A week really is a long time in politics

The past week has proven that a week really is a long time in politics. Last week the Sunday papers were speculating about the demise of the Tory party, bets were being placed on Cameron's likely successor. A week later and... well the least said the better.

Brown will take a hit or two (or twenty) and his reputation as a master political strategist has been damaged. However I do think that we all need to calm down a bit and recognise that things can - and probably will - change just as quickly. The polls will stabilise and we will soon get back to 'normal' politics. 

For me there are some key lessons that, as a party, we need to learn from the past few weeks:

1. Don't underestimate Cameron - the more media coverage he receives the more favourable the polls are for the Tory party as a whole.

2. We need to be careful about the image we project. At times I worry that some Labour Ministers conduct themselves as though they are taking part in a sixth form debating society and want to demonstrate how fiendishly clever they are, how they can 'best' their opposite number who is also a bright young thing. Being bright and being clever are not the same thing and we need our senior Ministers to be clever as well as bright.

3. Candidate selection should be completed for all vacant seats by early spring and we need to have a much sharper focus on exactly how we resource and campaign in marginal seats.

We have lost this skirmish - it was not really a battle - we now need to re-group and look to the future.




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Re: A week really is a long time in politics (#1)

I agree with your points Mike but I do feel that we will have to work hard to get over it. People remember moments like this, its too easy to suggest that the pain will only be for a few weeks.

It doesn't always go back to normal. Remember the Tories never recovered from Black Wednesday. Inheritance Tax is a Tory fox that will have to be shot very quickly - it doesn't really matter that their figures don't add up, the public like what they are saying about it. The Tories have picked up on public fears about being caught up in this tax and we haven't.

That's a short term consideration, in the long term we will have to counter Tory spending in the marginals and match their propaganda efforts. Hopefully all the purchasing of extra computers and getting battle grounds seats up to the same campaigning level will have a lasting beneficial effect.

Re: A week really is a long time in politics (#2)

Polls go up and polls go down; I have every confidence that the Tories will be trailing behind in a few weeks time when normal service is resumed at Westminster. The fact is November is such a bad month to go out campaigning in and Brown should have known that; election fatigue has set in and we activists are still recovering from our outing in May.

Re: A week really is a long time in politics (#3)

A bit pessimistic I must say. Comparing this to Black Wednesday is over the top. Black Wednesday led to people losing their homes - the only one who'll suffer from this episode is Brown himself and only for a few weeks.

All this will be forgotten soon enough as Mike says.

Re: A week really is a long time in politics (#4)

It was the right decision. I think a November election would have been a mistake - it would have looked opportunistic and people outside the Westminster village would wonder why they were being asked to vote two-and-a-half years before the election was actually due. Plus November is hardly an ideal time of year for election campaigning - cold, dark, wet and windy!

We were damned if we did and damned if we didn't - had an election been called the media and the Tories would have been accusing us of 'cutting and running'.

It all seems a big deal now but the media will soon find something else to speculate and opine about. I don't think it will make a huge impact on the public who did not seem particularly interested in the endless speculation about election dates.