Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead

JM Sat Jul 21, 2007 at 11:07:08 PM GMT Print-friendly version Facebook

Another blow for David Cameron.

A YouGov poll shows Labour maintaining a large lead over the mess that is the current Tory party.

PoliticalBetting.com reports

CON 33% (-2)
LAB 40% (+2)
LD 15% (nc)

Ed. Update: Dave wakes up to at least 6 more blows in the morning, according to the Telegraph.

JM Update: A MORI poll in the Observer today puts Labour six points ahead. 






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Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead | 13 comments (13 topical)

Re: Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead (#1)

by NorthernMonkey on Sat Jul 21, 2007 at 11:39:35 PM GMT

Very pleasing news.


Supposedly, there's another MORI poll out tomorrow that puts us 6 points in the lead.


Also, somewhere between 2 to 6 Tory backbenchers have called for a vote of no confidence in Cameron (according to tomorrow's Sunday Telegraph). Seems like Cameron's skating on thin ice at the moment.


All this is very good, but we must be careful not to get complacent at this point.


Re: Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead (#2)

by JM on Sat Jul 21, 2007 at 11:53:01 PM GMT

The 2-6 backbenchers story is apparently in tomorrow's Sunday Telegraph.

As for the MORI poll - welcome news but it's the least accurate polling company. I usually ignore them. 


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Re: Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead (#3)

by JM on Sat Jul 21, 2007 at 11:55:02 PM GMT

P.S.

Where did you hear about the MORI poll? 


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Re: Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead (#4)

by NorthernMonkey on Sat Jul 21, 2007 at 11:57:35 PM GMT

I read it on another forum - I've not yet found out which newspaper it's been done for or if it's even for tomorrow. I'll keep searching.


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Re: Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead (#5)

by Andrea on Sun Jul 22, 2007 at 12:36:18 AM GMT

I think it's in The Observer


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Re: Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead (#6)

by swatantra on Sun Jul 22, 2007 at 09:07:24 AM GMT

Prepare yourself for a snap election? I hope not.
With a majority around 60 and 3 years to go, its far too early. Besides, the threat of a snap election at any time will keep those usual Labour rebels in line.


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Re: Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead (#7)

by grimupnorth on Sun Jul 22, 2007 at 09:49:27 AM GMT

The  Labour rebels   tend  to have safe seats, actually.And thumping majorities as they  have   lots of support


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Re: Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead (#8)

by warrenmorgan on Sun Jul 22, 2007 at 09:10:16 PM GMT

It's more like two years early - few governments hang on for the full five years unless they are really in trouble (as with Major in 96/97). The Party doesn't have the finances for an early election and the Tories do - as Nick Robinson said on his BBC blog Brown probably wants to scare them into spending some thinking an election is about to happen.
If the no confidence letters from right-wing back benchers start to mount, Cameron could be in trouble, so it might be worth letting Tory divisions fester over coming months. Having said that, if events - as they tend to - start battering the Government and our poll ratings, Gordon might regret not going earlier. It's a tough call.


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Re: Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead (#9)

by Jag Singh on Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 01:26:13 AM GMT

What's the likelihood of a combined London Mayoral+General Election on May 1st 2008?


Re: Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead (#10)

by CockneyLad on Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 01:28:27 AM GMT

Ken and Gordon vs. Boris and Dave? We're quids in.


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High stakes gamble? (#11)

by Jag Singh on Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 01:52:35 AM GMT

I'm guessing we'd reap the synergy (campaign costs/GOTV/activism/etc) from such a plan - but the Tories may be on different ground (different leader, perhaps?) 10 months from now. It would also be a huge gamble - we'd win big if we did, but the prospect of losing London and Whitehall might be a little intimidating.


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Re: High stakes gamble? (#12)

by swatantra on Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 08:26:10 AM GMT

What's the point of an early election when there's a good 3 yrs left? The sooner we get fixed term parliaments the better. Lets take the decision out of the hands of the PM.


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Re: High stakes gamble? (#13)

by lastword on Mon Jul 23, 2007 at 12:48:07 PM GMT

For Labour to win the next general election the battle ground will be London.  London will make or break either party's majority.  It makes complete sense for us to hold the London and the General Elections on the same day.  Turnout would be boosted, which always helps Labour more than the Tories.  It would also help keep the BNP out of the London Assembly.


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Another Poll puts Labour Seven Points Ahead | 13 comments (13 topical)