Tory lead in MORI poll!

MM Fri Oct 12, 2007 at 06:56:08 PM GMT Print-friendly version Facebook

A new Ipsos MORI poll in this morning's Sun shows the Tories 3 points ahead of Labour.  To be honest I was expecting it to be a lot worse.  Thou I guess we will have to wait for more polls to see the full effects of the shambles of this last week.





Full details of the poll can be found at this link:
http://www.ipsos-mori.com/polls/2007/s071010.shtml

Q. How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?
Con 41% (+7%)
Lab 38% (-3%)
Lib Dem 11% (-5%)
Others 10%

Q. Do you think that Gordon Brown was right or wrong in his decision not to call a General Election this autumn?
Right 47%
Wrong 42%
Don't Know 11%

'Cam gives Gord poll battering':
http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/article333046.ece

'Gordon Frown':
http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/sun_says/article244723.ece


Anthony Wells of UK Polling Report provides some excellent analysis as usual:
'Ipsos MORI also shows a swing to the Tories':
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/index.php
Newsnight has a poll by ICM that is not happy reading for Mr Brown.

Brown 'spins as much as Blair':
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/newsnight/politics/7041457.stm

Q. Gordon Brown promised a new era of spin free politics. Compared with the Government under Tony Blair do you believe that Gordon Brown's government is:

- More likely to spin: 15%
- No Different: 61%
- Less likely: 20%
- Don't know: 4%

Q. Some people have suggested that the Labour Party pinched Conservative ideas on tax and included them in their spending review. Do you agree or disagree with this view?

- Agree: 57%
- Disagree: 34%
- Don't Know: 9%

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Tory lead in MORI poll! | 4 comments (4 topical)

Re: Tory lead in MORI poll! (#1)

by wgm on Fri Oct 12, 2007 at 09:26:32 PM GMT

As ever, this poll is weighted by certainty to vote. Tory voters are always more keen than Labour ones. If we could persuade those who identify with Labour to say they are 10/10 certain to vote instead of 7/10 then we would have a permanent and healthy lead!


Re: Tory lead in MORI poll! (#2)

by swatantra on Sat Oct 13, 2007 at 03:08:32 PM GMT

A 3%! lead? you would have expected more than that! Things are not so bad then for Labour. Brown will recover his composure and Labour its lead in the polls before Spring 2008. The latest 'borrowings' from Opposition policy is welcome; an emphasis on marriage and rewarding married couples by tax breaks, it shows enough committment to enter into a legal contract and give legitimacy to their offspring. Most welcome! although it still needs the full backing of the Govt. The slide began in the 80's when rights of co-habitees were being recognised by Lord Denning and his courts, but in retrospect, it was a mistake. Its one of the factors that have led to a breakdown in society. Couples have to make that legal committment to secure their rights, and its good for familiies that they do make that committment..


[ Parent ]

Re: Tory lead in MORI poll! (#3)

by Wilberforce on Sat Oct 13, 2007 at 09:46:03 PM GMT

3% only in a Sun poll? Probably within the margin of error....

The questions were leading too...

This proves we can come back fighting.


[ Parent ]

Re: Tory lead in MORI poll! (#4)

by treborc on Mon Oct 15, 2007 at 08:43:58 AM GMT

Well sadly i will not be voting, I've never voted Tory so when Labour comes back to Labour policies I'll vote again.


Tory lead in MORI poll! | 4 comments (4 topical)