. All of which advocate policies which would completely turn off the more centrist voters that Blair managed to win in 1997.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#10)

See my other comment!

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#15)

No, we don't....

And don't you think there's considerable evidence that New Labour has turned off BOTH core voters and the centrists - the latter by silly spending on quangos, political correctness and inaction on prices, and the former on the grounds of general betrayal. The left has the ideas that would run services efficiently and improve quality of life, schools, hospitals, cut crime improve transport (thus pleasing middle classes) and to do our job of reducing poverty and redistributing to some of our core voters. What's not to like? And before you go into the cost questions, greater minds than mine or yours have considered such things... There's also considerable evidence that increased quantities of foreign direct investment flows to places with higher labour standards and better welfare provision/infrastructure/education - so don't play the globalization card!

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#21)

The left has the ideas that would run services efficiently and improve quality of life, schools, hospitals, cut crime improve transport (thus pleasing middle classes) and to do our job of reducing poverty and redistributing to some of our core voters.

Those are not policies though, they are vague aspirations - ones which most people anywhere on the political spectrum could subscribe to.

I don't disagree with any of that, but our differences lie in how to achieve these things. From my perspective, your way of going about this is a rather heavy-handed, illiberal way in that it will probably involve forms of nationalisation, 50%+ income tax rates and ending the public service reforms and welfare reforms needed for an efficient economy.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#24)

On the contrary, the changes the left proposes would make our economy more competitive: there is a moderate positive correlation between increased social spending and competitiveness, and globalization in no way hurts those countries with higher public spending and higher marginal taxes: indeed, in terms of trade, high tax countries tend to run surpluses, whilst low-spending economies such as us and the US run susbstantial deficits. There is also no evidence of capital flight from countries with higher spending and taxation levels.

My point is that the continuous Blairite 'reforms' have generally amounted to reinventing the wheel, giving it an office and calling it an executive, diverting valuable resources away from the coal face and into unaccountable quangos, consultants and outsourcing, all of which is incredibly wasteful (PFI, anyone?). Reduced inequality benefits everyone - not least through reduced spending on crime and health - econometric analyses show countries with lower Gini coefficients to be safer and healthier, all else being constant. There is so much wastage on pointless things in education and health - the public would be 100% behind us cutting bureaucracy and administration, and giving teachers more freedom, less testing and smaller classes.  As for transport, the market is clearly failing to provide adequate services (why should it?) at decent prices - and when the market fails, yes, there's need for govt intervention, whether as a regulator or owner - why is that controversial, just common sense surely?

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#60)

Well it makes a huge amount of difference whether you think the state should be the regulator or the owner. I think it should be the regulator.

I agree with you that in a globalised world, it's good to have a highly-skilled workforce (which requires a vast amount of investment in education), a high-quality integrated transport scheme etc. No doubts about that.

But let's not pretend that higher tax is going to attract foreign direct investment - it won't. That's not to say that we need to have a 'race to the bottom' by constantly lowering taxes and spending. It needs to be something in between - high spending on education, health, infrastructure combined with reforms to make them more efficient - and also prevent taxes getting so high that it would stifle our competitiveness.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#65)

Higher tax will attract FDI to the extent that it delivers improvements in infrastructure, human resources and quality of life. Wasteful use of public funds is not tolerated by globalization, but public spending that improves these, and other relevant aspects is highly beneficial. That's precisely why spending on quangos and restructuring is silly, and why 'municipal socialist' measures are positive. On redistribution and the environment, short term costs are likely to be heavily recouped by the reduced spending needed on adaptation to climate change and the mutlitude of problems created by inequality. On nationalisation, it will be tolerable in a globalised world if it increases efficiency and service delivery. Globalization certainly constrains socialism for the sake of socialism, but leaves socialism that works largely unaffected. Likewise, the ILO has found higher FDI flows to countries with greater labour rights, due to productivity and and efficiency gains.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#75)

But nationalisation does not increase efficiency or service delivery - it makes it worse. This is because there are no competitive pressures which punish managerial failure or reward innovation and adaption of successful methods.

There's no incentive for nationalised industries to increase efficiency because there's no threat of competition.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#78)

But it's a myth that this happens in the private sector.  The capitalist class looks after its own.  What punishments are there for managerial failure in the public sector?  Failing company directors routinely get golden handshakes of hundreds of thousands of pounds.  Then someone will come in and, far from blaming management, will pass all the blame down onto the workforce (through 're-structuring' or other responses), or simply asset-strip to make a quick killing - neither of which is an appropriate way to run public services.

It is only where public services are increasingly run like private companies where poor-performing managers appear to be rewarded for their ineptitude, and failures are passed down to workers.

Innovation and adaption of successful methods can be rewarded in ways other than the market mechanism (indeed, I see little evidence that they are rewarded via the market mechanism - cutting corners and asset-stripping appear to be rewarded much more merrily). 

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#80)

But it's a myth that this happens in the private sector.  The capitalist class looks after its own.

Phrases like that are just silly Duncan.

What punishments are there for managerial failure in the public sector?

Exactly - there's very little competition in the public sector. Education and health are broadly state controlled. There may have been a few little reforms here and there, but nothing worthwhile.

If you take a look at Sweden and their educational reforms of the 1990's which allowed schools to have greater independence from the state (and bad schools get closed down, popular schools are allowed to expand - which doesn't happen here) then I think we're going to head in the same direction. Probably that will be implemented in the NHS in the not too distant future.

These are the reforms that are important - emphasising the difference between social democracy and statism.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#82)

Sorry - that was a typo - I meant to write 'what punishments are there for managerial failure in the private sector?'  Rather an integral typo, actually!  Please read the rest of my comment in the light of that difference!!

I spend quite a bit of time in Sweden, and those reforms were not popular.  And actually it's very similar to what happens here.  The market system introduced by the Tories (which we should have removed and didn't) means that 'successful' schools (very controversial how one measures success in education) are rewarded financially and 'unsuccessful' schools are punished financially (and also organisationally through 'special measures' and, in some cases, closure).  It is not a good way to manage an education system.  It necessitates the endless round of testing and publishing of results in order to feed the faux 'market', demoralises teachers, tends to promote poor decision-making (because decisions are taken based on market imperatives rather than the good of all pupils).  I think that, if this is the direction we're heading, it's very sad: it's an unimaginative, tired, old, 1980s-style form of public sector reform that has had its day.

(As for my earlier comment being 'silly' - I don't think it is silly: middle managers and workers are punished when there's poor performance in the private sector, the people at the top are cossetted and then either set up for life or rehabilitated).

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#83)

It just occurred to me that 'quite a bit of time in Sweden' may be misleading!  I have friends there and go once a year!

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#79)

Well, I was referring to services, as opposed to businesses - there's no evidence that public services are better run in private hands, presumably because profit is not the key outcomes, so traditional business motives don't operate?

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#84)

I think cutting corners is one of the worst aspects. Because they try & make money out of it they implement things on the cheap, which is not good for users of the service. It is good for bosses though.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#85)

Oh and I suppose Adam Crozier is your hero, right?

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#89)

Yep, I have a great big poster of him on my wall.

Seriously, the closure of the local post offices and 'dumbing down' the service could be stopped by the government since they regulate Royal Mail, but they choose not to.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#92)

Indeed they could and should; but this is a fairly predictable consequence of the deregulation of the postal service - the sort of reforms you've been championing.  The truth is that such reforms are not popular and are not successful.  I simply don't buy your argument that they represent an essential element of keeping our winning coalition together.  They are totemic because they sound 'right wing', but while polls tend to show people supporting 'reform' (who doesn't?) polls also tend to show people opposing an increased roll for the private sector and marketisation, when they here these sorts of reforms fleshed out.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#93)

Apologies for all the typos.  I will start proof-reading my comments again!

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#109)

As long as the arguments are coherent, than a few spelling mistakes can be tolerated. That sounded slightly Stalinist.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#9)

I wouldn't agree that this government has achieved the most in terms of delivery (I think the '45-'51 government delivered more, mainly in the first few years), but it has delivered a lot and I disagree with those who, elsewhere, have talked about the government as a 'failure'.  I do think it has been a massive missed opportunity in many ways, and there are some things it has done which I think are enormously damaging and wrong. 

But I honestly think that characterising the policy suggestions coming from the left as a 'core vote strategy' is wrong.  I am certainly not suggesting we should 'retreat back to our core vote alone'.  I think we should get our 'core vote' back.  But I also think we need to get the rest of that winning coalition back (indeed I now see that winning coalition from '97 as our real core vote): we don't just need the votes of our traditional supporters.  We need the votes of pensioners (a massive tranche of active voters) - they used to be part of our winning coalition, and could be again if we made radical strides on linking the state pension to average earnings, bringing more of the low paid out of taxation, looking at the impact of council tax on pensioners, etc.  We need the votes of students - they used to be part of our winning coalition, and could be again if we looked again at student finances (particularly university fees) as well as looking at bringing more of the low paid out of taxation, challenging age discrimination in pay and rights for temporary and agency workers.  We need the votes of public sector workers - they used to be part of our winning coalition, and could be again if we looked at the pay settlements that they've received, trade union rights, the rights of temporary and agency workers, stopped PFIs and other part-privatisations in public services and instead brought in a new era of public service reform that put the needs of workers and service-users ahead of the desire for private consultancies to grab tax payers' money.  We need the votes of people - of any background - who are generally progressive and socially liberal.  They used to be part of our winning coalition, and could be again if we ditched the 42 detention and ID cards, and demonstrated our beliefs in fairness and equality in the other policy areas I've referred to (not least the next potential 10p scandal - the plight of the genuinely disabled in the face of incoming welfare 'reforms').  I could go on: peace activists, environmentalists, etc, etc.  These are huge swathes of the electorate who, alongside our traditional supporters, brought us to power in '97.  And we could win them back.

And yes, I do believe those sorts of policies and that sort of 'strategy' could win us the next election.  But it isn't a PR strategy, it's a political philosophy, and one which brought the Labour Party into being and has seen it through dark days and bright and has behind all its great successes, in governments that chose to include the word 'New' and those that didn't.  I call it socialism; I don't care what others choose to call it, we just need to get on with implementing it!

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#11)

what Tom said.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#16)

Sorry to dart off-topic, but was this topic actually started by a Minister?  Do Ministers and MPs etc. read Labour Home?

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#19)

Group51 - Yes, well, atleast some of us do. Is that ok, because I can stop if you like...

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#20)

No no no!  It's good, it's good! Stay!


Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#17)

  1. Couldn't agree more. We don't have to shift to the left, abandoning New Labour, in order to get another term. The problem at the moment is poor perception following the 10p tax debacle and a global economic downturn. We solve that problem by coming out with bold (but not far-left) policies which continue to help the poorest in society, and alleviate some of the pain which many will experience as a result of the credit crunch, and by getting our presentational act together.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#18)

I find Tom Harris completely tone deaf to the current electorate.  It's very depressing.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#30)

I don't think you can make that assessment based on what he's written here.  Or here either:

 The media’s agenda is not ours

And I think when those with power appear on here, when disagreeing with them, we need to be careful not to personally attack them.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#32)

Even when they brand those of us who disagree with them 70s throwbacks/Bennites/oppositionists/stupid?
I'm all for personal attacks if they make the person see how angry we are with their pathetic performances and lack of ideas.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#36)

To be fair, I don't think I've ever used such insults to describe people with whom I disagree.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#33)

I think we should keep personal attacks out of our discussions altogether, but I can't say I think 'those with power' should be especially immune!  Indeed, they have a little more to answer for than most who comment here...

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#35)

My criticism of his position is merely political I assure you.  I don't give a monkeys about the personal quailities of Tom Harris or any other Minister but I what I really object to having out of touch Ministers lecture those of us who've  given up precious weekends and evenings to end up being shouted at on the door step for the past two months!  Our voters want our party back! What is the point of Mr Harris posting here is he can't handle the honest views of members who are keeping him in a job.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#39)

I can quite easily handle personal criticism - who said I couldn't? In fact I find these threads extremely interesting. And as someone who stands on doorsteps at weekends as much as any of my members, I do understand the hard time our activists have been having as a direct result of decisions made by the government.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#40)

Thank you, Tom!  To be listened to is all we ask!!!!!!

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#41)

And yet you don't provide any justification for your views. Can you explain to me why New Labour was necessary when in 1994 we won 45% of the vote as an explicitly social democratic party? What about when today's young people grow up without any conception of Labour as the party of justice - what're we going to do then? Why does New Labour think we can't be strongly redistributive anymore? Why doesn't inequality matter? Why have we failed to eradicate poverty despite being in power for a decade with huge majorities and a great financial situation? Why is every policy filtered through its appeal to the middle classes? Everyone I speak to would love a principled party in British politics - why is that so repellent to you?

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#42)

I agree entirely.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#43)

Without New Labour, the Tories wouldn't have thought they needed to create 'clear blue water' and move to the unelectable right.

That's one reason, at least.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#61)

Why do you keep going on about that 1994 election? Getting 45% of the vote in local/Euro elections does not translate into getting the same at general elections. By 1994, people were sick to death of the Tories so it should be no surprise that Labour did so well.

Labour since 1994 has been a party of social justice and reducing inequality and poverty - if you choose to ignore that then that's up to you. We achieved more under Blair for the poor than we ever did under Kinnock, Foot, Callaghan, Wilson etc. Why is it so hard for you to admit that?

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#67)

Because it's such a waste.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#76)

Well that's not an answer.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#34)

I think he is very, very out of touch. Like the whole government really.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#38)

Government has already addressed the 10p issue, and can't run the global economy.  So I'm afraid we'll have to do more.

Thoughts on 6yr agency worker delay: it's rubbish (#44)

> It’s based on the premise that governments should, in fact, govern for the whole nation ... and far less just their core electors.

i.e. the triangulation approach. But the alternative theory is that core-vote loyalty will at some point wither if the face of a long period of disinterest. Then it will take a long time regain thier trust. Brendan Barber put it well in his Progress talk:

But triangulation is a dangerous weapon.

You can only run against your own past for so long before you end up undermining some of your most elemental values.

Emphasising constant change means you risk destroying the good as well as the bad. You end up fetishising the new, and losing the labour.

No one should forget that more people voted Labour in 1992 than in 2001 or 2005.

You can see this in practice.

I have been astonished how little pride the Party has taken in some of its improvements in rights at work, and measures to increase the incomes of the low paid, such as the minimum wage and tax credits.

As a result the beneficiaries are not exactly rushing to the ballot box to show their appreciation.
 
Which theory is correct? What is the downside impact each way if the wrong analysis is made?

Re: it's rubbish (#45)

Great stuff. And let's not forget only a million more people voted Labour in 2005 than in 1983! Were it not for the quirks of our electoral system, we'd be nothing - and yet they pretend the country loves New Labourism. The fact is there's plenty of people out there who'd support a sensible democratic socialist platform - particularly if we had AV and compulsory voting. Why, then, do we pretend that we have to appease the middle classes to win? One of life's great mysteries...

Re: it's rubbish (#46)

Don't be ridiculous. Labour can win in 2010 if it adheres to the centre-right! Nobody left of centre can possibly win anything because the leadership says it so it must be true!

Re: it's rubbish (#62)

Compulsory voting? No thanks - we're being accused of being too authoritarian as it is.

And why do you use 2005 as an indicator for the level of support for New Labour and not 1997 or 2001? 2005 saw a backlash because of Iraq and as with all modern elections, the turnout was generally much lower then than in the 1980's.

It isn't about 'appeasing the middle classes', it's about being a party of aspiration which builds on a broad coalition of those on the left. This is opposed to appealing purely to the core voters (not even the majority of working class people).

Re: it's rubbish (#70)

I think the most recent election is a fair comparison, NM!? Why could turnout be lower? Perhaps because our supporters stay at home and no-one sees a great difference between the parties? Other processes at work too, obviously, but all the more reason for compulsory voting - let's force people to fight for their interests. Since when was authoritarianism that increased people's wellbeing through democratic means a bad thing? I addressed the 'retreating to the core vote' issue many times...NO ONE IS SAYING THAT!

Re: it's rubbish (#77)

Criminalising something which has been perfectly legal for centuries (refusing to vote) is authoritarian. And I think it's only mentioned as part of an effort to boost Labour's vote. Democratic reforms should not be about benefiting one particular party at the expense of another.

You're right to say that turnout is lower because parties have converged over the past 20 years - but that shows it's not fair to compare 2005 votes with 1983 votes - the Tory numbers coming out to vote have gone down too - it's not just a Labour problem.

Re: it's rubbish (#81)

Looking thru past election results, it is interesting to note (without trying to make a left-right point) that the 2005 election was the first time the winning party got fewer than 10 million votes since 1929.

The recent voting share trends bring home that the next election would have been hard to win even without the recent troubles. 

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#47)

The trouble with many of your proposals is they cost money.
With a budget deficit of £40billion, there is no money.. so taxes will have to rise.

Tax rises = very unpopular.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#48)

Why did the 10p compensation package fail to resonate with voters?  Why are the police so angry now?  

Perhaps it lacked credibility?  We say one-day that there's no money for what the people want, and then the next day find money for things the Government wants.

Is Trident to be cancelled?  ID cards?  Battleships?  PFI?  Northern Rock?

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#110)

Yeah....or, as most of us promoting tax rises have been suggesting, raise taxes on the uber-rich. If we clamped down on all tax evasion, non-doms, private equity etc. we could treble funding for every kid going to primary school. I likewise think Brown has been reckless with some of his spending, gold, pensions etc. I support a balanced budget, as it's good economics.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#49)

I agree with Tom Harris.  In the past, we have lurched to the left is response to defeat and an analysis of the 1983 election after moving to the left ensured that we received the lowest vote in post war history.  Tony Blair was successful in getting rid of the notion that a Labour Government would tax and spend as he knew that the country would never accept such policies and were more comfortable with a government in the centre.   We all want lower taxes and better public services.  Those who call for a move to the left are consigning the party to years of opposition as we would alienate middle class voters.  Yes we do need a broad spectrum of voters to retain a Labour government.

Tony Blair was uncompromising in his convictions and whilst he may have been disliked by some groups, he was nevertheless respected.   He maintained the coalition of support which we have sadly lost in the past few months.  We should be asking ourselves how we can regain this support other that by a lurch to the left which the country would never, ever accept.

I do not know what Gordon Brown stands for.  I want to have an optimistic leader and one who sets out a clear vision.  I want one who does not patronise me by telling me that the change in tax policy (higher personal allowances )was as a result of the credit crunch rather than a means to stave off a back bench revolt and the simplest way of correcting an error.  It is wrong to underestimate the knowledge and common sense of voters.   It certainly seems that the voters are not listening to the party at this moment in time and regrettably this is down to the leadership.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#51)

Why do you people persist in ignoring facts? We've already established that we won more votes in 1992 than in 01 or  05, and that we only won 1 million more votes in 05 than 83 - so the idea that New Labour managed to build an unprecedentedly large coalition is clearly nonsense. Of course we want better public services - why does that mean we can't also pursue our goals of redistribution and tackling poverty? Why would that alienate middle class voters? And why did it not do so in 1992 and 1994? The only innovation of New Labour was to exploit the quirks of our electoral system - we could've changed that straight away and there'd simply be no need. AV would completely remove the disproportionate weight of floating voters and those in key seats. Frankly, unless we move to the left there's little point having a Labour govt, as New Labour has completely run out of ideas and is only interested in restructuring and rebranding now.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#56)

I think this is a good point. Floating voters in key marginals are only an issue because of FPTP. They are given a disproportionate amount of power.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#63)

Frankly, unless we move to the left there's little point having a Labour govt,

Frankly, if we ever move as far left as you want, there'll never be a Labour government again.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#68)

Oh here we go. Amazing that you would call it 'far left' for somebody to support Roy Hattersley. Next you'll be branding him a Trotskyist for speaking out against New Labour.

Remind anyone of Stalin?

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#69)

We shall see.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#52)

"Tony Blair was successful in getting rid of the notion that a Labour Government would tax and spend as he knew that the country would never accept such policies"

But the party did tax and spend!


"Tony Blair was uncompromising in his convictions and whilst he may have been disliked by some groups, he was nevertheless respected."

I agree with this. I never liked Blair just like I never liked Thatcher. But both of them were leaders even if you didn't like the direction of the journey. With Gordon I'm not sure that there even is a journey....


"I do not know what Gordon Brown stands for. I want to have an optimistic leader and one who sets out a clear vision"

I think it is becoming increasingly clear that Gordon is not a leader. The additional problem, which people here have alluded to is 'if not Gordon, then who?'. The 'candidates' are all scared of being the leader at the next election and probably equally scared of losing their seats if they are in marginals. Scared people seldom act rationally.

Perversely enough, if a cabinet member is in a moderately marginal seat then it might be worth attempting to become PM. Being Prime Minister can secure extra votes with the electorate in your own constituency. It is a gamble, but if near certain defeat is staring you in the face then it might be worth a flutter.....

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#71)

"He maintained the coalition of support which we have sadly lost in the past few months."

What?!!!  Did you sleep through 2006?

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/4969812.stm

 

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#53)

Firstly it is very good to see a Labour MP engaging with activists in this way.

To my mind, the problem with your analysis is that the New Labourcoalition you speak about increasingly excluded the "left." This was not something that many constituency and affiliated members have been happy about - don't forget half of us have left since 1997 and even unions have disaffiliated - so the New Labour "coalition" was never much of a coalition in party terms.

Many who did not leave during Blair's neo-liberal privatising and warmongering tenure of office remained because they were on the right of the party, or perhaps because they thought (as I have) that it is better to have even a right-wing Labour administration than a Tory one. And some of course because they were firmly on the right of the party and actually believed in Blairism. 

To rebuild our coalition is not strictly a left-right question, and I very much agree with Doctordunc's comments here. But let us remember that the left has a rightful place in the party and we need a genuine coalition of contending political outlooks in the party and outside that encompasses real politics, whilst also rebuilding a party shattered by New Labour's disempowering of members, destruction of democratic machinery, financial mismanagement and constant policy let-downs (Iraq, civil liberties, student loans and top-up fees, PFI, privatisation and so on.) This does not mean, incidentally that the government has not done good things - in schools, in health, in provision for the elderly. But I believe it is possible, indeed essential, to rebuild a genuine coalition in which the interests of all sections of the party are reflected, in a revitalised party context of vigorous and genuine political debate.

In my personal opinion it has been a particular, and potentially disastrous, mistake to allow the Conservatives to capture the socially liberal agenda that has always been integral to the Labour Party. We do not need to be the new "nasty party." I hope our leader and home secretary can understand that.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#54)

Very true. All previous Labour governments have accepted the broad church, and recognised that there is more than one acceptable strand of opinion in the party - this one has derided its opponents as deluded fantasists. That suggests not just intellectual cowardice, but an anti-democratic nature which is just not acceptable any more.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#55)

Well said. I'd like to know how Tom Harris reconciles his love for New Labour with the fact that they just ignore party conference...official Labour Party policy.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#57)

Remember how everyone thought Ken would be rediculously left-wing? Instead he turned out to be a progressive, pragmatic politician. I've spoken to many, who didn't vote for Ken, becasue of actions of the national government. So perhaps there are lessons to be learned.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#74)

I think that with the situation we are in when peope say things along the lines of "we need a move to the left" or "we need a move to the right" what people are more upset with the use of language rather than what actual polices a move might maintain.

For example, dropping the 10p tax rate was a "move to the right" fixing the problem was a "move to the left" but I don't think anyone on the right of the party would have objected to this move to the left.

The big problem I have with the whole "we can't move to the left" language is that it implies that the only direction of travel is to the right. And if that was true I personally would feel very uneasy about my continuing membership of the Labour party.

I do think that there are left leaning policies that we could implement that would be both popular and effective in achieving our goal of helping the worst off in society.

As a final note, I could say "I'm not advocating a shift to the left but.." but I'm fed up of having to phrase soft left views in those terms. I think the party should stand for more than just winning elections and that's something we shouldn't forget.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#86)

"The big problem I have with the whole "we can't move to the left" language is that it implies that the only direction of travel is to the right." That it, in a nutshell really. There's masses of political ground between (New) Labour as it is now and the hard-left, early '80s political ghetto. We can easily afford to be more social-democratic. Let's get Labour more in line with our European cousins in the PES.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#87)

Clearly it's uncomfortable for Government MPs to go into opposition but it has to happen sometime.  No party can monopolise power indefinitely.  Even in their weakened state the Conservatives acheived a fair bit in opposition - such as keeping the UK out of the Euro. There needs to be much less obsessing about "winning the next election" and much more focus on "governing as well as possible until then".

If Labour focuses on governing well then, even if defeated at the next election (which seems hghly likely) there will be a reasonable number of Labour MPs and a good shot at the election in 2013/14.  But if the present disgraceful shambles continues continues there could well be fewer than 120 Labour MPs in the next parliament. Remember in a "safe" Labour seat 49.5% of the voters voted Conservative.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#88)

It doesn't actually have to be 'either/or'.  Doing some really worthwhile stuff in the next two years is also - by happy coincidence - the best strategy for being re-elected.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#90)

I don't quite understand. Surely if 49.5% voted Tory then it would be a Tory seat...unless there were only 2 candidates which never happens. Sounds like a safe Tory seat to me.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#91)

Crewe and Nantwich.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#97)

Oh of course. Misunderstood his sentence, silly me.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#99)

These 2 responses precisely illustrate my point. I entirely agree with drdunc

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#94)

As a non-labourite myself, I'm somewhat bemused or even confused about labour's apparent conviction that the problem is policy or ideology. I'd say the labour party may well have internal ideological issues, which need to be sorted out if it doesn't want a long time in the wilderness, but the key problem the government actually faces is delivery. Voters know, in an absurdly simple and reductive example, that the labour policy on crime is to, er, reduce it. The problem is that, as far as voters are concerned, labour hasn't.

Sod policy fiddling, recognise the problem is essentially manegerial, and start delivering! If labour can do that, it'll be just fine.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#95)

Your choice of crime reduction is an interesting one. Crime has fallen in recent years. People's perception is perhaps that it is increasing. Certainly some crime with a high media profile - violence in teenagers for example - has increased. But, in general crime has fallen, so you could say that Labour has delivered on this.
 

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#98)

"But, in general crime has fallen, so you could say that Labour has delivered on this"

Well the problem is: who believes the statistics?
Few.
Why?
The answer is obvious.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#100)

Because people tend to make short circuit decisions based on easily available information rather than fully evaluating all available data. As you are quite clearly doing.

How much do you know about the methodologies for gathering government data? Can you offer commentary as to whether the methodologies are sound? I bet you can't.

So please refrain from stupid "who trusts statistics" soundbites when they mean preciselfy nothing.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#101)

Oddly part of the problem with the two main statistical counters of crime, i.e. the PRC (Police Reported Crime) and BCS (British Crime Survey) figures, is that they often produce such contradictory results that 'easily available' evidence/ anecdote and personal experience are almost more telling!

That said, there is a statistical agreement that overall crime has gone down a bit over the last decade, yet violent crime risen considerably; I think the figures are a rise from 500 000 a year to just over 1000 000, or thereabouts. Considering that the former is probably in large part due to the advance in alarms on cars etc. leading to a reduction in 'volume crime' (burglary/theft), it isn't impressive. I'd certainly rather have my TV stolen than get a fist through the face. It is also clear that the main indicator of police efficacy, i.e. Offences Brought To Justice (OBTJ) is seriously flawed: if a copper nicks two litterers he gets more kudos in OBTJ numbers than another who nicks one murderer. 

 

Basically, voters are not crackers in feeling there to be a crime problem.  

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#104)

People don't think in statistics, they draw conclusions based on what they experience and what they hear about. Media coverage plays a huge role in shaping public perception of crime. It may not be crackers to percieve a rise in crime, but in this case, it's wrong. The 2006/2007 British crime survey (page 49) shows a 41% fall in violent crime since 1995.

It annoys me immensely, that government statistics, despite often being the most reliable measure of performance are so easily dismissed by this stupid "People on the street can see it's not right, WAKE UP GORDON!" rhetoric.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#106)

The BCS relies on interviews, which is all very well for volume crime, but seriously flawed when it comes to violent crime. To take the most extreme examples, those who have been murdered or raped are going to be either unable or likely unwilling to talk about their experience to an absolute stranger.

 

  

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#102)

Just looked up the volume crime statistics: they went down a bit towards 2000, then went up above the 1997 level in 2002, and in 2006/7 were below the 1997 level. But the reduction is small: in 1998-9 there were around 3 million volume crimes a year; in 2006-7 just over 2.5 million. Not good compared to the doubling in violent crime..

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#103)

"So please refrain from stupid "who trusts statistics" soundbites when they mean preciselfy nothing."

My point is proven. See above posts.

When 2 sets of statistics disagree, someone is lying.

It's like having 2 sets of inflation statistics.

Who believes inflation is 2%?
No-one.

For good reason.. and that's obvious too .

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#105)

Rather than just assume that someone is lying, why not look at how the figures are calculated. And draw your conclusions by asessing whether the method of calculation is sound.

The different inflation rates use different baskets of goods for example, CPI (I believe) excludes property.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#107)

Yes, but by using the CPI as their measure of choice, the government has claimed that it represents 'true' inflation, i.e. is a more meaningful measure of inflation that the RPI. This is just daft.

Considering index-linked pensions, including those in government, use RPI, I think it's fair to say those in the know, know CPI to be daft. Given that, if using CPI figures isn't lying, then it certainly isn't telling the whole truth.

Myself though, I'd say it's tantamount to a lie. 

 

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#113)

Both numbers are published, I'm not sure that one is considered more official than the other it's just that the CPI is the one taken into consideration by the MPC when setting interest rates.

Re: Thoughts on opposition: it's rubbish (#111)

On the crime issue, people are so mawkish. Papers realise this: crime sells. I don't like conservatism because it is too visceral. Of course visceral reactions such as 'zero-tolerance' are appealing. But there is a myth surrounding Giuliani style politics: it simply isn't true. There are far greater issues.

Why is it that 60% of young offenders are COMPLETELY illiterate? Why is it that a third of young offenders come directly from care homes?

Contrast this with Camilla Batmanjalidh's approach. There is a 90% success rate, amonst the kids who go into 'Kid's Company'. Beneath the exterior of knife-wielding teenagers, are those who the exemplary Batmanjalidh has said wet the bed. I believe we need to remove the factors causing crime before we can tackle it seriously.

There is a huge irony, in that by being tough on crime, we are not being tough enough on crime. Let me explain. Not only by creating over 2,000 criminal offences, with rediculous uses, like using anti-Terrorist bills to snoop on council workers, or to crack down on the Heathrow protestors (note, why do the right-wing press call them a nuisance, when the extremely disruptive fuel protestors are protrayed as big heroes, like the editors have just seen the face of god?), is this a distraction from real crimes, but there are many more serious crimes commited, by keeping so many futile offences.

We have approximately 80,000 prisoners. Around 10,000 have been selling soft drugs, or posessing/ taking it. 1,000 people are jailed for prostitution, as well as 2,000 for being too poor to pay fines. There are around 8,