Election 2007 Aftermath

So most of the results are now in and it's clear to everyone that we've done badly in these elections, although perhaps not quite as badly as everyone expected. So where do we go from here?

In England, we're definately losing ground in the South and the Midlands. I noticed in quite a few councils down there, we had no seats at all, which is a bit disturbing. But in the North, whilst the Tories go on about the gains they've made - they haven't really done that well. They've still not got a single seat in Liverpool or Manchester. In fact, in places like Liverpool and Tameside, our number of seats actually went up. So not too catastrophic there really. Overall, a percentage share of 27%, whilst still very poor, is a slight improvement on last year.

In Wales, we've lost Assembly seats to Plaid, but we'll still be the biggest party by far. But it remains to be seen whether it will still be a Labour exec since a 'rainbow coalition' of Plaid, Tories and LibDems (what a horrible thought) could deny us victory. The Tories were still a disaster in Wales which is good to see.

6PM Update: It now appears that the SNP are the largest party in the Scottish Parliament which is pretty depressing given the high hopes last night. Although we're only one seat behind them. We've also suffered heavy losses in the Scottish council elections under the new STV system.

So what happens now? McConnell is going to find it too difficult to stay on and I think now is the right time for him to go. He's pretty lacklustre and doesn't seem to have actually done very much up there. Rhodri Morgan as well should consider his position. Somebody a bit younger and fresher might do better in Wales now. With Blair and Prescott going soon as well, maybe it's time for a clean sweep of the Labour leaders to allow the next generation to come forward?

When Brown takes over, he's certainly going to find it difficult to win back the popularity in the South and the Midlands. Cameron goes on about the Tories having a 'mountain to climb' - I think the Labour party has a fairly sizeable summit to reach now as well in local government. But maybe without Iraq hanging over him like it has done with Blair and hopefully with plenty of new faces in the Cabinet he can lead some sort of revival (he says hopefully)...


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Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#1)

To comment on your final paragraph, I think that whoever is the next Labour leader will have a mountain to climb, whether it be Brown or someone else, and that will be our main problem when it comes to winning a fourth term. The elections have been nowhere near the anti-Labour whitewash some were predicting, but the Tories still made significant gains, especially in my area (Warwickshire). We need to do a lot of work over the next couple of years before a general election...  

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#2)

Yeah, overrall it could definitely have been much worse.

I don't think Morgan should go unless he wants to, the Welsh result isn't too bad given we're ten years into a UK government and 8 years into a Welsh one.

In terms of his position as First Minister, McConnell won't necessarily have a choice, it depends on which way the smaller parties jump, particularly the Lib Dems.

A SNP, Lib Dem, Green coalition is a big possibility if they can fudge the independence question.

I can't imagine McConnell would stay on as leader of the opposition.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#4)

"don't think Morgan should go unless he wants to, the Welsh result isn't too bad given we're ten years into a UK government and 8 years into a Welsh "

I think Morgan had already said a couple of years ago that if he would still be First Minister after 2007 elections, he would plan to leave his leader position in 2009.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#3)

"The Tories were still a disaster in Wales which is good to see."

I actually I think they did pretty well in Wales. They gained Cardiff North by a landslide. Their win in Preseli was by a comfortable margin too. They won Carmarthen W & Pembrokeshire, etch from third place. Their right wing and possibly homophobic and bigot candidate won Clwyd West. They also cut substantially a number of Labour majorities (like Valley of Clwyd or Gower).
Then in 2003 they won lots of list seats and so those gains produced list losses and so they ended up unchanged. But I wouldn't under-estimate their good performance in some constituencies-

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#5)

Hey Jr,

Coming from you, I find this post somewhat strange.

Does the last paragraph represent a U-turn on your part??? Have you, as a result of this electoral set-back (which could have been MUUUUCH worse), ditched Blairism???? Are you now opposed to the Iraq war???? I may have gotten this wrong, but that is how I understood your post!!!!

With allies like you, I wonder whether Blair genuinely needs opponents! I can, on my part, assure you that, even if McDonnell performs poorly, I, and other McDonnellites with me, will keep standing by his side!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#9)

Don't be ridiculous Mikael. In no way was I saying that I disapprove of Blair or the War in Iraq. I'm saying that we will probably do better in elections when Iraq isn't such a big issue - that's just reality.

When McDonnell ends his short run in the limelight by crashing to Brown, we'll never hear his name mentioned again, so I doubt they'll be much 'standing by him' at all!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#10)

 "I'm saying that we will probably do better in elections when Iraq isn't such a big issue - that's just reality."

You do realise that, by saying so, you're admitting that Iraq was a huge mistake - a move unfit for a Labour government - which, what's more, is hugely unpopular (especially among traditional Labour supporters/voters)and may well have cost/come to cost the Party the elections (this one in England and scotland, and others, held in the future)! Seriously,JR, which one of us is being ridiculous???

McDonnell's campaign will survive well beyond this leadership election (Blairism won't), mark my words!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#18)

Blairism has already survived 10 years and that's 10 more years than 'McDonnellism' will ever have.

You do realise that, by saying so, you're admitting that Iraq was a huge mistake

Not at all. Just because something was unpopular, doesn't make it wrong. Being in government is about doing the right thing for Britain, not winning a popularity contest every minute of every day.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#22)

Blairism has been dying on its feet for ten years.... Wait and see, JR!

"Being in government is about doing the right thing for Britain, not winning a popularity contest every minute of every day."

That's sounds sooooo contradictory coming from someone with an insane obsession on personalities! Omeone like you, that is!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#23)

"Someone like you..."

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#25)

Mikael - I feel sorry for you if you can't understand the difference between something that is unpopular and something that is wrong.

It's especially ironic coming from someone who's ideology is such an election loser.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#27)

I can understand that difference! But, in the case of Iraq, it happened to be both "unpopular" and "wrong"! This should, of course, have made it clear too Blair that he shouldn't have gone to war to begin with but.... what do you want...

By the way, what happened to the Miliband Blog????? I have a feeling that it too was unpopular and wrong....

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#32)

Well maybe the Miliband blog closed because he's no longer considering standing?? I think that's blatantly obvious.

Mikael I think one thing's for sure and that's Marxism will never see the light of day again (thank god) - primarily because it's incredibly unpopular and deeply wrong. Labour and the Tories battling for the centre ground will go on for decades and decades however. So get over it.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#37)

"... I think one thing's for sure and that's Marxism will never see the light of day again (thank god) - primarily because it's incredibly unpopular and deeply wrong..."

Be that as it my, Marxism has always been - and will always be - a strand of thought within the Labour movement! I am convinced that it will outlast Blairism, which, by the way, is living on/off credit... If you see what mean.

Now, I cannot not understand how you Blairites can go on about the "centre-ground" when its quite clear that it will not remain forever favourable to Labour - what more proof do you need after this election! It would be better - and I am sure that, in time, you will understand this (if of course you don't leave the Party between now and then!)- if the Party attempt to reconnect with/expand its base of core/traditional voters/supporters.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#38)

shite... what I meant to say was "I cannot understand" - typing isn't my forte, especially not after having almost religiously followed the ballot count! Sitting in front of the computer does get annoying now and then....

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#39)

Being in touch with 'core voters' alone will never win you elections.

Marxism is already dead in the Labour party - it died a long time ago. Nobody takes it seriously. Blair however, has been Labour's most successful ever leader - that will ensure that the party will not divert away from 'Blairism'.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#42)

"Being in touch with 'core voters' alone will never win you elections."

I don't ;think that losing touch with core voters is a big election winner either!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#43)

That was unclear, what I meant was that I don't think that you can keep winning elections while constantly (through your policy) alienating core voters and traditional supporters.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#51)

"Marxism is already dead in the Labour party - it died a long time ago. Nobody takes it seriously. Blair however, has been Labour's most successful ever leader - that will ensure that the party will not divert away from 'Blairism'."

The first part of your statement is not true, as I know plenty of Marxists in the Labour Party. Obviously I'm not one of them because I'm a Sensible Comrade. And yes they are a tiny minority. But it's wrong and indeed arrogant to pretend that radically different strands of ideological belief don't still exist within Labour ranks.

I'm not convinced Blair is Labour's "most successful ever leader". He has presided over 3 general election victories, which is a massive boost to his reputation, but I'm not sure whether that's much better than Clement Attlee seeing Labour recover from being almost banished from Parliament in the early 1930s to being elected with its first parliamentary majority in 1945.

Anyway, surely the best lesson to learn from Blair's time in the Labour Party is to be flexible and pragmatic in order to remain popular. Therefore to be dogmatic and insist that we must not turn away from Blairism is - ironically - very unBlairite. Going to war in Iraq was also unBlairite as it was unpopular and extremely risky. And ultimately a disaster for government and party.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#56)

Being 'the most successful leader' doesn't mean the best leader. And it is said that 'government isn't about winning a popularity contest' on this thread, which is ironic, because it was Blair's ideology 1994-2003. He tried to win the popularity contest at the wrong time (1997-2001, when this was his biggest chance to leave a truly radical legacy), and talked of not having to win popularity contests at the wrong time (2003-....well now). Before people rattle of a list of Blairs achievements, they are great, but he could have taken them a few steps further.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#61)

Blair saw Labour recover after being wiped out in the 1980's and early 1990's.

Anyway, surely the best lesson to learn from Blair's time in the Labour Party is to be flexible and pragmatic in order to remain popular.

I agree.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#67)

You're agreeing with my statement about the primacy of pragmatism, but what I'm saying is that we shouldn't be scared of moving beyond "Blairism". It is shortsighted to dogmatically denounce anything that doesn't conform to what is known as "Blairism". It's time to move on.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#76)

As long as 'moving on' doesn't mean a fundamental shift to the left, then I agree.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#6)

Tories went down a seat in Scotland.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#7)

That's right!!! What's more is that they failed to make any net gains in Wales (emphasis on the word net).

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#58)

Shite... the Tories have actually gained one seat in Wales, what I was looking was incomplete data....

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#8)

Forgetting the Obvious negatives, let's look at the positives.

We increased our vote on 2006 by 1%, which no one predicted, we had thought that we would get 20-24% which means we pulled some back in the last few days.

We weren't wiped out in Scotland by the SNP, which was widely predicted, the fat is that the SNP cannot form an administration, even with the Liberals. In fact they can't even do it with the Tories, so they will probably need a coalition of Greesna dn Liberals. This is fantastic news, because it's clear that the people rejected the SNP and thier rhetoric. It also means we are better at getting the vote out in Scotland than England.

In wales we only lost a Net of 3 seats, again, we were predicted to lose many more than that. we can still form a coalition administration, and we have recovered in the South at the expense of Plaid in places like Rhondda and Islwyn.

We did reasonably well in Northern England, in Liverpool, Manchester and others. We did well because the Tories missed out in key councils, like Blackburn, Bolton, Barrow and are still not even a bean in Oldham, where thay had a seat until 1997.

In the South, it really wasnt plain sailing for the Tories, they lost Hastings, did not do as well as expected in key wards in Canterbury, lost Eastbourne, diddnt take Bristol ad lost Thurrock.

We managed to increase our seats in southampton, Slough, Thurrock and held on in Reading. It was the Liberals who imploded, they got hammered in scotland and wales, and there were some really bad liberal results in England, in Bournemouth, Windsor, Sheppey and elsewhere.

in my experience, we generally lost because we diddnt get our vote out. now this is not so bad, because you would hope that they would come out in general elections, and they are still Labour voters, they havent changed allegiances, but just stayed at home. Our job is to get these people back to the ballot boxes, and get out our core vote in the way the tories have for the last 2 years.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#11)

AM305,a good paint job on a bad night for us
'We weren't wiped out in Scotland by the SNP, which was widely predicted, the fat is that the SNP cannot form an administration, even with the Liberals. In fact they can't even do it with the Tories, so they will probably need a coalition of Greesna dn Liberals. This is fantastic news, because it's clear that the people rejected the SNP and thier rhetoric.'
Wrong,wrong and wrong again they rejected us,the SNP are the biggest party in seats and share of the vote,the first time in 50 years that we have lost an election,Salmond will be the first minister either in coalition with the fib dems or in a minority admin.
What do we do now?,i voted Labour in 83,gubbed,voted Labour in 87,gubbed again, in 92,97,01,05 I'm not going to abandon an old friend when they need help,but it will be a long road back.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#15)

hi,

my name's Arjun,

you are of course right, but let's remember, we were expected to get 3 or 4 less seats than we did, the SNP were predicted 50, they havent won the election, they can't even form a majority with 2 parties- what kind of victory is that? We started the election 10% behind, and we ended with Parity.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#19)

Yes, let's be honest here. The Scottish result can hardly be seen as good for us.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#12)

urrrmm..............lets celebrate our wins in North Lincolnshire and Luton!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#16)

and Leicester!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#57)

And Nottingham! The city council is now LD 6, Cons 7, Lab 42!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#13)

It was a clever strategy of Salmond to stand in a seat, in which, on paper, would normally be hard for the SNP to win. With this he allowed other SNP candidates to win in more marginal seats, and with his name on the ballot paper, SNP were always going to get a boost in Gordon

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#14)

It could of been alot worse.

The Tories didn't achieve what they wanted in the North and just got 40% of the share. If it was a general election, it would be different. Voters would think twice.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#17)

Well it was bad. We lost scotland, we lost almost as many councillors as expect and we didn't fair to well in Wales.

It wasn't quite as bad as expected, but nothing really to be happy about. It's not the end of the world.

The Tories failed to make any major breakthroughs and the Lib Dems for me were the story of the night/day. They did quite awfully.

Rhodri Morgan should go. God only knows how he got there in the first place. The man is awful. I feel desperately sad for McConnell however, although it looks like he'll have to go.

I saw an interview with Mcdonnell last night and I was impressed. He could have used it to really turn the knife, but he was fair and loyal to his party. I obvioulsy don't want him to win, but he went up a mark for me.

If the party can unite and get behind brown when he wins, we can turn the tide. It doesn't have to be the way of the Tories, we can stay strong, stick to our principles and win together.  

Anything to wipe then odious smirks off the Tories.

Francis Fraude was on top form last night. For some reason, whichever studio he went to, he was allowed to just ramble and gloat for minutes on end without interruption.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#20)

Jack not Rhodri was yesterday's BIG LOSER!!!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#21)

Jack, not Rhodri, was yesterday's BIG LOSER!!!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#45)

Thanks  for your fair-mindedness,Loz.Perhaps you may appreciate why McDonnell supporters  know he will  do much better than perceived  if he gets on the  ballot paper.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#55)

Welsh Labour know. They voted for him over Alun Michael. Had Blair stepped back from the selection process, Michael might have won

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#24)

Rhodri should stay. This is not due to my politics, but unlike Scottish Labour, we remained the biggest party in Wales.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#26)

No way to spin it - it couldn't have been much worse.

We could say "bad, but not as bad as it could have been" on Friday morning. But after Friday's results came in, it became hopeless to try to argue that.

For the first time, I think we might see a Cameron government (rather than a hung Parliament) after the next election.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#29)

i don't think so. Cameron is not there yet. Council election turnouts low. Protest votes against councils, not government, as the protest voters may choose to vote tactically for Labour. There are numerous other reasons, but i just don't think that people want to bring the Tories back into office.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#30)

I wouldn' t worry, Jkit. Many, though not all, of those on this on thread who have claimed that this was an all-out Conservative victory are Blairites. Having lost, they are desperate to portray this defeat as being a consequence of their man's departure as opposed to being the result of his disastrous policies, which is far more kin tune with the truth. Essentially, I think that Blair won in '97 because workers around the land were fed up with 18 years of Tory mis-rule; now that they are fed with New Labour, an easy, and very necessary (in order for Britain to fare well), 4th Labour victory seems harder to predict! Though I, on my part, keep hoping for the best! I mean, the Tories did actually not do that well either in Scotland (-1 seat) or in Wales (no net gain).

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#34)

I bet you'd probably want the Tories to win the next general election just so you can be smug about some sort of downfall of New Labour.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#35)

Ridiculous... Of the two of us, I am not the one who stands closest to their positions - ideologically and politically speaking, that is!

I am sure, however, that you'll rip up your Lab membership card within a week or so when Blair (finally, oh, finally at last!) steps down.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#40)

You wish. Out of the two of us, I'm the one who stands up and supports our Labour government the most. Therefore, I'm the most loyal the party.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#41)

Even more ridiculous... Party loyalty and Government loyalty are two different concepts, especially when, the Government is disloyal tlo the Party. So, you simply to walk Blair's line of disloyalty towards the Party and its voters/supporters!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#46)

Government disloyal to the party? Don't think so. It's the other way around.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#48)

Utterly ridiculous, pathetic even... At any rate unworthy of a proper reply....

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#70)

Mikael- your comments are disgusting, you can't just accuse people of being tories because you disagree with them. for someone who goes on about democracy, it seems you dont believe in any when it comes to freedom of belief and expression.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#72)

AM, or is it Arjun (?????) , If JR had wanted to say that he would have, you pathetic little clown!

P.S. You also seem to be illiterate as it was JR, your hero, and not I, who first launched the "Tory attack" (this time at least, 'cause we go way back :-) ), before I had said anything at all. This is what he wrote:

"I bet you'd probably want the Tories to win the next general election just so you can be smug about some sort of downfall of New Labour."

So, my comments may be ridiculous, but yours are a bunch of lies. Why don't you just go complain about some threats or something, just don't bother me... Pathetic....

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#73)

Oooops, sorry to misquote you, you said they were "disgusting", not ridiculous.... unlike you, I don't want to be a nosy liar... Really, what did my discussion have to do with you anyhow... For some reason i feel threatned!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#80)

I'm not going to debate with someone so immature as yourself, I will simply say that you should vent your spleen on the Tories, not your fellow Party members.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#92)

"vent your spleen"

Says a man who went so far as to claim that he had been threatned... What do you expect when you literally spew insults and provocation all around yourself????

"I'm not going to debate with someone so immature as yourself"

You just don't have any arguments, you pathetic child... I clearly showed that I was not the one who first brought up accusations of "Toryism"; indeed I was the first to be accused of it.

But, since you have a clear far-right bias, you just fail to accept the truth... sad, but typical, behaviour coming from your good self and your pals...

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#97)

I think your answer demonstrates your mental state.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#77)

Indeed. I've yet to meet a Marxist who does believe in freedom of speech!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#44)

No, you are the most loyal to Blair's government, which is rather strange considering there aren't whips forcing you to toe the line.

If you were really loyal to the party you would support the party's democratically chosen policy at conference to oppose PFI, further privatisation and to renationalise the railways.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#47)

It hasn't been democratically chosen since only those at the conference got to vote - not all members got a say.

Remember that Blair is the democratically elected leader of the Labour party - so if you were really loyal to the party then you would support him.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#50)

"It hasn't been democratically chosen since only those at the conference got to vote - not all members got a say."

Well, only the PLP, which is even more numerically reduced than Conference, votes on Labour's governmental policy,  so if I were to reason like you, JR, I could say that the Labour Government's  policy-making is completely dictatorial!

When Labour is in power, Conference policy should translate into Governmental policy - such a demand is in no way excessive coming from (unlike yourself, loyal) Party members!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#62)

When Labour is in power, Conference policy should translate into Governmental policy

No it shouldn't. The Prime Minister has a duty to do what's best for the British people, not what's best for the Labour party.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#64)

so much for Party loyalty.... By the way, I see no reason for which what's best for Labour shouldn't be best for Britain!!!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#65)

Again, I meant "So much for (your) Party loyalty then..."

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#69)

Yeah, 'cause reorganising the railways is a terrible thing for the public.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#78)

Look - first of all, when you type a comment, please read it before you post and then you might not have to write so many add-ons underneath.

Sometimes what's best for Labour and Britain can be different.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#85)

"Sometimes what's best for Labour and Britain can be different."

Says a man who puts Party loyalty before anything else!

"Look - first of all, when you type a comment, please read it before you post and then you might not have to write so many add-ons underneath."

Says a man, who's clearly run out of political arguments!

His name: JR!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#88)

Grow up mikael.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#89)

"Grow up mikael."

Says a man who wet his pants when he saw this week's election results!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#95)

Sounds like you when McDonnell gets 5% of the leadership vote.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#96)

Not likely. Even if McDonnell only manages to get 5%, he'd still beat any Blairite by a mile! So, bring a change of trousers, JR!

Honestly, I think that, provided he makes the ballot, John is looking at 25% or even 30%; I even figure he could win... Especially if NuLab keeps operating in the fashion it has this week (it shows a striking degree of unity, I must say)... "A springboard for future possiblities", was it??? More likely a short-cut over a cliff! Get a clue, will you???

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#98)

Stop that - you'll wear the '?' key out on your keyboard. I know you Marxists are pretty tight when it comes to spending on 'frivolous' items like keyboards.

You think McDonnell can win - you seriously need to get a clue yourself first.

McDonnell = Marx = loser.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#99)

"McDonnell = Marx = loser"

Marx is widely recognised as history's greatest philosopher; McDonnell as one of the Labour Party's most principled MPs. Who is this "loser" character you are going on about???????? (I have only one key-board, but since I am no 'commidity-fetishist' I don't attach too much importance to it).

Blair I am afraid, will be remembered only as history's greatest traitor since Ramsay MacDonald.

So, in honour of your arithmetic abilities:

Blair=Ramsay MacDonald=Traitor

or

NuLab=Old Tory=Thatcher

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#100)

Absolutely right!

Reform is caving in to the Capitalist Hoardes! It's all or nothing! Gradualism is worse than fascism! Onward!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#101)

"Gradualism is worse than fascism!"

If you are referring to Blair's gradual move towards "uber-Thatcherism" (to coin an -ism), then I'd be tempted to agree with you!

Gradualism in the Old Fabian sense has nothing to do with Blair's Neo-Toryism! And you all know that I am not a Fabian.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#102)

You know what I'm referring to

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#103)

Errr, no, I do not! Unlike you, I don't like missing the point that someone is making. Even when the point in question is made by a Blairite, such as yourself.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#104)

Bless. Maybe you're not as much of an intellectual as you like to tell your mummy that you are?

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#105)

Let's not bring our mothers into this, shall we?

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#33)

Yes I agree glasshouse - last night seemed like a bit of a turning point I have to say. People actually seem to like Cameron. I remember they went to Blackpool and not a single member of the public had a bad word to say about him.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#49)

I can't understand it.

Cameron is no Blair. He's just not as likeable as Blair was in the 90s.

The thing is with this guy, he really never says anything of any consequence. Policy wise, he's a complete and utter light weight.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#54)

People don't like Cameron. They laugh at Sir Menzies, and want to punish Blair

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#59)

I haven't seen much evidence of people liking Cameron.  I'd be surprised if they did.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#63)

They like him much more than the previous Tory leaders - and like him much more than Brown as well. I know plenty of people who have converted to the Tories since he became the leader.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#66)

"...and like him much more than Brown as well"

I am glad to see that you have regained your previous negative attitude towards Brown... I was getting worried!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#68)

i know many Lib Dem voters who after the fall-out of the early 2006 crisis(es), switched to the Tories. I also know many pissed off Labour voters who now go to Sir Menzies, to punish Blair, also they switch to Greens etc. I don't think Labour voters are warming to Cameron, anyone who is voting Cameron is someone who has thought about not voting Labour for a time (post 2003).

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#91)

I don't know about that even.  I think if you did a poll of people: who do you LIKE more (not who do you think would make the better PM) William Hague would beat Cameron.  Probably helped by the fact that he ISN'T leader of the Conservative Party anymore!  

I don't think Cameron will ever be PM, but I'm sure he'll lead the Tories back to a position of some future hope that they may find it in themselves to win elections in the futre.

Really he represents the victory of the Old Tory Party: look at the Shadow Cabinet - Eton is back in charge.  The old establishment can re-colonise the Tory party with impunity (as well as continue to run many elite organisations behind the scenes), but I think it will be much harder for them to take the government.

I think they'd have done better with David Davies!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#93)

Not a chance. David Davis had the personality of a rock. And Hague more likeable to the general public than Cameron? I seriously doubt that!

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#28)

It seems muslim voters who may have flirted with Lib Dems and Respect, may finally be returning back to us, with our gains in Luton and Leicster

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#31)

How did respect do btw?

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#36)

RESPECT returned its three defending councillors in Preston, but enjoyed no actual gain - at least not as far as I understood.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#52)

Respec have lost momentum. As have the BNP. And indeed the loony Trot sects in Scotland. A bad night for the minor parties if I'm not mistaken?

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#53)

Greens made gains though, and almost overtook Labour in Brighton. One of the biggest stories at the next GE, could be that the Greens have gained Brighton Pavilion

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#71)

we have a 5000 majority in Pavillion- over the Tories.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#75)

If you see the greens success in Brighton though. last time we had majority's of over 10000 overturned

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#82)

Would you be so kind as to post a link to the results- I am a little unsure of what you mean.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#86)

well Green's almost overtook us. And in place's like Manchester Withington, Cambridge, Hornsey and Wood Green, Blaneau Gwent, Bethnal Green and Bow and in other seats, seats with safe majorities, ended up being lost, because Labour voters had switched to other 'left-wing' parties

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#87)

meant to say they almost overtook us in Brighton

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#90)

Yes, I agree with the points you are making, it is a little worrying, but we need to assess things like local factors and long term strategy. clearly, we should be careful about who our candidates are and how we select them for example.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#60)

In Birmingham they won Sparkbrook ward from Libdems. In Aston they had the defending councillor (who was elected for PJP, then became LDs after stopped to exist, then became Indy and finally Respect...all between 2004 and now), but Labour won it.
They gained a seat from Labour in Bolsover.

BBC has them winning 3 councillors this year. So the one they succesfully defended in Preston, 1 in Birmingham and 1 in Bolsover.
BBC has them unchanged. They consider Aston's Birmingham ward as a loss (because they consider the make up council before the election and now when it was elected last time). But they should have another loss somewhere if they're unchanged. Don't know where though

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#74)

JR, this is completely unrelated to the other discussion we had on this thread, but allow me to say that I find your poll very appropriate. Is it showing the results that wanted, or, at least, those that you had expected??? I, on my part, find them "satisfying" - as far as the results of a poll based on a Labour defeat could ever be described/seen as satisfying....

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#79)

Yes, I think McConnell needs to go and the poll shows most agree. Morgan isn't in a good position either but probably can stay since Welsh Labour didn't do as badly.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#81)

A someone who was involved in the Welsh campaign I have to say that Rhodri Morgan was one of our only bright spots and outshone the other party leaders (although that was not hard because even the other parties would prefer Rhodri as their leader given their own are awful).

We lost on three counts:

  1. Iraq/Blair tainted everything that has been achieved over the last 10 years.  I have to say that it was pathetic that Blair didn't go before the election to give us a chance, leaders can come back from unpopularity, but when he was going anyway and had nothing to gain, to hang on was quite selfish;

  2. We lost control of the management of the public services, in particular the health service with a set of health reorganisations before an election (yes lets downgrade a load of hospitals just before an election) such that we were on the back foot all the way through in the seats of Aberconwy and Clwyd West and in Aberconwy, the Plaid candidate got himself onto the Save Llandudno Hospital campaign group and stirred up/outright lied throughout the campaign

  3. Our AM's just didn't perform for the last four years (a Western Mail set of scores out of ten did us over a bit with our AMs coming last).

On top of that, if Westminster (DTi)can stop treating our coastline like a parking lot for offshore windfarms and threatening the biggest industry within the area we may have a chance in the next election.

One thing that we may want to take from the election is that we have got to start drawing out the tories true position.  It didn't take much to wind them up and draw them out to attacking public service workers, homosexuals and immigrants and coming over as very nasty.  In Wales, Plaid were able to sit back and let the Conservatives do all of their work for them and pick up the votes but in England they will just shoot themselves in the foot.

We need to start comparing Tory and Labour results on public services and draw out their nasty streak.

My highlight was getting booed by the old women of the Conservative party on national television, so at least I was happy.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#83)

What do you mean "Our AMs do not perform?!"

Joking aside, I think opposing Windfarms is a double edges sword- we could end up in the Liberal Democrat absurdity of supporting windfarms nationally, but opposing them locally.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#84)

There are a few perceptions in Wales regarding the performance of the Assembly

  1. its all based in Cardiff/a bias against the North (actually there isn't but we didn't control the facts sufficiently)
  2. the AMs aren't good enough (and to be honest bar four of our AM's we struggle in the media)
  3. its just another layer of bureaucracy

which we have to stop ignoring, especially as this was the fuel that Plaid used to great effect in the North.

In essence, it feels like we do not really have a clue what devolution is really about, is it a political sop to nationalism, a stop on the road to independence or a better form of management of public services moving government closer to the front line.  As a result we just fail to have any sense of direction (and neither did any of the other parties such that it was just a chaotic mess of gimick giveaways).

With regards to windfarms, you have to try fighting a campaign where NPower is going to put 200 500 metre tall turbines four miles off the beach of a coastal resort which is the largest industry in the area.  At the same time the local health board has a review and attempts to change the local service and we wonder why we were hammered.

We lost to Plaid as well with the liberals in fourth so they were irrelevant.

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#94)

" (a Western Mail set of scores out of ten did us over a bit with our AMs coming last)."

Many Labour women (Irene James, Gwenda Thomas, Ann Jones, Lynne Neagle, Sandy Mewies, Val Lloyd, Denise Jones) got very low scores (2, 3 or 4 out 10) in the Western Mail rankings. Are they so bad as the WM seem to think?

Re: Election 2007 Aftermath (#106)

It was unfair and has a lot to do with a bias towards those who can talk in grandiose manners in the Assembly about constitutional affairs and national programmes (where the male old guard of former MPs would always win out) over those who want to just represent their area to the best of their abilities helping constituents. However, it didn't help and perhaps our message wasn't adequately put over to the electorate. To be honest it was a very superficial campaign with a lot of noise regarding giveaway gimmicks by each party and not actually tackling the unease that many feel of an Assembly in its infancy not tackling the key issues of what "is devolution all about" and social cohesion with a large element of traditional labour supporters feeling abandoned, unable to compete with Eastern European immigrants and being seduced in by more radical parties. We really should have tackled those two issues head on and left the other parties in our wake looking irrelevant and probably shifty. Instead we fell into the trap of a long and winding set of promises and people thought they fancied a change. Perhaps I am just being naive expecting great leadership and an election has to be fought on a set of promises in a manifesto but the election just didn't get out of first gear for me.