US Iran Attack Plan

BBC is reporting that it's discovered the US's contingency plan to attack Iran.

BBC is reporting that it's discovered the US's contingency plan to attack Iran.

What do we reckon? Sabre rattling - the potential stick to the EU3's carrot? Or are we going to see an attack on Iran this year? Or both?


Display: Sort:

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#1)

Defence policy is all about planning for contingencies - some of them remote. I would be more worried if no such plan existed.

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#2)

I think the real thing is why this has been allowed to leak

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#3)

It is concerning that something appears to have been leaked. That said, the report is a little coy about its sources. I know that Frank Gardner is no Andrew Gilligan, but I hope that the BBC is very sure about this.

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#4)

Indeed.

Hopefully they will deal with the islamo facist terrorist regime in Iran by any means necessary.

Of course my money is paying for the bbc to describe any contingency plans as 'worrying'.

What a disgrace.

If I were sad enough, I'd complain to whoever it is that deals with these things, but I'm not so I'll just shrug it off.

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#5)

It all sounds a bit run of the mill in terms of miltary planning.

Nobody can suggest that they possibly thought the Americans weren't contingency planning (which all armed forces do and is a pretty regular thing!).

They would target the nuclear sites....no news there then!

They would also target some military sites....well what kind of news is that?! It's pretty regular practice when targetting specific sites to also attack any military sites that might be capable of blowing your planes out of the sky! And if the trigger was Iranian involvement in US casualties in Iraq this would be perfectly legitimate under international law.

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#6)

The U.S. Department of Defense has drawn-up between 12-20* plans to invade Scotland within the next 8 years, FYI. It's a normal thing they do for every piece of territory on Earth.

Reasons why the U.S. cannot attack Iran:

Let's not forget that U.S. intelligence on Iran seems to be even poorer that it was on Iraq, and that Iran has hardened and buried many nuclear facilities in a way that would make them difficult to destroy. The threat of Iran being capable (most war-gaming instructions point to this as an absolute certainty) of responding to an attack in a way that obliged the US to escalate the conflict to full-blown regime change is also very real. Lastly (and most importantly), there would be a host of unintended consequences inside and outside Iran.

(actual number is larger, but classified)

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#7)

I don't think that there is really the will to take on Iran at present; as the he BBC's report states at its conclusion. The leaking of the report is probably in response to the reported acquisition of  a large number of centrifuges; as several international media outlets  reported recently.

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#9)

This is the link from Reuters http://uk.news.yahoo.com/05022007/325/iran-sets-centrifuges-big-atom-site.html

It's now though that Iran has around 1500 centrifuges in total. (CCTV)

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#8)

The timing of the leak is likely to have been planned to put pressure on the Iranians - the UN Security Council has called on Iran to suspend its enrichment of uranium by 21 February or face the threat of economic sanctions.

An invasion of Iran is highly unlikely - the geography doesn't work, much more populous than Iraq, limited indigenous opposition to the regime, etc.  But a strike against nuclear targets certainly is.  The whole balance of the Middle East changes if Iran gets the bomb.  

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#10)

"The whole balance of the Middle East changes if Iran gets the bomb"

Maybe for the better?

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#11)

I'm going to guess that you're joking.

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#12)

I hope so.

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#13)

I did say a maybe... But have a think about it. The current Iranian regime is openly expansionist. Most of the problems within Iraq are due to the fact that Iran and Syria are fighting a proxy war for regional dominance. If coalition forces get in the way all the better. Iran at the moment is supplying fighters for the spring offensive in Afghanistan these include Iranian, Pakistani, and Chechen fedayeen. as well as continuing to supply arms and money to Islamic Jihad, Hizbollah, and the various Shia militias. The literal translation of the word "Fedayeen" means "Those who have been wronged"... maybe I am a fedayeen...... maybe we all are.

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#14)

Interesting translation.

Even if they had been wrongeg, is it any way to 'right it' by blowing up innocent people?

Will these people just vanish and become good souls once we leave?

Did we honestly inspire this evil in them?

I just can't believe the answer to either is yes.

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#15)

Ask them, not me.

Re: US Iran Attack Plan (#16)

It was rhetorical.