Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms?

The think-thank Reform has a interesting report setting out how in the 1st month of the Brown era, a reverse gear has been found on the public sector reforms we saw during the Blair era.  Many I guess will welcome this, but as the Reform report point's out the 'inital decisions will impose an upwards pressure on public sector costs'.

'Retreat from reform: the initial policy decisions of the new government'
http://www.reform.co.uk/website/pressroom/latestbulletin.aspx

The report's main point's concern:
-   the NHS – a twelve-month review of health policy when urgent decisions on cost control and reform are already one to two years overdue; and delays and cancellations of contracts to allow private sector companies to compete for NHS-funded treatment;
-  student / university finance – an increase in taxpayer-funded maintenance grants which contradicts the principle of tuition fees;
schools – an increase in the regulation of city academies and an explicit rejection of school choice; and
- housing – a Green Paper proposing housebuilding according to central priorities.

I think the main concern is over the way that the City Academy programme has been put in the control of local LEA's and the education establishment.  The other concern is with the NHS, where a major contract with a private company to provide NHS diagnostic service has been axed went pretty much unreported.  Even more concerning is that there will be no third wave of independent sector treatment centres (ISTCs) imposed by central government which have done so much to reduce waiting lists. 

Some good analysis:

Fraser Nelson's analysis:
http://www.spectator.co.uk/archive/52028/politics.thtml

Nicholas Timmins of the FT: 'Hopes fade over private sector role in NHS'
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/a692477a-29c6-11dc-a530-000b5df10621.html

Peter Riddell argues that any criticisms are exaggerated:
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/peter_riddell/article2148142.ece

Would be interesting to hear what people's view's are?



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Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#1)

Very important questions here MM.


Whilst I generally support Brown's policies on housing and increasing taxpayer-funded maintenance grants, his policies on academies and the NHS reforms are not desirable - as you rightly point out.


There's no point in having the Academy programme if all the independence and choice benefits don't come with them. As for his change on the NHS - I'll wait and see before I come to a verdict.


All this won't help Brown at the general election however, as Cameron really will be able to paint Brown as the 'roadblock to reform', so I hope Brown doesn't do too much tweaking of Blair's much needed changes.

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#15)

Dear MM

The Reform paper sums up our politics - we have still to learn how to mobilise grassroots opinion in sufficient numbers to outweigh policy wonkery, media hype and politicians bending in the wind.

Peter Kenyon

http://petergkenyon.typepad.com/peterkenyon/



Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#2)

"student / university finance – an increase in taxpayer-funded maintenance grants which contradicts the principle of tuition fees;"

Not so. These are an increase in grants targeted at students from the poorest background; a highly progressive move designed to encourage such students into university. Indeed, for all its faults, it was the 'top-up fee' bill (passed through parliament under Blair's stewardship) that brought the return of the maintenance grant. To suggest that grants are autmatically at odds with the principle of tuition fees is disingenuous to say the least.

Finally, let's not forget that Reform is an organisation that argues against the use of increased government spending in Higher Education.  

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#3)

No way. Brown is simply a continuation of the new Labour project; its something that cannot be reversed. Only, he's going about it in a more subtle way; as befits a master tactician.
But expect to see the rise of English nationalism and the W. Lothian question being settled once and for all.

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#4)

Reform is also an organisation that advocates replacing the NHS with an insurance-based system (doesn't that work so well in the United States?)? Reform = market fundamentalists.

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#6)

Yep, Reform was founded by the former Head of the Political Section in the Conservative Research Department (Andrew Haldenby), and a current Tory MP (Nick Herbert). And 2 of the 3 other directors have strong Tory links, one was Special Adviser to Norman Lamont, another was an adviser to Peter Lilley. So it's pretty easy to guess at it's policy line.

Why is Frank Field so involved with Reform, and on its Advisory Board?

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#8)

Just because it has Tories involved does it make the critique any less readable?  Nick Herbert has said some sensible things on Police reform for the Tories.

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#9)

Tories "involved" in Reform is a bit of an understatement for 75% of Directors being Tory ex-SpAds or Conservative Research Department heads. I'm slowly ploughing thru the 99 page report and will come to that later ...

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#16)

I notice Reform front-page links to an article about the shadow cabinet promotions, odd for an "independent" charitable think-tank: Co-founder Nick Herbert of "the influential right-leaning think tank Reform ... floated far-reaching reforms of schools and hospitals" becomes Shadow justice secretary.

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#7)

As I understand it a family's income is upto £25,000 they can get a full maintenance grant.  Then partial grants treshold upto £60,000 family income.  The package will cost about £400million per year.

Is giving partial grants to those students whose families earn £50,000 - £60,000 a year the best use of money?  Surely that money would be better targeted in other area's?

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#17)

Combined income yes, that could easily be a fireman and a nurse who have more than one son or daughter going to university.

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#5)

My take here: http://newerlabour.blogspot.com/2007/07/gordon-brown-and-reform.html

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#10)

There's another article in The Sunday Times calling Brown the 'going backwards PM'. As I said, this unwillingness to continue Blair's reforms will do Brown no good whatsoever for the long-term.



Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#11)

Just like Tony Big Gordon has no reverse gear. Did you not hear Brown say top Bush that '... he expects the special relationship... to get even stronger'. Brown is sending out mixed messages, but one thing is clear, there's no turning back. There will also be more dialogue with big business leaders to stick with Labour and a  drive to make Labour the prefered Party of Big Business.

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#12)

I think the problem with Brown at the moment is that he is sending out mixed messages.

Nobody has a clue whether he's more left or right than Blair. One minute, like you say, he is cosying up to businesses but then he refuses to follow Blair's reforms. He's acted very socially conservative up to now, but will that change? And the government keeps on sending mixed messages on the 'special relationship' with the US.

Maybe Brown's trying to be all things to all men is an attempt to gain huge electoral success. This is a very risky thing to do however as it could backfire badly - and considering his stance on casinos, I didn't think he was much of a gambler.

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#14)

Edwina Currie said that tories were worried about Brown being Old Labour, and pointed out that on these social issues, Old Labour are quite traditional in some senses. To be honest, i don't like the supercasinoes, but I don't have too much objection to the 'mini-casinoes'.

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#13)

Much as I agree with the commenter above who mentioned that just a critique cannot be judged to be worthless just because it is written by a Tory, it's worth bearing in mind the amount of coordination between the thinktanks, the party and other Conservative minded organisations. Reform and other thinktanks are overtly political - not independent.

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#18)

I've had a speed-read of much of the 99 page Reform report. It's not in an academic style of fully presenting data, then rigorously reasoning toward caveatted conclusions.  Seems more like a selection of facts, then policy assertions. To be fair, I've not spent enough time on it to form a firm view, but for a flavour:
  • The report claims to "review the progress of public service and economic reform" in the Blair decade. Yet the 99 pages only briefly mention Tax Credits twice (repeating an identical critical point). Surely Tax Credits are one of the major reforms in the ten years, so should warrant extensive study in 99 pages.
  • I was gob-smacked in the intro (page 5) to see the the comment "In crime, the success has been to increase prison places", as if prison was a positive social end in itself. Later on page 21 the rationale is given "the average criminal commits 140 crimes per year, an increase in the prison population of 35,000 would reduced the number of crimes by 4.9 million per year".  Is this a fair analysis? Doesn't seem all that plausible to me. The source given is "Making punishments work; David Green, Civitas" but I can't track that down online. A later Times article  "Prison is a Bargain" by David Green is on a similar line, but different numbers.
Probably a bit unfair to pick just on these two points, but it does give a critical flavour. I'm not impressed on a first speed-read.

Re: Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms? (#19)

Nicholas Timmins of the FT: 'Lack of drive will stall services reform'




Hain cool on private sector contracts:



Interview with Peter Hain: Hain begins 'crusade' for full employment


Reduce public spending to 35% (#20)

 When you look more closely at the full Reform report, you see they want to reduce public spending to about 1997 levels, reduce the size of the NHS, and introduce educational vouchers. Essentially Reform is offering classic Tory policy, with "reform" to improve state sector efficiency. Here are a few quotes from the full report:

  • reduce public-spending-to-GDP from the current level of 43 per cent of GDP to the levels of Ireland and Australia (around 35 per cent) in two Parliaments (page 7)
  • a phased programme of tax reductions to increase incentives, to give individuals room to invest in themselves (page 7)
  • The NHS, for example, is probably 25 per cent overmanned ... NHS workforce has increased by 280,100 since 1997, from 1,058,700 to 1,338,800. An increase of over a quarter. (pages 7, 9)
  • Understand that higher public spending can frustrate reform. The very big increases in NHS manpower and capital, for example, are huge barriers to change; they absorb resources that could be better spent elsewhere, and they make change expensive and difficult. The mantra “investment tied to reform” is wrong. (page 6)
  • successful school reform: School funding would follow parental choice – and allow children to be sent to a state or independent school. (page 38)
  • This means that the new direction is based on a new partnership between the State and the individual. ... the basic level of education which is the passport to participation in the global economy.  But it must recognise the new requirement for individuals to invest in themselves and provide for their own and their families’ welfare needs. It must also recognise the penalties that large government sectors impose on incentives. (page 38)
This report is essentially about reversing the New Labour changes. Why are we talking about it as offering good ideas? It's classic Tory policy in essence. Of course, the press release doesn't mention reducing public spending to 35%, reducing NHS size, or the equiv to education vouchers.